Also a lot of FPL draft
Ok the results are in, how does xFA v1.0 perform in comparison to xA?
Well I looked at 2023-24 #FPL season data and xFA is 3.6% off the FPL assist total, compared to 29.8% off for xA - that's an 8x improvement (!!)
🧵
Ok the results are in, how does xFA v1.0 perform in comparison to xA?
Well I looked at 2023-24 #FPL season data and xFA is 3.6% off the FPL assist total, compared to 29.8% off for xA - that's an 8x improvement (!!)
🧵
Since 2017-18 (fbref xA data cutoff), Sterling has:
- 80 FPL assists
1. He's Won 18 pens (xFPLA of 18 * 0.75 = 13.5) (17%)
2. Accumulated 43.5 xA (54%)
3. Unknown (remaining 29%)
So for Sterling, xA is missing out on 46% of his expected FPL assists!
Since 2017-18 (fbref xA data cutoff), Sterling has:
- 80 FPL assists
1. He's Won 18 pens (xFPLA of 18 * 0.75 = 13.5) (17%)
2. Accumulated 43.5 xA (54%)
3. Unknown (remaining 29%)
So for Sterling, xA is missing out on 46% of his expected FPL assists!