Katie P
kapflau.bsky.social
Katie P
@kapflau.bsky.social
Science writer, nonprofit comms at @ametsoc.bsky.social, originator of the famous* dance where I pretend to be a squid.
*you had to be there
5/ Atmospheric rivers are key contributors to Calif. levee failures, notes a paper in "Weather, Climate, & Society.” Over 90% of weather-related levee failures between 1980 and 2021 had an atmospheric river event within the preceding 2 weeks. 🧪 doi.org/10.1175/WCAS...
February 6, 2025 at 10:38 PM
4/ From another #BulletinAMS paper: recent intense cold snaps in W. Europe, Texas, China, & Brazil are unlikely to recur in the same locations this century. "The most intense cold snaps ... are disappearing or have already disappeared due to anthropogenic climate change." 🧪 doi.org/10.1175/BAMS...
February 6, 2025 at 10:36 PM
3/ Another #BulletinAMS paper suggests the 10-year “drought” of the strongest (EF5) tornadoes is likely due to stricter use of EF scale ratings, not changes in tornadoes. Compared w/the older Fujita scale, the Enhanced Fujita (EF) scale makes it harder to qualify as an EF5. 🧪 doi.org/10.1175/BAMS...
February 6, 2025 at 10:34 PM
2/ Certain areas of the U.S. Southeast are "sitting ducks" for extreme heat and precip events, suggests a paper in #BulletinAMS. In these areas, odds of extreme events have increased exponentially--but haven't yet manifested, meaning locals are likely unprepared. 🧪 doi.org/10.1175/BAMS...
February 6, 2025 at 10:33 PM
🧵 Thread of recent weather/climate research in @ametsoc.org journals! 🧪

1/ A paper in "Weather & Forecasting" looks at massive California fires. It suggests that given enough dry fuel, wind is the key factor influencing how large a fire is & how fast/explosively it spreads. doi.org/10.1175/WAF-...
February 6, 2025 at 10:30 PM
🪽 over New Orleans on the last evening of #AMS2025. Get home safe everyone! If this region IS your home, thank you for having us 💗
January 16, 2025 at 10:53 PM
A few things heard at #AMS2025 this morning:
Communities already vulnerable are disproportionately hurt by wildfire damage.
Increasing urban wildfires=Black communities increasingly affected. (Lauren Taylor)
Heat risk may soon render 26% of Summer Olympic candidate cities nonviable. (Milena Raeber)
January 15, 2025 at 4:20 PM
Gardere, on taking a new, less helpless approach to important conversations in climate change and other areas: "[We, individuals, have to] see ourselves as co-founders of this nation ... Otherwise we have given up our capacity to make high-level decisions." #AMS2025
January 14, 2025 at 6:16 PM
Gardere: “We have to accept that something is happening with our climate, and there’s not a smart place to live. If it’s not a hurricane it’s a fire, a tornado, flooding. This tribalism we are trapped in, this matrix of winners and losers, is killing all of us." #AMS2025
January 14, 2025 at 6:12 PM
Ashleigh Gardere, PolicyLink, on disaster recovery (post-Katrina and in general): "Biggest lesson is the way this idea that there are folks who matter and others who don’t trips us up. … Until we can see each other and value each other as a collective, we’re not going to be better off.” #AMS2025
January 14, 2025 at 6:11 PM
Random things I learned at #AMS2025 this morn:
-Recent homeowners ins. cost increases can’t be explained by COVID or construction costs, appear driven by climate-related disasters.
-New Orleans’ population is still 20% less than pre-Katrina.
-LA fire risk exposure is expected 2 increase by 2050 😬
January 14, 2025 at 4:18 PM
Elder Chief Shirell: “Those that belong to any federal agencies: we need to remove the barriers that prevent all people from implementing their sense of responsibility to our planet. *Our* barrier has been federal acknowledgment. … We’re not asking for much. We want to save the coast.” #AMS2025
January 14, 2025 at 1:23 AM
Elder Chief Shirell Parfait-Dardar talked about how her community has worked to navigate rebuilding after Hurricane Ida, including programs to help people apply (and appeal denials) for disaster aid. “We come together the best we can.” #AMS2025
January 14, 2025 at 1:18 AM
Elder Theresa: “Storms are getting stronger. [People] see how much our weather has changed. We didn’t used to get any tornadoes around the area. So we’re trying to protect and build back stronger.” #AMS2025
January 14, 2025 at 1:16 AM
Elder Theresa Dardar noted how their community is only partly protected from flooding (her husband’s suggestions for additional levee infrastructure were ignored).
January 14, 2025 at 1:12 AM
Chief Deme Naquin shared about how his community had to relocate due to flooding, partly bc levee projects didn’t take them into account. Relocation of Jean Charles Choctaw Nation was hailed as a success story but the nation was left out of many discussions & doesn’t think of it as success. #AMS2025
January 14, 2025 at 1:10 AM
The #AMS2025 Lazrus Symposium’s presidential session on story sharing & Gulf Coast Indigenous science & community adaptation brought so much wisdom & vital info I couldn’t possibly transcribe it all. A few notes follow but seriously make a note to watch the recording if you weren’t there.
January 14, 2025 at 1:02 AM
Wish I could be in 5 places at the same time today! All my #AMS2025 target sessions are happening. Gulf Coast climate justice, Indigenous science, renewable energy, community resilience… Thank goodness for the meeting recordings is all I can say.
January 13, 2025 at 8:20 PM
Also your very cool promo video! People walking by seemed energized by the vibe.
January 13, 2025 at 2:06 AM
Dr. Beverly Wright at #AMS2025: “Poor people always fare out worse than wealthier people when there are disasters … Disaster buyouts and resilience investments usually benefit wealthy, white communities.” After Katrina, housing projects were gotten rid of, displacing generations of residents.
January 12, 2025 at 11:16 PM
Dr. Shepherd (@drshepherd2013.bsky.social at #AMS2025 Presidential Forum):“Extreme events are increasing … That’s not an opinion statement, it’s what the science says. They’re becoming more complex and they’re compounding. And the Gulf region is particularly at risk.”
January 12, 2025 at 10:43 PM
Virginia Burkett (USGS) at the #AMS2025 Presidential Forum notes that Louisiana lost 217 sq m of coastal marsh in one go (!) during Hurricanes Katrina and Rita. And so much change is still happening so fast.
January 12, 2025 at 10:26 PM
Air pollution and kimchi costs: A paper in “Weather, Climate & Society” looked at prices of kimchi ingredients radish and Chinese cabbage in South Korea. Air pollution events appeared to drive vegetable prices lower due to fewer people shopping—bad news for vendors. 🧪 Paper: doi.org/10.1175/WCAS...
December 10, 2024 at 10:30 PM
Dams in the U.S. West and Southwest have seen an overall downward trend in water inflow over 1993–2022, a Journal of Hydrometeorology paper finds. This trend is particularly pronounced in the California and Upper Colorado hydro regions. 🧪 Paper here: doi.org/10.1175/JHM-...
December 10, 2024 at 10:28 PM
Nearly 20 years later, Katrina remains the costliest U.S. hurricane. 🧪 A paper in Bulletin of the AMS (@ametsoc.bsky.social) finds that if Hurricane Katrina had happened in 2022, it would have had an estimated economic cost of $229 billion. Paper: doi.org/10.1175/BAMS...
December 10, 2024 at 10:27 PM