Jason Wright
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jpw.nyc
Jason Wright
@jpw.nyc
Electrical engineering & neurotechnology
We need a legal defense gofundme set up for this guy asap.
August 13, 2025 at 10:26 PM
Car hit a kid? Better remove the road until drivers learn to follow the rules.
May 27, 2025 at 10:15 PM
Other universities (Ivy League step up) should sponsor their visas while allowing them to take classes at Harvard
May 23, 2025 at 3:23 AM
Big yikes
April 28, 2025 at 7:46 PM
Looking at the final round only tosses all the undecided voters and inflates the margin. More: bsky.app/profile/jpw....
If you're looking for non-Cuomo hope in the recent Siena #nycmayor poll that shows Cuomo def. Mamdani nearly 2:1, it's this:
The RCV simulation means eliminating the 20% "undecided" vote in round 1. If you instead carry through to round 8, you get something like Cuomo 51%, Mamdani 29%, Undecided 20%
April 16, 2025 at 10:27 PM
In summary, I think the Siena poll shows Cuomo leading, but 2:1 in the RCV simulation should NOT be treated as a head-to-head result. There's good reason to think we're trending towards a close race and not a blowout.
April 16, 2025 at 8:16 PM
How many "undecided" voters have actually already made up their mind about Cuomo? When Siena polled Cuomo favorability in March 2025, only 12% of all respondents said "don't know/no opinion". You have to imagine that if that poll were also limited to registered Dems, that number goes down further.
April 16, 2025 at 8:16 PM
My takeaway: Cuomo's support shows signs of slipping, albeit pretty slightly, and Eric Adams voters aren't just rolling over to Cuomo due to ideological closeness. Instead, they seem to be pretty evenly spilling into other candidates or "undecided".
April 16, 2025 at 8:16 PM
The last bit of good news in the Siena poll: In the first and only public poll since Eric Adams dropped out of the Dem primary, Cuomo has the lowest 1st round result since the Quinnipiac poll ending 3/3.
April 16, 2025 at 8:16 PM
Other candidates and the media can help with (1), so if I were Mamdani, I would focus almost exclusively on (2) via positive press, striking a moderate tone, and setting the narrative that Cuomo vs Mamdani is the inevitable final round
April 16, 2025 at 8:16 PM
For Mamdani, the challenge is two-fold: (1) he needs to drop Cuomo's support enough that he doesn't end up above 50% at any point, AND (2) he needs a lot of people to rank him (even 5th) on ballots that aren't currently ranking him in polls.
April 16, 2025 at 8:16 PM
Cuomo still leads comfortably, but Mamdani is in striking distance IF he can clean up amongst undecideds. That's a big IF, especially because he needs to actually be ranked by those who decided to NOT rank Cuomo. Lander etc ballots just won't matter in the final round (if this holds)
April 16, 2025 at 8:16 PM
Mamdani won't end up winning 100% of undecideds, of course, but it's not unreasonable to think he'll do pretty well given Cuomo's near-universal name recognition. If he ends up outranking Cuomo on 3/4 of those ballots, it's more like a single digit race.
April 16, 2025 at 8:16 PM
That's assuming that everyone ranks EITHER or BOTH Cuomo and Mamdani. To the extent that anyone leaves BOTH off, that would bump up the Undecided % at the expense of Cuomo and Mamdani's %.
April 16, 2025 at 8:16 PM
It helps that Harvard’s endowment is almost 4x larger than Columbia’s
April 15, 2025 at 5:30 PM
And assault weapons weren’t around when the 2A was adopted, so it’s hard to say about that one too, right?
April 10, 2025 at 5:43 PM
They even took it a step further youtu.be/CPnAnRsqia0?...
Ed Helms' 2014 Cornell Convocation Speech
YouTube video by Cornell University
youtu.be
April 6, 2025 at 5:47 PM