John Cawley
@johncawley.bsky.social
Daniel Patrick Moynihan Chair in Public Policy, @maxwellsu.bsky.social. Also @cprmaxwell.bsky.social @nber.org, @uniofgalway.bsky.social, AEA Committee on the Job Market. Studying health economics and policy, economics of risky behaviors.
Looking forward to seeing everyone at #2025APPAM in Seattle!
(Fingers crossed regarding flight delays/cancellations...)
CC: @appam.bsky.social @maxwellsu.bsky.social
(Fingers crossed regarding flight delays/cancellations...)
CC: @appam.bsky.social @maxwellsu.bsky.social
November 10, 2025 at 3:56 PM
Looking forward to seeing everyone at #2025APPAM in Seattle!
(Fingers crossed regarding flight delays/cancellations...)
CC: @appam.bsky.social @maxwellsu.bsky.social
(Fingers crossed regarding flight delays/cancellations...)
CC: @appam.bsky.social @maxwellsu.bsky.social
A relative bright spot is hiring in the private sector - while low, it is still comparable to that in some recent years.
November 5, 2025 at 10:11 PM
A relative bright spot is hiring in the private sector - while low, it is still comparable to that in some recent years.
Due to DOGE cuts and then the shutdown, the number of listings for jobs in the US Federal government is down about 75% compared to recent years.
November 5, 2025 at 10:11 PM
Due to DOGE cuts and then the shutdown, the number of listings for jobs in the US Federal government is down about 75% compared to recent years.
The number of nonacademic jobs on JOE is also lower than during COVID - 38.2% lower.
November 5, 2025 at 10:11 PM
The number of nonacademic jobs on JOE is also lower than during COVID - 38.2% lower.
The number of full-time academic jobs outside the U.S. listed on JOE is down, and lower than during COVID. Could partly be due to increased formalization of European mkt and perhaps less use of JOE.
November 5, 2025 at 10:11 PM
The number of full-time academic jobs outside the U.S. listed on JOE is down, and lower than during COVID. Could partly be due to increased formalization of European mkt and perhaps less use of JOE.
Among full-time academic jobs in the US, the demand is perhaps better at 4-year colleges than at universities with a grad program.
November 5, 2025 at 10:11 PM
Among full-time academic jobs in the US, the demand is perhaps better at 4-year colleges than at universities with a grad program.
In terms of full-time academic jobs in the US, it is definitely better than during COVID (56.8% more listings), but clearly worse than all years since (e.g. 35.1% fewer listings than this time last year).
November 5, 2025 at 10:11 PM
In terms of full-time academic jobs in the US, it is definitely better than during COVID (56.8% more listings), but clearly worse than all years since (e.g. 35.1% fewer listings than this time last year).
New data on the #EconJobMarket as of Nov 2. Based on total # of job listings on JOE, this year continues to be even weaker (by 11%) than during COVID (2020). 1/many #EconSky
November 5, 2025 at 10:11 PM
New data on the #EconJobMarket as of Nov 2. Based on total # of job listings on JOE, this year continues to be even weaker (by 11%) than during COVID (2020). 1/many #EconSky
Fewer full-time non-academic job openings than during COVID, with jobs in the US Federal Govt particularly low (not surprising given DOGE and the shutdown)
October 20, 2025 at 3:14 PM
Fewer full-time non-academic job openings than during COVID, with jobs in the US Federal Govt particularly low (not surprising given DOGE and the shutdown)
FT academic jobs outside the US also down, and worse than during COVID (2020).
October 20, 2025 at 3:14 PM
FT academic jobs outside the US also down, and worse than during COVID (2020).
Relatively speaking, it's a worse year for jobs in research univ than in liberal arts colleges/teaching institutions
October 20, 2025 at 3:14 PM
Relatively speaking, it's a worse year for jobs in research univ than in liberal arts colleges/teaching institutions
Updated graphs posted on the JOE website, with data thru Oct 19.
In brief: # full-time academic jobs in US definitely higher than during COVID (2020) but considerably lower than every other year since.
www.aeaweb.org/about-aea/co...
In brief: # full-time academic jobs in US definitely higher than during COVID (2020) but considerably lower than every other year since.
www.aeaweb.org/about-aea/co...
October 20, 2025 at 3:14 PM
Updated graphs posted on the JOE website, with data thru Oct 19.
In brief: # full-time academic jobs in US definitely higher than during COVID (2020) but considerably lower than every other year since.
www.aeaweb.org/about-aea/co...
In brief: # full-time academic jobs in US definitely higher than during COVID (2020) but considerably lower than every other year since.
www.aeaweb.org/about-aea/co...
Zero new jobs in the federal government posted on JOE in the past three weeks.
Not surprising given the government shutdown (which began Oct 1), but still grim. At least two-thirds fewer such jobs posted in 2025 than in each of the past six years at this time.
#econjobmarket
Not surprising given the government shutdown (which began Oct 1), but still grim. At least two-thirds fewer such jobs posted in 2025 than in each of the past six years at this time.
#econjobmarket
October 13, 2025 at 4:42 PM
Zero new jobs in the federal government posted on JOE in the past three weeks.
Not surprising given the government shutdown (which began Oct 1), but still grim. At least two-thirds fewer such jobs posted in 2025 than in each of the past six years at this time.
#econjobmarket
Not surprising given the government shutdown (which began Oct 1), but still grim. At least two-thirds fewer such jobs posted in 2025 than in each of the past six years at this time.
#econjobmarket
More new data: # jobs in banking/finance/business/industry: on the low side but similar to the # jobs in 2023 and 2024.
