KairosIQ
@kairosiq.bsky.social
🌐 YouTube: youtube.com/@KairosIQ | Videos weekly.
⚡ Temporal Precision. Tactical Edge.
🎥 Creator @KairosIQ – decoding financial markets with cycles, fractals & bifurcation theory.
📈 Trading Signals | Global Macrotrends | Systemic Risk
⚡ Temporal Precision. Tactical Edge.
🎥 Creator @KairosIQ – decoding financial markets with cycles, fractals & bifurcation theory.
📈 Trading Signals | Global Macrotrends | Systemic Risk
Pinned
KairosIQ
@kairosiq.bsky.social
· Oct 19
Based on various data...
We are approaching a potential critical threshold in complex systems dynamics, a point known as a mixed transition.
This is when accumulated systemic failures interact across domains, triggering rapid, cascading collapse.
More to come...including an in-depth video.
We are approaching a potential critical threshold in complex systems dynamics, a point known as a mixed transition.
This is when accumulated systemic failures interact across domains, triggering rapid, cascading collapse.
More to come...including an in-depth video.
Bitcoin (BTC) - Weekly Trend Index:
Our Trend Index, built from a blend of weighted, dynamic trend-measurement metrics, has turned bearish for Bitcoin on the weekly time frame as of today’s close. The daily time frame flipped bearish earlier.
For context: on the weekly chart, Bitcoin
Our Trend Index, built from a blend of weighted, dynamic trend-measurement metrics, has turned bearish for Bitcoin on the weekly time frame as of today’s close. The daily time frame flipped bearish earlier.
For context: on the weekly chart, Bitcoin
November 22, 2025 at 3:06 AM
Bitcoin (BTC) - Weekly Trend Index:
Our Trend Index, built from a blend of weighted, dynamic trend-measurement metrics, has turned bearish for Bitcoin on the weekly time frame as of today’s close. The daily time frame flipped bearish earlier.
For context: on the weekly chart, Bitcoin
Our Trend Index, built from a blend of weighted, dynamic trend-measurement metrics, has turned bearish for Bitcoin on the weekly time frame as of today’s close. The daily time frame flipped bearish earlier.
For context: on the weekly chart, Bitcoin
The Gravestone Doji chart pattern that formed just over 2 weeks ago (SP500, DJIA) continues to play out. Among the candlestick chart patterns, the Gravestone Doji is among the most powerful.
Based on out-of-sample, walk forward testing...the pattern does offer edge.
#SP500 #StockMarket #DJIA
Based on out-of-sample, walk forward testing...the pattern does offer edge.
#SP500 #StockMarket #DJIA
November 18, 2025 at 7:33 PM
The Gravestone Doji chart pattern that formed just over 2 weeks ago (SP500, DJIA) continues to play out. Among the candlestick chart patterns, the Gravestone Doji is among the most powerful.
Based on out-of-sample, walk forward testing...the pattern does offer edge.
#SP500 #StockMarket #DJIA
Based on out-of-sample, walk forward testing...the pattern does offer edge.
#SP500 #StockMarket #DJIA
Reposted by KairosIQ
Happy 7th Anniversary to the Options Sellers Blow-Up Video (full version getting hard to find).
And since this is the USA, this guy has been busy with reputation rehab, plastic surgery & heavy make-up, and is back in business.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=VDKf...
www.bbc.com/news/busines...
And since this is the USA, this guy has been busy with reputation rehab, plastic surgery & heavy make-up, and is back in business.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=VDKf...
www.bbc.com/news/busines...
Investment boss in tearful video apology over losses
James Cordier blames the losses that could total $150m on a "rogue wave" in the oil and gas markets.
www.bbc.com
November 17, 2025 at 2:50 PM
Happy 7th Anniversary to the Options Sellers Blow-Up Video (full version getting hard to find).
And since this is the USA, this guy has been busy with reputation rehab, plastic surgery & heavy make-up, and is back in business.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=VDKf...
www.bbc.com/news/busines...
And since this is the USA, this guy has been busy with reputation rehab, plastic surgery & heavy make-up, and is back in business.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=VDKf...
www.bbc.com/news/busines...
