Laura Belin
@laurarbelin.bsky.social
Reporter covering Iowa politics (and sometimes wildflowers) for the progressive website Bleeding Heartland. https://www.bleedingheartland.com
Part-time statehouse reporter for KHOI Radio in Ames. https://laurabelin.substack.com
Part-time statehouse reporter for KHOI Radio in Ames. https://laurabelin.substack.com
There must be something in state law about breaking ties.
November 11, 2025 at 2:01 PM
There must be something in state law about breaking ties.
From the beginning I could never see an endgame that was favorable to Democrats. It's not that I wanted them to vote for a funding bill--it just seemed that they had a lot of suboptimal options all along. It was always going to end with some version of a cave.
November 11, 2025 at 5:23 AM
From the beginning I could never see an endgame that was favorable to Democrats. It's not that I wanted them to vote for a funding bill--it just seemed that they had a lot of suboptimal options all along. It was always going to end with some version of a cave.
I live in a small suburb of Des Moines, Iowa (population around 5,000). One year we had a city council race decided by two votes, another year by seven votes, this year one candidate lost by 15 votes.
November 11, 2025 at 1:45 AM
I live in a small suburb of Des Moines, Iowa (population around 5,000). One year we had a city council race decided by two votes, another year by seven votes, this year one candidate lost by 15 votes.
I’m sure the local Democrats and Indivisible will show up.
November 10, 2025 at 3:28 AM
I’m sure the local Democrats and Indivisible will show up.
It seems way more likely that he is simply capitalizing on what sells among Gen Z Republican men.
November 9, 2025 at 2:52 PM
It seems way more likely that he is simply capitalizing on what sells among Gen Z Republican men.
Mariannette Miller-Meeks #IA01 has been using versions of this line (the ACA subsidies are bad because they reward insurance companies).
November 9, 2025 at 5:48 AM
Mariannette Miller-Meeks #IA01 has been using versions of this line (the ACA subsidies are bad because they reward insurance companies).
It doesn't seem like this election was nationalized. Not like the governor's races elsewhere.
November 9, 2025 at 5:09 AM
It doesn't seem like this election was nationalized. Not like the governor's races elsewhere.
It's not that every Republican will vote for Feenstra, it's just hard to get a Democrat to a win number unless GOP turnout is extremely low or we see a higher GOP crossover vote than we've ever seen in Iowa.
I walked through some of the math here.
www.bleedingheartland.com/2025/06/15/r...
I walked through some of the math here.
www.bleedingheartland.com/2025/06/15/r...
Real talk on the long odds facing Iowa Democrats in 2026
Laura Belin explains why Iowa Democrats probably can't win statewide races in 2026 without a major voter registration drive.
www.bleedingheartland.com
November 9, 2025 at 3:30 AM
It's not that every Republican will vote for Feenstra, it's just hard to get a Democrat to a win number unless GOP turnout is extremely low or we see a higher GOP crossover vote than we've ever seen in Iowa.
I walked through some of the math here.
www.bleedingheartland.com/2025/06/15/r...
I walked through some of the math here.
www.bleedingheartland.com/2025/06/15/r...
Independent turnout crashes in midterm elections. They may be 40% of registered voters but they will make up far less than 40% of the November 2026 electorate. Even if the split 2-1 for Sand it may not be enough, depending on the GOP turnout. I doubt there will be a huge crossover vote for Sand.
November 9, 2025 at 3:29 AM
Independent turnout crashes in midterm elections. They may be 40% of registered voters but they will make up far less than 40% of the November 2026 electorate. Even if the split 2-1 for Sand it may not be enough, depending on the GOP turnout. I doubt there will be a huge crossover vote for Sand.
You can if there are 200,000 more Republicans than Democrats.
November 8, 2025 at 8:19 PM
You can if there are 200,000 more Republicans than Democrats.