Laura Belin
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laurarbelin.bsky.social
Laura Belin
@laurarbelin.bsky.social
Reporter covering Iowa politics (and sometimes wildflowers) for the progressive website Bleeding Heartland. https://www.bleedingheartland.com

Part-time statehouse reporter for KHOI Radio in Ames. https://laurabelin.substack.com
There must be something in state law about breaking ties.
November 11, 2025 at 2:01 PM
From the beginning I could never see an endgame that was favorable to Democrats. It's not that I wanted them to vote for a funding bill--it just seemed that they had a lot of suboptimal options all along. It was always going to end with some version of a cave.
November 11, 2025 at 5:23 AM
I live in a small suburb of Des Moines, Iowa (population around 5,000). One year we had a city council race decided by two votes, another year by seven votes, this year one candidate lost by 15 votes.
November 11, 2025 at 1:45 AM
I’m sure the local Democrats and Indivisible will show up.
November 10, 2025 at 3:28 AM
It seems way more likely that he is simply capitalizing on what sells among Gen Z Republican men.
November 9, 2025 at 2:52 PM
Mariannette Miller-Meeks #IA01 has been using versions of this line (the ACA subsidies are bad because they reward insurance companies).
November 9, 2025 at 5:48 AM
It doesn't seem like this election was nationalized. Not like the governor's races elsewhere.
November 9, 2025 at 5:09 AM
It's not that every Republican will vote for Feenstra, it's just hard to get a Democrat to a win number unless GOP turnout is extremely low or we see a higher GOP crossover vote than we've ever seen in Iowa.
I walked through some of the math here.
www.bleedingheartland.com/2025/06/15/r...
Real talk on the long odds facing Iowa Democrats in 2026
Laura Belin explains why Iowa Democrats probably can't win statewide races in 2026 without a major voter registration drive.
www.bleedingheartland.com
November 9, 2025 at 3:30 AM
Independent turnout crashes in midterm elections. They may be 40% of registered voters but they will make up far less than 40% of the November 2026 electorate. Even if the split 2-1 for Sand it may not be enough, depending on the GOP turnout. I doubt there will be a huge crossover vote for Sand.
November 9, 2025 at 3:29 AM
You can if there are 200,000 more Republicans than Democrats.
November 8, 2025 at 8:19 PM