An intriguing comparison between today’s stock market environment and the conditions leading up to 1929.
November 16, 2025 at 2:04 PM
An intriguing comparison between today’s stock market environment and the conditions leading up to 1929.
Individuals that served in the military and are deported...at some point in time they are going to be TOP recruits for global terrorists organizations.
They are ideally primed...
- Military training, pissed off, deep hatred towards the US, cash in on their paid for by U.S. taxpayer training.
They are ideally primed...
- Military training, pissed off, deep hatred towards the US, cash in on their paid for by U.S. taxpayer training.
November 15, 2025 at 5:49 PM
Individuals that served in the military and are deported...at some point in time they are going to be TOP recruits for global terrorists organizations.
They are ideally primed...
- Military training, pissed off, deep hatred towards the US, cash in on their paid for by U.S. taxpayer training.
They are ideally primed...
- Military training, pissed off, deep hatred towards the US, cash in on their paid for by U.S. taxpayer training.
Post-AI bubble: Infrastructure, Neuromimetic Chips, and the Future of Conscious AI
The AI bubble is real, and while much of the mainstream focuses on hype and influencer clickbait, the true story lies beyond AI itself. It’s not just about algorithms, it’s about
#AIBubble #StockMarket #Investing
The AI bubble is real, and while much of the mainstream focuses on hype and influencer clickbait, the true story lies beyond AI itself. It’s not just about algorithms, it’s about
#AIBubble #StockMarket #Investing
November 15, 2025 at 5:01 PM
Post-AI bubble: Infrastructure, Neuromimetic Chips, and the Future of Conscious AI
The AI bubble is real, and while much of the mainstream focuses on hype and influencer clickbait, the true story lies beyond AI itself. It’s not just about algorithms, it’s about
#AIBubble #StockMarket #Investing
The AI bubble is real, and while much of the mainstream focuses on hype and influencer clickbait, the true story lies beyond AI itself. It’s not just about algorithms, it’s about
#AIBubble #StockMarket #Investing
Corporate insiders are dumping shares near all-time highs.
When executives start selling heavily while the market sits at euphoric levels, it’s rarely a meaningless coincidence. Insiders can sell for many reasons, taxes, diversification, liquidity etc. but when selling clusters across multiple
When executives start selling heavily while the market sits at euphoric levels, it’s rarely a meaningless coincidence. Insiders can sell for many reasons, taxes, diversification, liquidity etc. but when selling clusters across multiple
November 15, 2025 at 2:59 AM
Corporate insiders are dumping shares near all-time highs.
When executives start selling heavily while the market sits at euphoric levels, it’s rarely a meaningless coincidence. Insiders can sell for many reasons, taxes, diversification, liquidity etc. but when selling clusters across multiple
When executives start selling heavily while the market sits at euphoric levels, it’s rarely a meaningless coincidence. Insiders can sell for many reasons, taxes, diversification, liquidity etc. but when selling clusters across multiple
Reposted by KairosIQ
Corporate Insiders are dumping near all-time highs 🚨🚨
November 14, 2025 at 9:41 PM
Corporate Insiders are dumping near all-time highs 🚨🚨
Mamdani....love him, hate him or indifferent. However, Summers remarking on socialism is peak hypocrisy.
Summer's deregulation stance and weakening of oversight helped create a system vulnerable to the shock of 2007/08.
Once the 💩 hit the fan, he helped design and defend the Wall St. BAILOUTS.
Summer's deregulation stance and weakening of oversight helped create a system vulnerable to the shock of 2007/08.
Once the 💩 hit the fan, he helped design and defend the Wall St. BAILOUTS.
November 14, 2025 at 1:45 AM
Mamdani....love him, hate him or indifferent. However, Summers remarking on socialism is peak hypocrisy.
Summer's deregulation stance and weakening of oversight helped create a system vulnerable to the shock of 2007/08.
Once the 💩 hit the fan, he helped design and defend the Wall St. BAILOUTS.
Summer's deregulation stance and weakening of oversight helped create a system vulnerable to the shock of 2007/08.
