John Carey
@johncarey.bsky.social
Reposted by John Carey
Republicans who say they are more aligned with Trump than the GOP are somewhat less likely to rate democracy favorably and more likely to view strongman rule positively. In total, 55% of Trump supporters endorse a strong leader who doesn’t have to bother with Congress.
February 24, 2025 at 2:26 PM
Republicans who say they are more aligned with Trump than the GOP are somewhat less likely to rate democracy favorably and more likely to view strongman rule positively. In total, 55% of Trump supporters endorse a strong leader who doesn’t have to bother with Congress.
Reposted by John Carey
Experts identified Patel's confirmation (now official) and the White House revoking media credentials as the most likely events that pose a significant threat to democracy.
After adjusting for pessimism bias, expert forecasts correspond closely with forecasters on the Metaculus prediction platform.
After adjusting for pessimism bias, expert forecasts correspond closely with forecasters on the Metaculus prediction platform.
February 24, 2025 at 2:26 PM
Experts identified Patel's confirmation (now official) and the White House revoking media credentials as the most likely events that pose a significant threat to democracy.
After adjusting for pessimism bias, expert forecasts correspond closely with forecasters on the Metaculus prediction platform.
After adjusting for pessimism bias, expert forecasts correspond closely with forecasters on the Metaculus prediction platform.
Reposted by John Carey
Political science and misinformation experts assessed technology-related threats to democracy similarly, though misinformation experts rated Meta's loosened content moderation rules and the revoking of the Biden AI executive order as more threatening to democracy than political science experts.
February 24, 2025 at 2:26 PM
Political science and misinformation experts assessed technology-related threats to democracy similarly, though misinformation experts rated Meta's loosened content moderation rules and the revoking of the Biden AI executive order as more threatening to democracy than political science experts.
Reposted by John Carey
Experts rate Jan. 6 pardons and firings of executive branch officials as the gravest threats to American democracy, followed closely by the roles and influence of Musk/DOGE. These actions were widely approved by Republicans.
February 24, 2025 at 2:26 PM
Experts rate Jan. 6 pardons and firings of executive branch officials as the gravest threats to American democracy, followed closely by the roles and influence of Musk/DOGE. These actions were widely approved by Republicans.
Reposted by John Carey
-Expert ratings of US democracy lowest since we began tracking in 2017
-The percentage of experts who say the US is upholding specific democratic principles dropped by >30 percentage points for six principles (such as non-interference with the press) and declined by 10–20 points on eleven others.
-The percentage of experts who say the US is upholding specific democratic principles dropped by >30 percentage points for six principles (such as non-interference with the press) and declined by 10–20 points on eleven others.
February 24, 2025 at 2:26 PM
-Expert ratings of US democracy lowest since we began tracking in 2017
-The percentage of experts who say the US is upholding specific democratic principles dropped by >30 percentage points for six principles (such as non-interference with the press) and declined by 10–20 points on eleven others.
-The percentage of experts who say the US is upholding specific democratic principles dropped by >30 percentage points for six principles (such as non-interference with the press) and declined by 10–20 points on eleven others.
@davidkarol.bsky.social - Thanks for asking, and if you want to push harder on the data, they are here - brightlinewatch.org/survey-data-.... Feedback and suggestions always welcome!
Survey Data and Replication Material | Bright Line Watch
brightlinewatch.org
February 24, 2025 at 5:17 PM
@davidkarol.bsky.social - Thanks for asking, and if you want to push harder on the data, they are here - brightlinewatch.org/survey-data-.... Feedback and suggestions always welcome!
Damn, that was a good analysis even then, and it's looking better and better with time. Helps to be building on a rock-solid foundation.
September 10, 2024 at 9:34 PM
Damn, that was a good analysis even then, and it's looking better and better with time. Helps to be building on a rock-solid foundation.
Reposted by John Carey
(joint with @johncarey.bsky.social, Brian Fogarty, @jasonreifler.bsky.social, and amazing Dartmouth students Elizabeth Chun, Alice Cook, Leyla Jacoby, and Lilian Sweeney)
September 5, 2024 at 3:14 PM
(joint with @johncarey.bsky.social, Brian Fogarty, @jasonreifler.bsky.social, and amazing Dartmouth students Elizabeth Chun, Alice Cook, Leyla Jacoby, and Lilian Sweeney)
Referring to support for presidential immunity? Agree. But note our survey fielded just before the decision was handed down. That number may drop further (may already have).
July 11, 2024 at 5:33 PM
Referring to support for presidential immunity? Agree. But note our survey fielded just before the decision was handed down. That number may drop further (may already have).