@kevincompile.bsky.social
Look at his intuition about the future — 25 years is discounted **entirely**, as if making long horizon in investment doesn't matter.
Here we are, 25 years in the future, living in the world this nihilistic nincompoop created, with nothing to show for it except privations and misery.
Here we are, 25 years in the future, living in the world this nihilistic nincompoop created, with nothing to show for it except privations and misery.
December 21, 2025 at 4:27 PM
Look at his intuition about the future — 25 years is discounted **entirely**, as if making long horizon in investment doesn't matter.
Here we are, 25 years in the future, living in the world this nihilistic nincompoop created, with nothing to show for it except privations and misery.
Here we are, 25 years in the future, living in the world this nihilistic nincompoop created, with nothing to show for it except privations and misery.
Nobody talks about the death threats they receive in public, because that just invites more of them, but if you have them trickling in throughout the year, I can see how a tweet like that would feel a bit more unnerving than what the author intended. It's also just a lazy way to disagree with Matt.
December 21, 2025 at 4:00 PM
Nobody talks about the death threats they receive in public, because that just invites more of them, but if you have them trickling in throughout the year, I can see how a tweet like that would feel a bit more unnerving than what the author intended. It's also just a lazy way to disagree with Matt.
FREE THE BNB! ✊
December 20, 2025 at 6:42 PM
FREE THE BNB! ✊
The graphic is kinda cute, despite all the information being wrong.
December 17, 2025 at 1:43 PM
The graphic is kinda cute, despite all the information being wrong.
Also Severance, and season one of Westworld.
December 13, 2025 at 6:52 PM
Also Severance, and season one of Westworld.
The impostors of AI.
December 12, 2025 at 2:15 PM
The impostors of AI.
Human form makes them interoperable with all our stuff. It's just a way to make them more general-purpose, for many diverse tasks. It's like the sonic screwdriver of form factors, a do-everything tool.
December 9, 2025 at 2:27 PM
Human form makes them interoperable with all our stuff. It's just a way to make them more general-purpose, for many diverse tasks. It's like the sonic screwdriver of form factors, a do-everything tool.
>”I’ve never seen men so scared.” That was Donald Trump’s amused verdict after observing Xi Jinping’s intimidating effect on the Chinese leader’s entourage, at a recent meeting. “I want my cabinet to behave like that,” joked the US president.
I still can't believe this timeline is real.
I still can't believe this timeline is real.
December 1, 2025 at 1:46 PM
>”I’ve never seen men so scared.” That was Donald Trump’s amused verdict after observing Xi Jinping’s intimidating effect on the Chinese leader’s entourage, at a recent meeting. “I want my cabinet to behave like that,” joked the US president.
I still can't believe this timeline is real.
I still can't believe this timeline is real.
"No, more wars."
November 30, 2025 at 12:44 AM
"No, more wars."
It's 2025, and you can just do things!
November 30, 2025 at 12:43 AM
It's 2025, and you can just do things!
I love this 😂
November 13, 2025 at 3:49 PM
I love this 😂
Eh, so, should we do this again, or...?
November 12, 2025 at 7:55 PM
Eh, so, should we do this again, or...?
I think we all know that AI doing everything is still a long shot, so nobody's actually betting on it happening until there's better evidence for it materializing.
November 9, 2025 at 4:40 PM
I think we all know that AI doing everything is still a long shot, so nobody's actually betting on it happening until there's better evidence for it materializing.
Dang, I thought for sure they would only be bigoted towards everyone else but Jewish people. I can't believe it. Nobody could have predicted this.
November 8, 2025 at 9:53 PM
Dang, I thought for sure they would only be bigoted towards everyone else but Jewish people. I can't believe it. Nobody could have predicted this.
Markets, updating at the speed of new information! Pretty neat!
November 5, 2025 at 3:49 PM
Markets, updating at the speed of new information! Pretty neat!
Who is now sitting in Manchin's seat, and are we better off having that person rather than Manchin?
November 3, 2025 at 2:11 PM
Who is now sitting in Manchin's seat, and are we better off having that person rather than Manchin?
Can you tell me more? This is fascinating.
October 31, 2025 at 7:28 PM
Can you tell me more? This is fascinating.
Yea, I think it's more important to credibly signal for popular issues -- then, when you win, ya know, do something better 🙃
October 30, 2025 at 11:00 PM
Yea, I think it's more important to credibly signal for popular issues -- then, when you win, ya know, do something better 🙃
This probably isn't the real probability, but rather a market failure which arises because of the time value of money, as explained here:
ericneyman.wordpress.com/2025/03/24/w...
ericneyman.wordpress.com/2025/03/24/w...
Will Jesus Christ return in an election year?
Thanks to Jesse Richardson for discussion. Polymarket asks: will Jesus Christ return in 2025? In the three days since the market opened, traders have wagered over $100,000 on this question. The mar…
ericneyman.wordpress.com
October 27, 2025 at 8:24 PM
This probably isn't the real probability, but rather a market failure which arises because of the time value of money, as explained here:
ericneyman.wordpress.com/2025/03/24/w...
ericneyman.wordpress.com/2025/03/24/w...
What was encountering the KGB like?
October 24, 2025 at 4:13 PM
What was encountering the KGB like?
I could hardly think of a milder form of assistance than "we'll give you targets on a map," yet that's the kind of "pressure" we can expect Trump to place on Putin; and even that was too much.
October 22, 2025 at 9:11 PM
I could hardly think of a milder form of assistance than "we'll give you targets on a map," yet that's the kind of "pressure" we can expect Trump to place on Putin; and even that was too much.
Highly recommend this essay!
October 20, 2025 at 4:36 PM
Highly recommend this essay!
If you read anything political this week, make sure it's this!
October 20, 2025 at 4:31 PM
If you read anything political this week, make sure it's this!
Can someone explain to me whether this is 1.2 trillion in literal tax revenue, or 1.2 trillion in revenue diverted away from profits?
October 18, 2025 at 12:43 PM
Can someone explain to me whether this is 1.2 trillion in literal tax revenue, or 1.2 trillion in revenue diverted away from profits?