Lacrosse Reference
@laxreference.bsky.social
The Expected Goals newsletter is free, in your inbox very morning (mostly) and read by over 1,200 college lacrosse fans. Get smarter about college lacrosse in 5 minutes. Sign up here:
https://pro.lacrossereference.com/expected-goals?t=bs3ps2kspwoxabc
https://pro.lacrossereference.com/expected-goals?t=bs3ps2kspwoxabc
Based on the early entries, this looks like the most contentious pod so far in the #LRBracketChallenge
Get your picks in today!
Get your picks in today!
May 5, 2025 at 3:20 PM
Based on the early entries, this looks like the most contentious pod so far in the #LRBracketChallenge
Get your picks in today!
Get your picks in today!
Here's the DIII MLAX bubble.
After each simulation run (through the end of the conference tournaments), I counted up the number of times that every team was either last-2-in or first-2-out. These are the teams that (assuming they don't win their AQ) could go either way.
After each simulation run (through the end of the conference tournaments), I counted up the number of times that every team was either last-2-in or first-2-out. These are the teams that (assuming they don't win their AQ) could go either way.
April 12, 2025 at 12:11 PM
Here's the DIII MLAX bubble.
After each simulation run (through the end of the conference tournaments), I counted up the number of times that every team was either last-2-in or first-2-out. These are the teams that (assuming they don't win their AQ) could go either way.
After each simulation run (through the end of the conference tournaments), I counted up the number of times that every team was either last-2-in or first-2-out. These are the teams that (assuming they don't win their AQ) could go either way.
Wild weekend. Here's where the computer rankings for DI MLAX settled. Ohio State is your #1 is your #1 team in the nation followed by Cornell. Terps fall to 3rd and Cuse is up to 4th after the win over ND. Army at No. 7. This stretch run is going to be wild.
April 6, 2025 at 9:26 PM
Wild weekend. Here's where the computer rankings for DI MLAX settled. Ohio State is your #1 is your #1 team in the nation followed by Cornell. Terps fall to 3rd and Cuse is up to 4th after the win over ND. Army at No. 7. This stretch run is going to be wild.
Maybe discount the Iona result, but there were 3, maybe 4, important results yesterday. Does Cuse get the nod or is it OSU over Hop?
April 6, 2025 at 1:23 PM
Maybe discount the Iona result, but there were 3, maybe 4, important results yesterday. Does Cuse get the nod or is it OSU over Hop?
We have our first lock of the DI MLAX season. After their 12-6 in over UVA, Maryland did not miss the NCAA field in any of the 3,000 simulations that ran overnight.
March 16, 2025 at 12:49 PM
We have our first lock of the DI MLAX season. After their 12-6 in over UVA, Maryland did not miss the NCAA field in any of the 3,000 simulations that ran overnight.
Ok, the DII MLAX simulator is out of the shop. It's been updated to
✅ Reflects 9 AQs + 7 at-larges
✅ Appropriately limits the field to 8 teams per region
✅ Simulates the random PBC/RMAC uber-title game
Here's how the current projections look
✅ Reflects 9 AQs + 7 at-larges
✅ Appropriately limits the field to 8 teams per region
✅ Simulates the random PBC/RMAC uber-title game
Here's how the current projections look
March 11, 2025 at 8:15 PM
Ok, the DII MLAX simulator is out of the shop. It's been updated to
✅ Reflects 9 AQs + 7 at-larges
✅ Appropriately limits the field to 8 teams per region
✅ Simulates the random PBC/RMAC uber-title game
Here's how the current projections look
✅ Reflects 9 AQs + 7 at-larges
✅ Appropriately limits the field to 8 teams per region
✅ Simulates the random PBC/RMAC uber-title game
Here's how the current projections look
With the DI MLAX weekend in the books, here's the current LR Computer Rankings
Moving Up: Ohio State, Harvard, Princeton, Penn State
In: UMass, Boston U, Saint Joseph's
Moving Down: North Carolina, Delaware, Johns Hopkins, Notre Dame
Out: Navy, Denver, Penn
Moving Up: Ohio State, Harvard, Princeton, Penn State
In: UMass, Boston U, Saint Joseph's
Moving Down: North Carolina, Delaware, Johns Hopkins, Notre Dame
Out: Navy, Denver, Penn
March 9, 2025 at 8:45 PM
With the DI MLAX weekend in the books, here's the current LR Computer Rankings
Moving Up: Ohio State, Harvard, Princeton, Penn State
In: UMass, Boston U, Saint Joseph's
Moving Down: North Carolina, Delaware, Johns Hopkins, Notre Dame
Out: Navy, Denver, Penn
Moving Up: Ohio State, Harvard, Princeton, Penn State
In: UMass, Boston U, Saint Joseph's
Moving Down: North Carolina, Delaware, Johns Hopkins, Notre Dame
Out: Navy, Denver, Penn
Here's an early look at how the simulator sees the eventual NCAA field developing. At the moment, 7 leagues have a non-zero chance at multiple bids
March 6, 2025 at 2:06 PM
Here's an early look at how the simulator sees the eventual NCAA field developing. At the moment, 7 leagues have a non-zero chance at multiple bids
Here's where the 2.0 computer rankings finished the weekend
March 2, 2025 at 10:33 PM
Here's where the 2.0 computer rankings finished the weekend
Henry Dodge is currently the highest-rated faceoff specialist in all of DI MLAX.