Once the 💩 hit the fan, he helped design and defend the Wall St. BAILOUTS.
The market feels like a beach right before a rip current hits.
Everything looks "relatively" calm on the surface. Meanwhile the undertow is loading up.
Everything looks "relatively" calm on the surface. Meanwhile the undertow is loading up.
November 14, 2025 at 12:47 AM
The market feels like a beach right before a rip current hits.
Everything looks "relatively" calm on the surface. Meanwhile the undertow is loading up.
Everything looks "relatively" calm on the surface. Meanwhile the undertow is loading up.
2 hedge funds recently "blew up" over subprime auto debt.
When your car-loan portfolio looks like the start of the next housing crisis, maybe you shouldn’t have called it “low risk.”
Big lesson: If the ride for the borrower is shaky, the ride for the fund can end up in the crash lane. Buckle up.
When your car-loan portfolio looks like the start of the next housing crisis, maybe you shouldn’t have called it “low risk.”
Big lesson: If the ride for the borrower is shaky, the ride for the fund can end up in the crash lane. Buckle up.
November 14, 2025 at 12:36 AM
2 hedge funds recently "blew up" over subprime auto debt.
When your car-loan portfolio looks like the start of the next housing crisis, maybe you shouldn’t have called it “low risk.”
Big lesson: If the ride for the borrower is shaky, the ride for the fund can end up in the crash lane. Buckle up.
When your car-loan portfolio looks like the start of the next housing crisis, maybe you shouldn’t have called it “low risk.”
Big lesson: If the ride for the borrower is shaky, the ride for the fund can end up in the crash lane. Buckle up.
💥 ADP just revealed more cracks: the U.S. lost an average of 11,000 jobs per week in October. Not just a number - a signal.
Beneath the surface, layoffs are quietly rising while headline gains mask the decay.
Example of how the ADP report and non-farm payrolls correlate.
#Jobs #ADP
Beneath the surface, layoffs are quietly rising while headline gains mask the decay.
Example of how the ADP report and non-farm payrolls correlate.
#Jobs #ADP
November 11, 2025 at 7:13 PM
The U.S. should already have true transparency, across both government and publicly traded corporations, with data secured on blockchain to ensure immutable, real-time accountability.
We should already have something similar:
bsky.app/profile/kair...
We should already have something similar:
bsky.app/profile/kair...
November 11, 2025 at 6:11 PM
The U.S. should already have true transparency, across both government and publicly traded corporations, with data secured on blockchain to ensure immutable, real-time accountability.
We should already have something similar:
bsky.app/profile/kair...
We should already have something similar:
bsky.app/profile/kair...
Is a DEEPER ROT spreading across corporate balance sheets?...Lessons from The Big Short.
Jamie Dimon called recent bankruptcies “cockroaches” - warning that when one appears, there are usually more hiding in the dark. He was referring to Tricolor and First Brands, but the analogy extends much
Jamie Dimon called recent bankruptcies “cockroaches” - warning that when one appears, there are usually more hiding in the dark. He was referring to Tricolor and First Brands, but the analogy extends much
November 11, 2025 at 6:04 PM
Is a DEEPER ROT spreading across corporate balance sheets?...Lessons from The Big Short.
Jamie Dimon called recent bankruptcies “cockroaches” - warning that when one appears, there are usually more hiding in the dark. He was referring to Tricolor and First Brands, but the analogy extends much
Jamie Dimon called recent bankruptcies “cockroaches” - warning that when one appears, there are usually more hiding in the dark. He was referring to Tricolor and First Brands, but the analogy extends much
Michael Burry has publicly asserted that big tech firms are under‑depreciating high‑tech assets (like AI chips/servers) by extending their useful life beyond what he deems reasonable. The result: lower depreciation expense → higher reported earnings.
He specifically estimates that between 2026 -
He specifically estimates that between 2026 -
November 11, 2025 at 12:32 AM
Michael Burry has publicly asserted that big tech firms are under‑depreciating high‑tech assets (like AI chips/servers) by extending their useful life beyond what he deems reasonable. The result: lower depreciation expense → higher reported earnings.
