Justin Choi
justinochoi.bsky.social
Justin Choi
@justinochoi.bsky.social
Baseball research! Bylines: FanGraphs, Baseball Prospectus. Former Nationals R&D.
To do this, I implemented the Heckman correction method using a custom likelihood in PyMC. Details here!

github.com/justinochoi/...
GitHub - justinochoi/bayesian_aging_curves
Contribute to justinochoi/bayesian_aging_curves development by creating an account on GitHub.
github.com
November 1, 2025 at 8:06 PM
how about "projection onto the vector space spanned by the columns of the data"
October 1, 2025 at 3:05 PM
This is arguably somewhat a team effect, since different teams will have different reports on what pitches to throw to whom (which the catchers use)

Would be interesting to see if this effect persists even if a catchers switches teams
September 25, 2025 at 11:47 PM
running mcmc satisfies my dopamine cravings
September 25, 2025 at 4:24 PM
I don't think it will make *that* much of a difference because the normal approximation to everything is good enough, but this is definitely more flexible and rigorous!
September 16, 2025 at 7:42 PM
Happy birthday Ben!
August 29, 2025 at 2:52 PM
Are the expected movement distributions a mixture of gaussians, one for each pitch type?
August 21, 2025 at 1:38 AM