Justin Giles
justingiles.bsky.social
Justin Giles
@justingiles.bsky.social
JD/MPP student at UNC & Duke
I sorta agree. I read through all of the findings this spring and came away with the milquetoast take that (1) yes the results are disappointing, but (2) they don’t actually kill any of the most popular arguments for cash transfers

Wrote about it here: jg12402863.substack.com/p/giving-peo...
Giving people money: Down, but not out
A summary of my forthcoming paper, in which I lay out a qualified but optimistic read of the recent experiments on unconditional cash transfers
jg12402863.substack.com
August 22, 2025 at 10:12 AM
And if you want **even more detail**, the current draft of my paper getting published later this fall is here:
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
Should the United States Give People Money? Evidence from High-Quality Empirical Research on Unconditional Cash Transfers
Unconditional cash is a popular tool for people of all political stripes, forming the basis of policy proposals like Universal Basic Income and an expanded Chil
papers.ssrn.com
August 21, 2025 at 12:08 PM
Here’s a blog post going into more detail about this stuff: jg12402863.substack.com/p/giving-peo...
Giving people money: Down, but not out
A summary of my forthcoming paper, in which I lay out a qualified but optimistic read of the recent experiments on unconditional cash transfers
jg12402863.substack.com
August 21, 2025 at 12:08 PM
Also, previous research suggests that the largest effects are those experienced by the children of cash recipients after they grow up. None of the recent experiments have been able to collect that data yet!
August 21, 2025 at 12:08 PM
My take: We should no longer expect dramatic benefits from giving people cash. But we can expect cash to reduce the number of people living in poverty, to increase economic equality, and, probably, to make the lives of the people who receive the cash a little better.
August 21, 2025 at 12:08 PM
This is an issue near and dear to my heart. I worked for a large-scale randomized controlled trial testing an unconditional cash transfer during the first year of my MPP.

Also I have a paper reviewing the recent experiments coming out in the Kansas Journal of Law & Public Policy later this fall.
August 21, 2025 at 12:08 PM
Phew!
February 27, 2025 at 11:11 PM
Sorry to ruin the joke by taking it seriously, but is the complaint against DiD that it just isn’t good enough at approximating exogeneity?

(Interested because I’m currently using DiD to study the effect of different legal theories adopted by different states 😅)
February 27, 2025 at 11:02 PM
Exam season in law school is rough - probably the most hours of work I’ve ever done in a day.

Which seems very inefficient to me. I’ve forgotten everything except the big picture stuff, which is all I’ve needed in my internships anyway.
December 6, 2024 at 1:44 AM
What sorts of other ways do you have in mind?
November 19, 2024 at 6:51 PM
Ohhh I see what you mean. I’m having trouble imaging how that would work though
November 8, 2024 at 6:06 AM
Proportional representation! Used by a bunch of countries
November 7, 2024 at 2:48 AM
Would you be willing to share the syllabus for your Data for Lawyers class?

I’m a current JD/MPP with some data analysis background. I’d love to learn more about how I could use that background in law.
March 15, 2024 at 1:10 AM
www.nber.org/system/files...

Just for families with children
February 18, 2024 at 3:26 AM