He specifically estimates that between 2026 -
He specifically estimates that between 2026 -
#Gold
We are trading around the 4104 - 4106 area. Good area to consider a short. Risk management stop @ 4109.40 into 4109.70.
That stop level clears the short-term strange attractor range. The reward on this trade is at least 3:1.
It's never how much can I make first. It's where will I get out
We are trading around the 4104 - 4106 area. Good area to consider a short. Risk management stop @ 4109.40 into 4109.70.
That stop level clears the short-term strange attractor range. The reward on this trade is at least 3:1.
It's never how much can I make first. It's where will I get out
November 10, 2025 at 5:48 PM
#Gold
We are trading around the 4104 - 4106 area. Good area to consider a short. Risk management stop @ 4109.40 into 4109.70.
That stop level clears the short-term strange attractor range. The reward on this trade is at least 3:1.
It's never how much can I make first. It's where will I get out
We are trading around the 4104 - 4106 area. Good area to consider a short. Risk management stop @ 4109.40 into 4109.70.
That stop level clears the short-term strange attractor range. The reward on this trade is at least 3:1.
It's never how much can I make first. It's where will I get out
#Gold
We overshot the range by around $8/ounce (see last post).
However, we did NOT close above the range provided via 1 hour and 4 hour time unit.
Also, we have a 🐻 dart chart pattern completed via 1 hour unit.
Feeder Cattle Dart Example 10/27
bsky.app/profile/kair...
Update Chart (Right):
We overshot the range by around $8/ounce (see last post).
However, we did NOT close above the range provided via 1 hour and 4 hour time unit.
Also, we have a 🐻 dart chart pattern completed via 1 hour unit.
Feeder Cattle Dart Example 10/27
bsky.app/profile/kair...
Update Chart (Right):
November 10, 2025 at 3:12 PM
#Gold
We overshot the range by around $8/ounce (see last post).
However, we did NOT close above the range provided via 1 hour and 4 hour time unit.
Also, we have a 🐻 dart chart pattern completed via 1 hour unit.
Feeder Cattle Dart Example 10/27
bsky.app/profile/kair...
Update Chart (Right):
We overshot the range by around $8/ounce (see last post).
However, we did NOT close above the range provided via 1 hour and 4 hour time unit.
Also, we have a 🐻 dart chart pattern completed via 1 hour unit.
Feeder Cattle Dart Example 10/27
bsky.app/profile/kair...
Update Chart (Right):
December gold up about $75/ounce overnight.
The 4095 to 4107 range should be a solid stall area for the approximate $200/ounce rally since the October 28, 2005 bottom.
$4141 - $4164 is also a sizeable stall area.
Both ranges have large clusters of strange attractions.
#Gold #PreciousMetals
The 4095 to 4107 range should be a solid stall area for the approximate $200/ounce rally since the October 28, 2005 bottom.
$4141 - $4164 is also a sizeable stall area.
Both ranges have large clusters of strange attractions.
#Gold #PreciousMetals
November 10, 2025 at 7:24 AM
December gold up about $75/ounce overnight.
The 4095 to 4107 range should be a solid stall area for the approximate $200/ounce rally since the October 28, 2005 bottom.
$4141 - $4164 is also a sizeable stall area.
Both ranges have large clusters of strange attractions.
#Gold #PreciousMetals
The 4095 to 4107 range should be a solid stall area for the approximate $200/ounce rally since the October 28, 2005 bottom.
$4141 - $4164 is also a sizeable stall area.
Both ranges have large clusters of strange attractions.
#Gold #PreciousMetals
Death by a thousand cuts...
Just in case your wondering were the next hit to discretion spending may come from...
Just in case your wondering were the next hit to discretion spending may come from...
November 10, 2025 at 7:14 AM
Death by a thousand cuts...
Just in case your wondering were the next hit to discretion spending may come from...
Just in case your wondering were the next hit to discretion spending may come from...
THE MATH DOESN’T ADD UP
Trump has suggested that everyone-except “high-income” earners-could receive a $2,000 “dividend.”
