Ok, here is a real data source:
www.canada.ca/en/immigrati...

Looks like 2025 is running ~50% below 2024. (Caveat--some of Aug's usual permits may have been delayed until Sept 2025)

But this means the new 2026 155K target may not be much different than where we were headed anyway.

Worse news: they are *again* telling the world not to come so applications may tumble further and we won't even make the target.

We provide excellent education to both domestic and int'l students here. We're getting punched in the balls to solve problems at Conestoga college or some damned place.

But, the headlines are trumpeting "big new cuts to foreign students".

In 2024, the prov of BC allocated UBC enough quota to keep int'l student enrollment constant. And yet applications plunged.

Why? Big negative "don't come to Canada" headlines. We had quota.

We're doing that again? Not good.

Ok, so this article (h/t ) @amyjoanneryder.bsky.social gives some solace:

It says 2024 permits were 267,890, and that in 2025 so far things look to be substantially down from 2024.

If that's all true, then we will already be close to 2026's 155K target.

monitor.icef.com/2025/09/cana...

That article is great. Thanks. But the 143K is study permit *applications* not *approvals*. Lower down it says approval rates are only 30%....

Thanks. I saw that. But Alex's numbers look like they might be TFW+international students? My bottom line depends on the latter not the former so that's what I want to understand.

(No broad budget commentary from me right now. I'm responsible for the VSE budget so my concerns are more about my own potential deficit than the federal deficit right now...and that depends largely on this international student thing.)

Like, if 2025 target was 305,900 and actual was already short of that, moving the 2026 target downward to 155K won't be as painful.

But if 2025 actual is like 300K then a 155K 2026 target is super painful.

Anyone know what's up here?

www.theglobeandmail.com/politics/art...

"It has slashed its previous target of admitting 305,900 foreign students each year from 2025 to 2027, and now it plans to reduce numbers to 155,000 in 2026, and to drop them further to 150,000 in each of 2027 and 2028."

What is the *actual* for 2025?

Confirmed!

He'll be in to pinch-hit for a lefty (e.g. Lukes) when a LHP takes the mound....

All three throws on the 1992 WS double (triple) play were super crisp on target and hard. Devo-Alomar, Alomar-Olerud, Olerud-Gruber.

www.youtube.com/watch?v=GYA6...