Ken Baird
kb-01.bsky.social
Ken Baird
@kb-01.bsky.social
Reposted by Ken Baird
#ThrowbackLoss

This day year ago (2025) holds 10 visually confirmed 🇷🇺 armoured material losses in 🇺🇦. Among them this tank destroyed in a tree line South of Novyi Komar, Volnovakha raion that despite precise location and various footage remains unidentified to this day.

1/3
February 12, 2026 at 8:36 PM
Reposted by Ken Baird
Last week holds 15 🇷🇺 losses in 🇺🇦, up from week before (5 initially, 11 now) yet historically low compared to the same 7-day period:
2⃣0⃣2⃣5⃣: 83
2⃣0⃣2⃣4⃣: 63
2⃣0⃣2⃣3⃣: 71

We're now running out of adverbs that describe how *unusually* low these are and going to stop doing that.
February 10, 2026 at 3:26 PM
Reposted by Ken Baird
#MonthlyLosses

Jan 2026 has just ended, and right off the bat we're seeing what we've been anticipating for quite a while now: sub-100 month. At 74 scored 🇷🇺 losses in 🇺🇦, there's not much else to say about it, except maybe 3 things.

⏬ 1/4
February 7, 2026 at 5:45 PM
Reposted by Ken Baird
#ThrowbackLoss

This day year ago (2025) holds 10 confirmed 🇷🇺 losses in 🇺🇦. Not quite among them this 'Giatsint-S' SPG hit somewhere in Kherson oblast, rather tricky one. Despite grave impact, the footage doesn't show any concerning aftermath or fire, hence only damaged.

1/3
February 5, 2026 at 2:17 PM
Reposted by Ken Baird
Last week holds 5 — yes, five — visually confirmed 🇷🇺 #WeeklyLosses in 🇺🇦, unprecedentedly low compared to anything we've seen incl. the week before, already extremely low (18 then, 19 now), let alone same period over previous years:
2⃣0⃣2⃣5⃣: 79
2⃣0⃣2⃣4⃣: 92
2⃣0⃣2⃣3⃣: 55

1/2
February 3, 2026 at 4:32 PM
Reposted by Ken Baird
#ThrowbackLoss

This day year ago (2025) holds 9 visually confirmed 🇷🇺 material losses in 🇺🇦. Among them rare combo: KamAZ 6x6 with T-72B3 Obr. 2022 on its back parked at the bus stop in Varvarivka, N of Siverskodonetsk. Both vehicles caught fire and burned down immediately.

1/3
January 29, 2026 at 2:28 PM
Reposted by Ken Baird
Last week holds 18 visually confirmed 🇷🇺 heavy material #WeeklyLosses in 🇺🇦, pretty much identical to the week before (initially 17, now 21), both rather scratching the bottom of what the same 7-day period used to be:
2⃣0⃣2⃣5⃣: 81
2⃣0⃣2⃣4⃣: 80
2⃣0⃣2⃣3⃣: 43
January 27, 2026 at 1:56 PM
Reposted by Ken Baird
#ThrowbackLoss

This day year ago (2025) holds 8 visually confirmed material 🇷🇺 losses in 🇺🇦, 4 of them happen to be BMD-2's from Chasiv Yar assault. Here's 🤯 video of 🇺🇦 T-72M1 engaging one of them with its 125mm main gun at point blank, after which it was no more.

1/3
January 22, 2026 at 1:55 PM
Reposted by Ken Baird
Last week holds 17 visually confirmed 🇷🇺 heavy material #WeeklyLosses in 🇺🇦, nearly the same as week before (initially 14, now 19) and ultra-low compared to the same 7-day period before:
2⃣0⃣2⃣5⃣: 68
2⃣0⃣2⃣4⃣: 64
2⃣0⃣2⃣3⃣: 53
January 20, 2026 at 2:02 PM
Reposted by Ken Baird
#ThrowbackLoss

This day year ago (2025) holds 13 visually confirmed 🇷🇺 losses in 🇺🇦. Among them not 1⃣, not 2⃣, not 3⃣ but 4⃣ spectacular 💥's: BMP of some kind, 2S23 'Nona-SVK', 2S1 Gvozdika, and presumably BMD-2.

1/3
January 15, 2026 at 3:22 PM
Reposted by Ken Baird
Last week holds 14 confirmed 🇷🇺 #WeeklyLosses in 🇺🇦, further down from 22 week before (initially, now 29). These numbers are particularly dwarfed by previous years over exact same 7-day period:
2⃣0⃣2⃣5⃣: 83
2⃣0⃣2⃣4⃣: 78
2⃣0⃣2⃣3⃣: 58
January 13, 2026 at 2:16 PM
Reposted by Ken Baird
#ThrowbackLoss

This day year ago (2025) holds 15 🇷🇺 losses in 🇺🇦. Among them not one but two BTR-D's in Kursk oblast where 🇷🇺 air assault units were deployed. What makes it 😮 is the fact that 72 out of 105 have been lost back in 2022, and only one more lost since year ago.

1/3
January 8, 2026 at 2:19 PM
Reposted by Ken Baird
Last week holds 22 confirmed 🇷🇺 #WeeklyLosses in 🇺🇦, back to 20ish baseline from 50+ bump in mid Dec. Bear in mind: this particular week is likely poised to grow since it holds Dec 31, placeholder for unknown 2025 date.

