Johann Chacko
@johanncc.bsky.social
PhD researcher @soasuni.bsky.social | South Asia columnist for The National News | research fellow @knology.org
I write about how/ where/ why the accumulation of risk has changed in the last decade. The old pattern was retaliation and dialogue; now it’s just scaling up retaliation. Both sides want deterrence, but without communication they are stuck in a feedback cycle of intensifying instability.
India and Pakistan need to engage with each other again | The National
Unless the two sides can find ways to manage their conflict, the urge to fight will continue to grow with every new terror attack
www.thenationalnews.com
May 19, 2025 at 2:57 PM
I write about how/ where/ why the accumulation of risk has changed in the last decade. The old pattern was retaliation and dialogue; now it’s just scaling up retaliation. Both sides want deterrence, but without communication they are stuck in a feedback cycle of intensifying instability.
I write about how, where and why the accumulation of risk has changed in the last decade. The old pattern was retaliation and dialogue; now it’s just scaling up retaliation. Both sides hope to create deterrence, but without communication what they are getting is intensifying instability and shocks.
India and Pakistan need to engage with each other again | The National
Unless the two sides can find ways to manage their conflict, the urge to fight will continue to grow with every new terror attack
www.thenationalnews.com
May 19, 2025 at 2:48 PM
I write about how, where and why the accumulation of risk has changed in the last decade. The old pattern was retaliation and dialogue; now it’s just scaling up retaliation. Both sides hope to create deterrence, but without communication what they are getting is intensifying instability and shocks.
This air war followed the Doval Doctrine approved in 2014 by #Modi. So did the GOI responses to the 2019 & 2016 crises. So why hasnt India seen results yet? I wrote this 8 years ago and its still true. #India lacks conventional mil. supremacy and the US lost leverage on #Pakistan. The key is #China.
The Limits of Power: India’s Pakistan Policy Is Up Against a Changing World Order
In February 2014, shortly before he became India’s National Security Advisor, former Intelligence Bureau chief Ajit Doval proclaimed a major policy shift via a long public speech. Pakistani support fo...
casi.sas.upenn.edu
May 15, 2025 at 3:24 PM
This air war followed the Doval Doctrine approved in 2014 by #Modi. So did the GOI responses to the 2019 & 2016 crises. So why hasnt India seen results yet? I wrote this 8 years ago and its still true. #India lacks conventional mil. supremacy and the US lost leverage on #Pakistan. The key is #China.
Reposted by Johann Chacko
Offspring inherit more than DNA from their parents; they can also gain gut microbiomes, antibodies, and environmental information. An SFI working group met this week to consider other ways biological information is encoded, stored, and processed. www.santafe.edu/news-center/...
May 2, 2025 at 7:35 PM
Offspring inherit more than DNA from their parents; they can also gain gut microbiomes, antibodies, and environmental information. An SFI working group met this week to consider other ways biological information is encoded, stored, and processed. www.santafe.edu/news-center/...
Reposted by Johann Chacko
RSS is 100 years old. It has grown & changed a lot: Nagpur has lost its moral authority & Narendra Modi almost took over the Sangh parivar. But Hindutva has changed India even more. @CERI_SciencesPo @KingsIndiaInst @CarnegieIndia
www.newindianexpress.com/opinions/202...
www.newindianexpress.com/opinions/202...
RSS at 100: Continuity amid change
In 1925, K B Hedgewar, the founder of the Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh, envisioned that his organisation would ultimately become “the Hindu Rashtra in miniature”
www.newindianexpress.com
April 19, 2025 at 11:18 PM
RSS is 100 years old. It has grown & changed a lot: Nagpur has lost its moral authority & Narendra Modi almost took over the Sangh parivar. But Hindutva has changed India even more. @CERI_SciencesPo @KingsIndiaInst @CarnegieIndia
www.newindianexpress.com/opinions/202...
www.newindianexpress.com/opinions/202...
