Jon Prior
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jonprior.bsky.social
Jon Prior
@jonprior.bsky.social
120 followers 210 following 14 posts
Comms for Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
Views are mine. Personal account.
Formerly Politico, American Banker
jon.prior@dal.frb.org
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jonprior.bsky.social
“…it bears noting that by 2031, all growth in the U.S. population is expected to come from immigration. Hence, when officials set immigration policy, they may also be setting the speed limit for the economy.”

www.dallasfed.org/research/swe...
Immigration crackdown likely contributing to weak Texas job growth
Findings from the Dallas Fed Texas Business Outlook Surveys (TBOS) suggest immigration policy changes will negatively affect the ability to hire and retain foreign-born workers at one in five Texas bu...
www.dallasfed.org
October 17, 2025 at 5:53 PM
jonprior.bsky.social
“…the time has come for the FOMC to prepare to target a different short-term interest rate.”

www.dallasfed.org/news/speeche...
The case for modernizing the FOMC’s operating target rate
The time has come for the FOMC to prepare to target a different short-term interest rate. A repo rate would provide a more robust target than the current fed funds target.
www.dallasfed.org
September 25, 2025 at 5:55 PM
jonprior.bsky.social
Declining immigration weighs on GDP growth, with little impact on inflation www.dallasfed.org/research/eco...
Declining immigration weighs on GDP growth, with little impact on inflation
Unauthorized immigration surged sharply in 2021–24 but has since declined abruptly with negative implications for economic growth.
www.dallasfed.org
July 8, 2025 at 2:45 PM
jonprior.bsky.social
Powell answering questions about the potential economic impacts of AI in the Senate today. Read more from Dallas Fed research published this week on it www.dallasfed.org/research/eco...
Advances in AI will boost productivity, living standards over time
Artificial intelligence offers the potential to improve people’s living standards. Such advances can be approximated by changes in GDP per capita over time. Using that common measure, AI could enhance...
www.dallasfed.org
June 25, 2025 at 4:00 PM
jonprior.bsky.social
Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan speaking before regional and community bankers here www.dallasfed.org/banking/even...
Eleventh District Banking Conference
This conference for regional and community bankers is hosted by the Dallas Fed in partnership with the Texas Department of Banking. It is open to representatives from banks in the Eleventh Federal Res...
www.dallasfed.org
June 2, 2025 at 2:12 PM
jonprior.bsky.social
“Among firms impacted by higher tariffs, more than a quarter say they are planning to increase the use of automation and/or AI in response…”

www.dallasfed.org/research/sur...
More firms using artificial intelligence
Results from the Texas Business Outlook Surveys special questions in May show that 60 percent of firms report that they are currently using artificial intelligence, up notably from 38 percent a year a...
www.dallasfed.org
May 27, 2025 at 6:14 PM
jonprior.bsky.social
Texas manufacturers sound off on tariffs www.dallasfed.org/research/sur...
Growth continues in Texas manufacturing sector, but outlooks worsen
Texas factory activity continued to rise in April. The production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, was largely unchanged. Other measures of manufacturing activity signaled cont...
www.dallasfed.org
April 28, 2025 at 2:40 PM
jonprior.bsky.social
Dallas Fed Energy Survey: 55% of oilfield support service executives expect steel import tariffs to slightly lower customer demand dallasfed.org/research/sur...
Oil and gas activity edges higher; uncertainty rising, costs increase
Activity in the oil and gas sector increased slightly in first quarter of 2025, according to oil and gas executives responding to the Dallas Fed Energy Survey.
dallasfed.org
March 26, 2025 at 4:56 PM
jonprior.bsky.social
“The future course of inflation may well be influenced by how this now-lofty ratio reverts to a more usual level.”

www.dallasfed.org/research/eco...
Evidence suggests U.S. house price/rent ratio, real home prices to decline
The ratio of house prices to rents in the U.S. has risen 20 percent since first quarter 2020, coinciding with the beginning of the pandemic. The ratio is near its previous high in 2006. The future cou...
www.dallasfed.org
February 25, 2025 at 5:10 PM
jonprior.bsky.social
“A pullback was seen in Texas factory activity in February, with manufacturing executives noting mounting uncertainty, primarily regarding tariff policy.”

www.dallasfed.org/research/sur...
Texas manufacturing activity falters amid increased uncertainty
Texas factory activity fell in February after rising notably in January, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey.
www.dallasfed.org
February 24, 2025 at 8:45 PM
jonprior.bsky.social
Watch Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan’s speech on the future challenges for monetary policy here:

www.bis.org/events/25020...
Chapultepec conference
Mexico City, 5-6 February 2025
www.bis.org
February 6, 2025 at 10:18 PM
jonprior.bsky.social
From earlier this week. A Hispanic woman was named chair of the Dallas Fed board for the first time www.dallasfed.org/news/release...
Claudia Aguirre of Houston appointed chair of Dallas board; Gary Kelly of Dallas appointed deputy chair
The Federal Reserve Board of Governors has appointed Claudia Aguirre of Houston as chair and Gary Kelly of Dallas as deputy chair of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas board of directors for 2025.
www.dallasfed.org
January 16, 2025 at 5:27 PM
jonprior.bsky.social
A good look at ERCOT’s uncertain future. After relying on solar and utility-scale batteries to get through last summer, “…the ground is beginning to shift as load is poised for a long climb higher and expected generation installation gets pushed to its limits.”
www.dallasfed.org/research/eco...
Solar, battery capacity saved the Texas grid last summer; an uncertain future awaits
As ERCOT forecasts accelerated load growth due to anticipated data center construction and electrification trends, the current generation mix and market design should garner increased scrutiny.
www.dallasfed.org
January 14, 2025 at 5:35 PM