February 26, 2025 at 7:01 PM
Henry Dodge is currently the highest-rated faceoff specialist in all of DI MLAX.
Very fun WP chart from Marist this weekend.
February 24, 2025 at 4:19 PM
Very fun WP chart from Marist this weekend.
This is part (but not all of) the reason that the Computer Rankings have Cornell 15th while the media polls have them so much higher.
(From today's newsletter)
#ExpectedGoals_D1M
(From today's newsletter)
#ExpectedGoals_D1M
February 17, 2025 at 2:42 PM
This is part (but not all of) the reason that the Computer Rankings have Cornell 15th while the media polls have them so much higher.
(From today's newsletter)
#ExpectedGoals_D1M
(From today's newsletter)
#ExpectedGoals_D1M
With all the DI MLAX games in the books, the Computer Rankings (2.0) have
🔹the Terps in the top spot after their big win up at Cuse
🔹Richmond into the top-10 after their win over UVA and
🔹Sacred Heart cracking the Top-20
🔹the Terps in the top spot after their big win up at Cuse
🔹Richmond into the top-10 after their win over UVA and
🔹Sacred Heart cracking the Top-20
February 16, 2025 at 7:28 PM
With all the DI MLAX games in the books, the Computer Rankings (2.0) have
🔹the Terps in the top spot after their big win up at Cuse
🔹Richmond into the top-10 after their win over UVA and
🔹Sacred Heart cracking the Top-20
🔹the Terps in the top spot after their big win up at Cuse
🔹Richmond into the top-10 after their win over UVA and
🔹Sacred Heart cracking the Top-20
A tweak has been made...
February 10, 2025 at 8:37 PM
A tweak has been made...
Which win spoke the loudest?
February 10, 2025 at 4:57 PM
Which win spoke the loudest?
Which win spoke the loudest?
February 10, 2025 at 4:51 PM
Which win spoke the loudest?
Which win spoke the loudest?
February 10, 2025 at 4:33 PM
Which win spoke the loudest?
Which win spoke the loudest?
February 10, 2025 at 4:27 PM
Which win spoke the loudest?
These three had the most impressive statistical performances of the day. Here are your 3 Stars for Feb 9th in DII Men's lacrosse
#LaxRef3Stars
#LaxRef3Stars
February 10, 2025 at 3:21 PM
These three had the most impressive statistical performances of the day. Here are your 3 Stars for Feb 9th in DII Men's lacrosse
#LaxRef3Stars
#LaxRef3Stars
These three had the most impressive statistical performances of the day. Here are your 3 Stars for Feb 9th in DII Women's lacrosse
#LaxRef3Stars
#LaxRef3Stars
February 10, 2025 at 1:57 PM
These three had the most impressive statistical performances of the day. Here are your 3 Stars for Feb 9th in DII Women's lacrosse
#LaxRef3Stars
#LaxRef3Stars
4/ Johns Hopkins vs Towson
No turnovers: Brooks English shines as a key facilitator in Hopkins' narrow victory over Towson
No turnovers: Brooks English shines as a key facilitator in Hopkins' narrow victory over Towson
February 9, 2025 at 6:15 PM
4/ Johns Hopkins vs Towson
No turnovers: Brooks English shines as a key facilitator in Hopkins' narrow victory over Towson
No turnovers: Brooks English shines as a key facilitator in Hopkins' narrow victory over Towson
3/ Roster Analysis: Cornell
With Kirst, Long and Goldstein back, Cornell's offense looks to build on last year's strong performance
With Kirst, Long and Goldstein back, Cornell's offense looks to build on last year's strong performance
February 9, 2025 at 6:15 PM
3/ Roster Analysis: Cornell
With Kirst, Long and Goldstein back, Cornell's offense looks to build on last year's strong performance
With Kirst, Long and Goldstein back, Cornell's offense looks to build on last year's strong performance
2/ Key Stretch
From 25% to 42%: Providence's scoring surge seals the deal in big win over Bryant
From 25% to 42%: Providence's scoring surge seals the deal in big win over Bryant
February 9, 2025 at 6:15 PM
2/ Key Stretch
From 25% to 42%: Providence's scoring surge seals the deal in big win over Bryant
From 25% to 42%: Providence's scoring surge seals the deal in big win over Bryant