Analysts estimate that U.S. tariff revenue for 2025 could reach roughly $195 billion. (Source: CRFB.org)
The U.S. population is about 350 million, with roughly 262 million
Trump has suggested that everyone-except “high-income” earners-could receive a $2,000 “dividend.”
Analysts estimate that U.S. tariff revenue for 2025 could reach roughly $195 billion. (Source: CRFB.org)
The U.S. population is about 350 million, with roughly 262 million
November 9, 2025 at 10:04 PM
THE MATH DOESN’T ADD UP
Trump has suggested that everyone-except “high-income” earners-could receive a $2,000 “dividend.”
Analysts estimate that U.S. tariff revenue for 2025 could reach roughly $195 billion. (Source: CRFB.org)
The U.S. population is about 350 million, with roughly 262 million
Trump has suggested that everyone-except “high-income” earners-could receive a $2,000 “dividend.”
Analysts estimate that U.S. tariff revenue for 2025 could reach roughly $195 billion. (Source: CRFB.org)
The U.S. population is about 350 million, with roughly 262 million
Reposted by KairosIQ
I am much more sympathetic than most to the idea that increasing mortgage credit is important (because it can induce a lot of building among low/middle income households) but increasing the maximum loan duration by 60% is like the worst possible way of doing this lmfao
Oh good. the 50-year mortgage. That should solve everything.
November 8, 2025 at 10:20 PM
I am much more sympathetic than most to the idea that increasing mortgage credit is important (because it can induce a lot of building among low/middle income households) but increasing the maximum loan duration by 60% is like the worst possible way of doing this lmfao
QQQ: Tracking for its worst November since 2008.
October 2025 saw the weakest jobs market in 22 years, signs of broader economic strain.
Eventually this hits earnings, and in the long run, earnings are what drive equities.
#NASDAQ #StockMarket #EquityMarkets #FinancialMarkets #QQQ #StockIndex
October 2025 saw the weakest jobs market in 22 years, signs of broader economic strain.
Eventually this hits earnings, and in the long run, earnings are what drive equities.
#NASDAQ #StockMarket #EquityMarkets #FinancialMarkets #QQQ #StockIndex
November 8, 2025 at 7:47 PM
QQQ: Tracking for its worst November since 2008.
October 2025 saw the weakest jobs market in 22 years, signs of broader economic strain.
Eventually this hits earnings, and in the long run, earnings are what drive equities.
#NASDAQ #StockMarket #EquityMarkets #FinancialMarkets #QQQ #StockIndex
October 2025 saw the weakest jobs market in 22 years, signs of broader economic strain.
Eventually this hits earnings, and in the long run, earnings are what drive equities.
#NASDAQ #StockMarket #EquityMarkets #FinancialMarkets #QQQ #StockIndex
In part, Americans already do receive the subsidies directly...if they choose to do so.
1: Direct application to premiums: Most people opt for this option.
2: Claiming @ tax time: Alternatively, you can receive the full premium and claim the tax credit when you file your taxes. This may result
1: Direct application to premiums: Most people opt for this option.
2: Claiming @ tax time: Alternatively, you can receive the full premium and claim the tax credit when you file your taxes. This may result
November 8, 2025 at 7:39 PM
In part, Americans already do receive the subsidies directly...if they choose to do so.
1: Direct application to premiums: Most people opt for this option.
2: Claiming @ tax time: Alternatively, you can receive the full premium and claim the tax credit when you file your taxes. This may result
1: Direct application to premiums: Most people opt for this option.
2: Claiming @ tax time: Alternatively, you can receive the full premium and claim the tax credit when you file your taxes. This may result
#Nvidia #NVDA
Some bearish intermediate-term omens for NVDA.
Not big on conventional indicators - we rely on chaos theory, fractals, and complex-system models - but Andrews Pitchfork stands out, offering a unique lens to read potential trend exhaustion in NVDA.
Multiple ways to use it - built on
Some bearish intermediate-term omens for NVDA.
Not big on conventional indicators - we rely on chaos theory, fractals, and complex-system models - but Andrews Pitchfork stands out, offering a unique lens to read potential trend exhaustion in NVDA.
Multiple ways to use it - built on
November 8, 2025 at 6:23 PM