October 9, 2025 at 7:13 PM
More new data: # jobs in banking/finance/business/industry: on the low side but similar to the # jobs in 2023 and 2024.
More new data: # jobs in consulting or research: here things look pretty good, with the # of jobs around average for the past 6 years.
October 9, 2025 at 7:13 PM
More new data: # jobs in consulting or research: here things look pretty good, with the # of jobs around average for the past 6 years.
New data: # jobs in Federal Government - down 40% or more compared to every year since 2019. Not surprising given the DOGE cuts and government shutdown, but still unpleasant to see.
October 9, 2025 at 7:13 PM
New data: # jobs in Federal Government - down 40% or more compared to every year since 2019. Not surprising given the DOGE cuts and government shutdown, but still unpleasant to see.
Full-time nonacademic jobs (anywhere in world): -20.8% fewer now than even in the worst COVID year (2020). Let's next look within subcategories...
October 9, 2025 at 7:13 PM
Full-time nonacademic jobs (anywhere in world): -20.8% fewer now than even in the worst COVID year (2020). Let's next look within subcategories...
Listings on JOE for full-time jobs at non-US academic institutions. Perhaps surprisingly, lower (-13.2%) than even the worst COVID year (2020). Non-US universities may be missing an incredible opportunity to scoop up really good job candidates.
October 9, 2025 at 7:13 PM
Listings on JOE for full-time jobs at non-US academic institutions. Perhaps surprisingly, lower (-13.2%) than even the worst COVID year (2020). Non-US universities may be missing an incredible opportunity to scoop up really good job candidates.
More new data: listings for full-time jobs at U.S. universities with a grad program. 54% higher than the worst COVID year (2020) but worse than every year since; e.g. 39.9% below last year.
October 9, 2025 at 7:13 PM
More new data: listings for full-time jobs at U.S. universities with a grad program. 54% higher than the worst COVID year (2020) but worse than every year since; e.g. 39.9% below last year.
OK here's some of that new data: listings for full-time jobs specifically at 4-year (e.g. liberal arts) colleges in the U.S. Way better than the worst COVID year but 22% lower than last year. Quite similar to 2021 at this point.
October 9, 2025 at 7:13 PM
OK here's some of that new data: listings for full-time jobs specifically at 4-year (e.g. liberal arts) colleges in the U.S. Way better than the worst COVID year but 22% lower than last year. Quite similar to 2021 at this point.
Just full-time jobs in US academic institutions:
Definitely better (+84%) than the worst COVID year (2020) but still worse than other post-COVID years; e.g. one-third fewer such jobs than last year.
Definitely better (+84%) than the worst COVID year (2020) but still worse than other post-COVID years; e.g. one-third fewer such jobs than last year.
October 9, 2025 at 7:13 PM
Just full-time jobs in US academic institutions:
Definitely better (+84%) than the worst COVID year (2020) but still worse than other post-COVID years; e.g. one-third fewer such jobs than last year.
Definitely better (+84%) than the worst COVID year (2020) but still worse than other post-COVID years; e.g. one-third fewer such jobs than last year.
Total # of job listings on JOE. This year is tracking very similarly to 2020 (worst COVID year). In other words, we're seeing considerably less demand for Econ PhDs than in other post-COVID years; e.g. it's roughly one-third lower than last year.
October 9, 2025 at 7:13 PM
Total # of job listings on JOE. This year is tracking very similarly to 2020 (worst COVID year). In other words, we're seeing considerably less demand for Econ PhDs than in other post-COVID years; e.g. it's roughly one-third lower than last year.
Perfect Fall night on the campus of Syracuse University @syracuseu.bsky.social
October 9, 2025 at 12:13 AM
Perfect Fall night on the campus of Syracuse University @syracuseu.bsky.social
If you'll be on the #EconJobMarket this coming year, you may want to join this webinar by @aereorg.bsky.social, titled, "Navigating Uncertain Waters: Advice for the Current Job Market," with Min Gong & @adrienneohler.bsky.social. 29 Sept 2025 @ 11am ET.
August 22, 2025 at 1:03 PM
If you'll be on the #EconJobMarket this coming year, you may want to join this webinar by @aereorg.bsky.social, titled, "Navigating Uncertain Waters: Advice for the Current Job Market," with Min Gong & @adrienneohler.bsky.social. 29 Sept 2025 @ 11am ET.
Econ PhDs who will be on the #EconJobMarket:
Next Tues Aug 19 at 1pm ET is a NABE (@nabe-econ.bsky.social) Career Week panel on "Industry, Government, or Academia? Choosing Your Path in Applied Economics"
Register here 👉 www.nabe.com/NABE/Events/...
Next Tues Aug 19 at 1pm ET is a NABE (@nabe-econ.bsky.social) Career Week panel on "Industry, Government, or Academia? Choosing Your Path in Applied Economics"
Register here 👉 www.nabe.com/NABE/Events/...
August 13, 2025 at 7:19 PM
Econ PhDs who will be on the #EconJobMarket:
Next Tues Aug 19 at 1pm ET is a NABE (@nabe-econ.bsky.social) Career Week panel on "Industry, Government, or Academia? Choosing Your Path in Applied Economics"
Register here 👉 www.nabe.com/NABE/Events/...
Next Tues Aug 19 at 1pm ET is a NABE (@nabe-econ.bsky.social) Career Week panel on "Industry, Government, or Academia? Choosing Your Path in Applied Economics"
Register here 👉 www.nabe.com/NABE/Events/...