Elliott Fosler-Lussier
@lckytuba.bsky.social
Current PhD student studying hurricane structure at UHawaii. B.S, Penn State '24. Low brass player and EDM producer. He/him or they/them. Opinions provided here are my own.
Pretty fascinating evolution of Hurricane #Gabrielle yesterday as observed from Bermuda radar. Looks like it went through a merger eyewall replacement cycle (MERC), and it's not every day we get to see continuous radar data of that. Probably even more unusual to see one at this latitude too.
September 23, 2025 at 8:46 PM
Pretty fascinating evolution of Hurricane #Gabrielle yesterday as observed from Bermuda radar. Looks like it went through a merger eyewall replacement cycle (MERC), and it's not every day we get to see continuous radar data of that. Probably even more unusual to see one at this latitude too.
20 years ago to the day, Hurricane Katrina made its catastrophic landfall on the Gulf Coast. A grim reminder that the actions taken after the storm are often just as important as those taken in preparation for the storm.
August 29, 2025 at 6:06 PM
20 years ago to the day, Hurricane Katrina made its catastrophic landfall on the Gulf Coast. A grim reminder that the actions taken after the storm are often just as important as those taken in preparation for the storm.
45 years ago to the hour: Hurricane Allen reaching its 165 knot/899 hPa peak
August 7, 2025 at 6:25 PM
45 years ago to the hour: Hurricane Allen reaching its 165 knot/899 hPa peak
The tracks of Tropical Storms Nari and 08W really remind me of Tropical Storms Conson and Chanthu from the 2016 typhoon season. Odd to see two storms approach Japan from that angle in quick succession.
July 16, 2025 at 10:02 AM
The tracks of Tropical Storms Nari and 08W really remind me of Tropical Storms Conson and Chanthu from the 2016 typhoon season. Odd to see two storms approach Japan from that angle in quick succession.
one of the interesting things I've noticed is that the South Pacific basin has barely had any truly active seasons since 2004-2005. Of the last 19 seasons, only 2015-16 surpassed the 70 ACE mark, which is an unusually inactive stretch even for a climatologically less active basin.
March 7, 2025 at 10:19 PM
one of the interesting things I've noticed is that the South Pacific basin has barely had any truly active seasons since 2004-2005. Of the last 19 seasons, only 2015-16 surpassed the 70 ACE mark, which is an unusually inactive stretch even for a climatologically less active basin.
Yesterday at 12UTC, we had 6 simultaneous cyclones in the Southern Hemisphere- 2 in each basin. All but Seru have attained/are expected to attain hurricane intensity during their lifetime.
February 26, 2025 at 7:57 PM
Yesterday at 12UTC, we had 6 simultaneous cyclones in the Southern Hemisphere- 2 in each basin. All but Seru have attained/are expected to attain hurricane intensity during their lifetime.
the sad part is mahomes managed to statpad enough so that it doesn't look like at first glance that he had the putrid game that he did
February 10, 2025 at 3:20 AM
the sad part is mahomes managed to statpad enough so that it doesn't look like at first glance that he had the putrid game that he did
Cyclone #Vince looking like a monster today, especially considering relatively marginal SSTS (27C). Meteo France Reunion expects it to reach Very Intense Tropical Cyclone strength soon.
February 6, 2025 at 6:44 PM
Cyclone #Vince looking like a monster today, especially considering relatively marginal SSTS (27C). Meteo France Reunion expects it to reach Very Intense Tropical Cyclone strength soon.
Another reason that privatization of weather industry raises issues. If warnings are disseminated to the public by private companies, they’re on far shakier ground than the NWS if there’s a serious forecast error.
February 6, 2025 at 6:41 PM
Another reason that privatization of weather industry raises issues. If warnings are disseminated to the public by private companies, they’re on far shakier ground than the NWS if there’s a serious forecast error.
was going through old files on my computer and found a screenshot of maybe one of my favorite NHC advisories of all time
January 30, 2025 at 9:56 AM
was going through old files on my computer and found a screenshot of maybe one of my favorite NHC advisories of all time
Made a new color scheme last night. Sharp gradient from the 20 to 0°C range allows for distinctive highlighting of low-level cumulus.
January 27, 2025 at 8:43 AM
Made a new color scheme last night. Sharp gradient from the 20 to 0°C range allows for distinctive highlighting of low-level cumulus.
The horrific ground footage from the fires in SoCal has been harrowing to watch today. The smoke plumes from the fires are also visible on Los Angeles radar, and are producing pretty significant reflectivity values as well. It's going to be a long couple of days for a lot of people in SoCal.
January 8, 2025 at 3:58 AM
The horrific ground footage from the fires in SoCal has been harrowing to watch today. The smoke plumes from the fires are also visible on Los Angeles radar, and are producing pretty significant reflectivity values as well. It's going to be a long couple of days for a lot of people in SoCal.
PENN STATE WOMENS VOLLEYBALL TAKES IT HOME
It's been such a long time coming, I can't stop smiling
It's been such a long time coming, I can't stop smiling
December 22, 2024 at 10:52 PM
PENN STATE WOMENS VOLLEYBALL TAKES IT HOME
It's been such a long time coming, I can't stop smiling
It's been such a long time coming, I can't stop smiling
The process of making full length satellite loops is great because you come across tidbits of data that just seem mind-blowing. For example, Typhoon Nepartak of 2016 had a geostationary Band 13 eye temp of 23.45C, which is incredible for such a small pinhole eye.
