Huge thanks to @raspishake.bsky.social for donating a device for the winning team — and to SED @ @ethz.ch, Fondazione Garbald, #IUGG & @seismosocam.bsky.social for making it all possible.
We tried a new format focused on collaboration, curiosity, and community, and it worked!

oh, and I didn't know about the game! Well, most importantly, when is the next big one coming, and various smaller questions trying to get us a little closer there. How do earthquakes interact? Are there precursory signals that tell us when a big one is more likely than usual, etc.

Thanks to our sponsors — the #SwissSeismologicalService at @ethzurich.bsky.social, #IUGG, the @seismosocam.bsky.social, and the Fondazione Garbald — for making this possible. Let the hacking begin! 👩‍💻👨🏽‍💻

Marked Hawkes processes, usually with a stationary background component and then the magnitude-dependent clustering component on top. And we call them ETAS (apidemic-type aftershock sequence) models :)

Well, we mostly model the clustering of earthquakes in space and time. That means that when there is activity somewhere, the chances of more activity are temporally increased compared to normal. We try to better understand the specific clustering behavior of certain regions and individual sequences.

Ohhhh this is amazing 😍😍

Can I be on this as an earthquake forecaster? 🔮

The event is only possible thanks to funding from the Swiss Seismological Service, @seismosocam.bsky.social, and the Fondazione Garbald. And we are thrilled that this is really happening!

Apply here: quakehack.ethz.ch/application....

The goal is to bring together a diverse group and create a space where they can explore innovative ideas for a dedicated period of time without the pressure of producing specific outcomes.

We are looking forward to many applications, not only from statistical seismologists. So please share this!

She has an iPhone 14. 30 seconds exposure. But you need to also be on top of a 4000m volcano ;)

Right? This is insane!