Reposted by Johann Chacko
India ends transshipment facility for Bangladesh after Yunus backs Chinese economic role near Northeast indianexpress.com/article/busi... via @IndianExpress
India ends transshipment facility for Bangladesh after Yunus backs Chinese economic role near Northeast
During his four-day visit to China, from March 26-29, the Chief Adviser of Bangladesh's interim government, Professor Muhammad Yunus, had remarked that, with Northeast India being “landlocked”, Dhaka ...
indianexpress.com
April 9, 2025 at 4:52 PM
India ends transshipment facility for Bangladesh after Yunus backs Chinese economic role near Northeast indianexpress.com/article/busi... via @IndianExpress
Reposted by Johann Chacko
EU expects to transfer 2 million artillery shells to Ukraine by the end of the year
EU chief diplomat Kaja Kallas revealed that ammunition deliveries to Ukraine have reached the one million mark with plans to deliver another million before 2026
EU chief diplomat Kaja Kallas revealed that ammunition deliveries to Ukraine have reached the one million mark with plans to deliver another million before 2026
EU expects to transfer 2 million artillery shells to Ukraine by the end of the year
EU chief diplomat Kaja Kallas revealed that ammunition deliveries to Ukraine have reached the one million mark with plans to deliver another million before 2026.
euromaidanpress.com
April 9, 2025 at 5:08 PM
EU expects to transfer 2 million artillery shells to Ukraine by the end of the year
EU chief diplomat Kaja Kallas revealed that ammunition deliveries to Ukraine have reached the one million mark with plans to deliver another million before 2026
EU chief diplomat Kaja Kallas revealed that ammunition deliveries to Ukraine have reached the one million mark with plans to deliver another million before 2026
Reposted by Johann Chacko
Study: The margin of victory for any election can be predicted just by voter turnout. Using global data from hundreds of elections & 70 years, SFI's Aanjaneya Kumar (@aanjaneya.bsky.social) and co-authors' model could also help detect electoral malpractice. www.santafe.edu/news-center/...
February 17, 2025 at 6:48 PM
Study: The margin of victory for any election can be predicted just by voter turnout. Using global data from hundreds of elections & 70 years, SFI's Aanjaneya Kumar (@aanjaneya.bsky.social) and co-authors' model could also help detect electoral malpractice. www.santafe.edu/news-center/...
Reposted by Johann Chacko
Internet use has grown rapidly but unevenly across Asia's largest countries
February 20, 2025 at 7:39 PM
Internet use has grown rapidly but unevenly across Asia's largest countries
Reposted by Johann Chacko
Bangladesh has been urbanizing much faster than its neighbors
February 28, 2025 at 4:44 PM
Bangladesh has been urbanizing much faster than its neighbors
Reposted by Johann Chacko
🔎 What aspects of #democracy were most badly affected in 2024?
The figure shows the 20 V-Dem Indicators that declined in the most countries in 2024.
V-Dem Dataset: v-dem.net/data/the-v-d...
DR2025: v-dem.net/publications...
#polisky #PoliSciSky #PoliSciData #media #FreedomOfExpression
🧵1(3)
The figure shows the 20 V-Dem Indicators that declined in the most countries in 2024.
V-Dem Dataset: v-dem.net/data/the-v-d...
DR2025: v-dem.net/publications...
#polisky #PoliSciSky #PoliSciData #media #FreedomOfExpression
🧵1(3)
March 17, 2025 at 10:44 AM
🔎 What aspects of #democracy were most badly affected in 2024?
The figure shows the 20 V-Dem Indicators that declined in the most countries in 2024.
V-Dem Dataset: v-dem.net/data/the-v-d...
DR2025: v-dem.net/publications...
#polisky #PoliSciSky #PoliSciData #media #FreedomOfExpression
🧵1(3)
The figure shows the 20 V-Dem Indicators that declined in the most countries in 2024.
V-Dem Dataset: v-dem.net/data/the-v-d...
DR2025: v-dem.net/publications...
#polisky #PoliSciSky #PoliSciData #media #FreedomOfExpression
🧵1(3)