December 3, 2024 at 6:24 PM
The process of making full length satellite loops is great because you come across tidbits of data that just seem mind-blowing. For example, Typhoon Nepartak of 2016 had a geostationary Band 13 eye temp of 23.45C, which is incredible for such a small pinhole eye.
Summary of the West Pacific typhoon season as of now. Pressures are from JMA estimates, 1-min and 10-min wind estimates from JTWC (to the right of pressure) and JMA (to the right of JTWC estimates) also provided. Note the burst of activity in the late season- reminds me a bit of '89 or '13.
November 21, 2024 at 5:20 PM
Summary of the West Pacific typhoon season as of now. Pressures are from JMA estimates, 1-min and 10-min wind estimates from JTWC (to the right of pressure) and JMA (to the right of JTWC estimates) also provided. Note the burst of activity in the late season- reminds me a bit of '89 or '13.
Quick loop of Hurricane Harvey's rapid intensification and subsequent landfall that I processed this morning with 1-hour GOES-13 Gridsat data. Currently working on comparing eye temps for hurricanes in the 2017 Atlantic season, which have both 4-km GOES-13 and 2-km GOES-16 data.
November 20, 2024 at 8:36 PM
Quick loop of Hurricane Harvey's rapid intensification and subsequent landfall that I processed this morning with 1-hour GOES-13 Gridsat data. Currently working on comparing eye temps for hurricanes in the 2017 Atlantic season, which have both 4-km GOES-13 and 2-km GOES-16 data.
Didn't post this earlier, but Typhoon #Man-Yi had a ferocious eye at its peak intensity. WV temperatures were also upper-echelon, pushing into the upper negative teens. Unfortunately, it didn't weaken a whole lot before its landfalls on Catanduanes and southeastern Luzon.
November 18, 2024 at 11:23 PM
Didn't post this earlier, but Typhoon #Man-Yi had a ferocious eye at its peak intensity. WV temperatures were also upper-echelon, pushing into the upper negative teens. Unfortunately, it didn't weaken a whole lot before its landfalls on Catanduanes and southeastern Luzon.
First real-time plot of a storm with a VWMG (20+C) eye temp in my color scheme- if you look closely you can see the warm grey speck in the center. #Man-yi is bearing down on the Philippines, with an increasingly clear eye and symmetric CDO indicative of continued intensification.
November 15, 2024 at 11:00 PM
First real-time plot of a storm with a VWMG (20+C) eye temp in my color scheme- if you look closely you can see the warm grey speck in the center. #Man-yi is bearing down on the Philippines, with an increasingly clear eye and symmetric CDO indicative of continued intensification.
#ManYi looking quite a bit better organized- it's transitioned from a banding eye to a more conventional one with significant RMW contraction over the past day or so. Eye still in the process of clearing, but it's probably pushing close to Category 4-equivalent intensity at the moment.
November 15, 2024 at 6:28 PM
#ManYi looking quite a bit better organized- it's transitioned from a banding eye to a more conventional one with significant RMW contraction over the past day or so. Eye still in the process of clearing, but it's probably pushing close to Category 4-equivalent intensity at the moment.
#Man-Yi exhibiting classic banding eye structure as it takes aim at the Philippines. Even so, its RMW appears to be small enough to allow for significant intensification before it makes landfall. Current trajectory has it striking the Bicol region directly, with further impacts to Luzon possible.
November 14, 2024 at 11:48 PM
#Man-Yi exhibiting classic banding eye structure as it takes aim at the Philippines. Even so, its RMW appears to be small enough to allow for significant intensification before it makes landfall. Current trajectory has it striking the Bicol region directly, with further impacts to Luzon possible.
Moderate Tropical Storm #Bheki spinning up over the open Southwest Indian Ocean. No immediate threat to land, thankfully. Very nice banding feature visible in the eastern semicircle.
November 14, 2024 at 7:53 AM
Moderate Tropical Storm #Bheki spinning up over the open Southwest Indian Ocean. No immediate threat to land, thankfully. Very nice banding feature visible in the eastern semicircle.
Milton's three peaks. Impressed how it maintained a very similar (and healthy!) outflow pattern for >36 hours- goes to show how uniquely favorable of a synoptic setup it had that allowed it to sustain such a high intensity for that long.
November 13, 2024 at 9:14 PM
Milton's three peaks. Impressed how it maintained a very similar (and healthy!) outflow pattern for >36 hours- goes to show how uniquely favorable of a synoptic setup it had that allowed it to sustain such a high intensity for that long.
Couple of Beryl images that I processed today. Noting that the W ring (red in my scheme) only gained a thickness of >0.5° at 0700z (its first synoptic C5 point was 0600z) and shrank back below that criteria at ~0900z. Even so, in situ supported C5 the whole time.
November 13, 2024 at 6:21 PM
Couple of Beryl images that I processed today. Noting that the W ring (red in my scheme) only gained a thickness of >0.5° at 0700z (its first synoptic C5 point was 0600z) and shrank back below that criteria at ~0900z. Even so, in situ supported C5 the whole time.