Compare to:
2⃣0⃣2⃣4⃣/2⃣5⃣: 89
2⃣0⃣2⃣3⃣/2⃣4⃣: 88
2⃣0⃣2⃣2⃣/2⃣3⃣: 70
January 6, 2026 at 3:45 PM
Reposted by Ken Baird
It's hard to believe we're 👀 5th calendar year of #UkraineRussiaWar. Among other things this means our end-of-year overviews are getting increasingly more colorful. The colors appear to tell us what we already know: 2025 is 📉 in almost all departments.

But there's more ⏬

1/
January 5, 2026 at 3:43 PM
Reposted by Ken Baird
#ThrowbackLoss

This day year ago (2025 — yes, 2025 🤯) holds 7 confirmed 🇷🇺 losses in 🇺🇦. *Not* among them Mi-28NM heli reportedly lost in Voronezh oblast. Despite reports coming from 🇷🇺 side, and crew obituaries on the web, there is no visual evidence as of today, hence not on our list.

1/3
January 1, 2026 at 3:21 PM
Reposted by Ken Baird
Visually confirmed 🇷🇺 #WeeklyLosses in 🇺🇦 accelerated to 57 last week from 40 week before (initially, 46 now). This is well above last 3 months' (41) yet below this year's (62) weekly avg.

Also ambivalent compared to the same 7-day period before:
2⃣0⃣2⃣4⃣: 75
2⃣0⃣2⃣3⃣: 90
2⃣0⃣2⃣2⃣: 40
December 30, 2025 at 4:10 PM
Reposted by Ken Baird
#ThrowbackLoss

This day year ago (2024) holds mere 3 visually confirmed 🇷🇺 losses in 🇺🇦. Among them this BMP-3 hit by something that made the garage it was hiding inside virtually disappear in Novozlatopil, Polohy raion.

1/3
December 25, 2025 at 8:53 PM
Reposted by Ken Baird
Last week holds 40 confirmed 🇷🇺 #WeeklyLosses in 🇺🇦, nifty departure from 15 week ago. Tbh we forgot last time we remotely approached any of the previous years, yet here we go:
2⃣0⃣2⃣4⃣: 67
2⃣0⃣2⃣3⃣: 57
2⃣0⃣2⃣2⃣: 36

This also means we're absolutely not seeing sub-100 month this year 🤷‍♂️
December 23, 2025 at 1:37 PM
Reposted by Ken Baird
#ThrowbackLoss

This day year ago (2024) holds 9 visually confirmed 🇷🇺 losses in 🇺🇦. Among them this BMP-2 FPV'ed in South Kupiansk raion right besides another BMP-2 FPV'ed three months earlier. Cases of multiple vehicles destroyed on exact same spot months apart are rare but not 😱 rare.

1/3
December 18, 2025 at 2:09 PM
Reposted by Ken Baird
Last week holds 15 visually confirmed 🇷🇺 material #WeeklyLosses in 🇺🇦, back down from 22 the week before (initially reported, 31 now) and remarkably low compared to exact 7-day period on any of the previous years:
2⃣0⃣2⃣4⃣: 84
2⃣0⃣2⃣3⃣: 72
2⃣0⃣2⃣2⃣: 53

1/3
December 16, 2025 at 2:21 PM
Reposted by Ken Baird
#ThrowbackLoss

This day year ago (2024) holds 15 🇷🇺 losses in 🇺🇦. Among them these four MT-LB/LBu from 🇷🇺 assault South of Kupiansk, some of them heavily modified with additions, which is somewhat in spirit of MT-LB platform as we explored here: x.com/WarSpotting/...

1/3
December 11, 2025 at 3:56 PM
Reposted by Ken Baird
Last week holds 22 confirmed #Russian losses in #Ukraine️, up from 16 initially reported week before (26 now) — and both deep underwater compared to the same 7-day period before:
2⃣0⃣2⃣4⃣: 150 (incl. 51 autumn losses we attribute to Nov 31)
2⃣0⃣2⃣3⃣: 78 (17)
2⃣0⃣2⃣2⃣: 271 (150)
December 9, 2025 at 12:52 PM
Reposted by Ken Baird
#ThrowbackLoss

This day year ago (2024) holds 22 confirmed 🇷🇺 losses in 🇺🇦. Among them 3x Remdiesel Z-STS 'Akhmat' and 1x 'VPK-Ural', plus heavily damaged STS 'Sarmat-3'.

That's a lot of IMVs on a single day for an army that barely uses them, especially compared to 🇺🇦.

1/3
December 4, 2025 at 2:02 PM
Reposted by Ken Baird
Last week holds 16 confirmed 🇷🇺 #WeeklyLosses in 🇺🇦, further 📉 from the week before (17 then, 19 now).

Compare to:
2⃣0⃣2⃣4⃣: 116
2⃣0⃣2⃣3⃣: 58
2⃣0⃣2⃣2⃣: 72

This, of course, impacted entire last month that has just ended. Stay tuned as we'll be rolling out monthly overview soon.
December 2, 2025 at 1:57 PM
Reposted by Ken Baird
#MonthlyLosses

Here's super-quick look back at Nov 2025, which has just passed. At 115 visually confirmed 🇷🇺 losses in 🇺🇦, it's almost record breaking: only a touch above 106 we initially reported in Jul — although likely to grow just like Jul did and is at 163 now.

1/3
December 3, 2025 at 4:33 PM