Kevin O’Neill
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kevingoneill.github.io
Kevin O’Neill
@kevingoneill.github.io
Postdoc @ UCL studying causal judgment, counterfactual thinking, and metacognition

https://kevingoneill.github.io
- I am passionate about modeling, stats, and methods. I started a blog with all kinds of tutorials! (dibsmethodsmeetings.github.io)

- can be spotted riding a purple bike around London

and as promised, here are my cats who are more famous than me (momotheflyingcat on IG)
November 21, 2024 at 6:53 PM
Finally, model comparisons revealed that only one existing model (the Necessity-Sufficiency model) could predict both causal judgments and confidence. These results were robust to different methods of modeling confidence from counterfactual models
August 6, 2024 at 3:28 PM
Next, relying on ideas from research on metacognition, we demonstrated that popular counterfactual models of causal judgment made a range of predictions about confidence, even if their predictions of causal judgments were similar
August 6, 2024 at 3:26 PM
Just like causal judgments, confidence in causal judgments exhibited small but clear effects of normality! In the situations where C and A are both necessary for E, people give higher causal judgments of C and are more confident when C is rare but A is common
August 6, 2024 at 3:23 PM