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Set a microwave timer for 13.7bn yrs

Peter Kaufman's 'three buckets' framework identifies universal principles from 13.7 billion years of inorganic systems, 3.5 billion years of biology, and 20,000 years of human history.

https://leonlins.com/writing/microwave/
January 5, 2026 at 2:59 PM
Marketplace rakes

The stock photography market charges over 50% rake despite many competitors and transparent fees, defying conventional marketplace pricing logic.

https://leonlins.com/writing/rake/
January 4, 2026 at 2:32 PM
Investing and information

Studies show that while more information increases investor confidence, it doesn't improve decision-making accuracy.

https://leonlins.com/writing/investing/
January 3, 2026 at 2:47 PM
Hong Kong small cap stock plunges and pledges

Hong Kong's disclosure loophole allows controlling shareholders to pledge over 30% of company stock without public announcement after the first year of listing.

https://leonlins.com/writing/stock/
January 2, 2026 at 2:45 PM
Always be raising

Economist Michael Pettis argues taxing capital inflows, not tariffs, would better address the US trade imbalance driven by global excess savings.

https://leonlins.com/writing/trade/
January 1, 2026 at 2:56 PM
Temporal illusions

Our brain processes touch signals from distant body parts simultaneously by creating a temporal illusion, not because they arrive at the same time.

https://leonlins.com/writing/time_illusion/
December 31, 2025 at 2:32 PM
Why I write

Howard Marks wrote his famous memos for a decade without receiving a single response, highlighting that most writing goes unread.

https://leonlins.com/writing/write/
December 30, 2025 at 2:41 PM
Moloch the judger of social credit

AI systems already develop unexpected abilities beyond their programmed tasks, challenging assumptions that AGI is impossible or distant.

https://leonlins.com/writing/moloch/
December 29, 2025 at 2:57 PM
Replicability crisis in science

The replication crisis reveals that most claimed research findings may be false, as shown by the rise, fall, and contested revival of power posing.

https://leonlins.com/writing/replicability/
December 28, 2025 at 2:29 PM
Tell me why

The article questions why we hold beliefs, noting that 70% of Americans believe in an omnipotent being, while other beliefs like a flat Earth are dismissed as crazy.

https://leonlins.com/writing/why/
December 27, 2025 at 2:31 PM
Procrastinate another way another day

Structured procrastination involves doing smaller productive tasks to avoid larger difficult ones, according to John Perry's concept.

https://leonlins.com/writing/procrastinate/
December 26, 2025 at 2:35 PM
Dunning on Dunning Kruger

David Dunning explains that the first rule of the Dunning-Kruger club is you don't know you're a member, highlighting the core self-awareness paradox.

https://leonlins.com/writing/dunning/
December 25, 2025 at 2:54 PM
Book Review: How the internet happened

Early banner ads had 70-80% click-through rates, compared to today's sub-5%, showing how drastically internet economics have shifted.

https://leonlins.com/writing/internet/
December 24, 2025 at 2:46 PM
Who is Claude Shannon?

Claude Shannon published two foundational papers that earned him the title 'father of the information age' and invented the bit.

https://leonlins.com/writing/claude/
December 23, 2025 at 2:49 PM
Book Review: Fooled by Randomness

Nassim Taleb's 'Fooled by Randomness' argues that in expectation, a dentist is richer than a rock star when accounting for all who enter each profession.

https://leonlins.com/writing/random/
December 22, 2025 at 2:57 PM
Public secrets

Industry insiders reveal that companies gain little value from investment banker M&A talks since they already know the landscape better.

https://leonlins.com/writing/secret/
December 21, 2025 at 2:36 PM
2018 year end reflection questions

The author shares 11 structured reflection questions used for their 2018 year-end review, emphasizing the importance of learning from the past.

https://leonlins.com/writing/reflection/
December 20, 2025 at 2:43 PM
Can you see things in a different way?

The author discovered they score 3-4 on a visualization test while others score 6, revealing they have aphantasia—the inability to form mental images.

https://leonlins.com/writing/aphantasia/
December 19, 2025 at 2:44 PM
Fluctuat Nec Mergitur

The author argues that crises reveal people's true character, showing both those who help and those who harm.

https://leonlins.com/writing/fluctuat/
December 18, 2025 at 2:57 PM
What is art

The author's journey into art history and drawing reveals that art is subjective and open-mindedness is essential to appreciating its evolution.

https://leonlins.com/writing/art_history/
December 17, 2025 at 2:52 PM
Community as a Concept

Strong communities lower customer acquisition costs and build stronger businesses, as shown by historical tech examples like MIT's Tech Model Railroad Club and modern platforms like Y Combinator.

https://leonlins.com/writing/community/
December 16, 2025 at 2:57 PM
Book Review: Algorithms to live by

The book 'Algorithms to Live By' shows that following the 37% rule in hiring gives the highest chance of picking the best candidate.

https://leonlins.com/writing/algo/
December 15, 2025 at 2:57 PM
Ergodicity: What Does It Mean?

⚠️ Fallback teaser (LLM unavailable).

https://leonlins.com/writing/ergodicity/
December 14, 2025 at 2:44 PM
Data analysis industry landscape

The data pipeline industry has a total addressable market exceeding $100 billion, with individual companies valued close to that figure.

https://leonlins.com/writing/data_landscape/
December 13, 2025 at 2:37 PM
What do we really know about inflation

The US Federal Reserve acknowledges that its preferred inflation measure, the PCE price index, is 'highly volatile' and imperfect for policy.

https://leonlins.com/writing/inflation/
December 12, 2025 at 2:39 PM