Joel Copling
Joel Copling
@joelsc.bsky.social
Movie-lover
Anora's only real shot now might be Original Screenplay, if the Academy figures that's the only thing it could win.

An interesting thing happens in Adapted Screenplay, where Nickel Boys *could* prove to be the Women Talking of the season, with Picture its only other nomination. Conclave at risk?
January 23, 2025 at 6:52 PM
And if that latter scenario is the case, Torres wins Actress in a Marion Cotillard sort of way (over spunky rising star Mikey Madison/Elliot Page and established veteran with a narrative Julie Christie/Demi Moore).

No Picture nod for A Real Pain puts Culkin's chances on life support. Maybe Norton?
January 23, 2025 at 6:49 PM
If A Complete Unknown wins Picture, we're looking at Chalamet for Actor in a good, old-fashioned movie-biopic kind of way.

Wondering about the possibility of I'm Still Here usurping Emilia Pérez in International Feature in a Lives of Others sort of way. Emilia's much more divisive overseas.
January 23, 2025 at 6:47 PM
Some more in-depth thoughts:

Becoming more convinced about A Complete Unknown as I think about it. Favored heavily by the preferential ballot.

It's between Corbet and Audiard for Director, but it's not too common to lose Director when you made a 13- or 14-nomination movie. Last time: Fincher in 08
January 23, 2025 at 6:45 PM
Thinking Torres is the winner.
January 23, 2025 at 2:38 PM
me sitting over here thinkin QUEER is a masterpiece
a man in a suit says well okay then in front of a bookshelf
ALT: a man in a suit says well okay then in front of a bookshelf
media.tenor.com
January 10, 2025 at 4:55 AM
I really feel like A COMPLETE UNKNOWN is creeping up the list here.
January 8, 2025 at 9:24 PM
Holy shit this looks great
December 17, 2024 at 3:01 PM
So happy Culkin’s pretty much sweeping so far
December 12, 2024 at 5:31 AM
So excited
December 11, 2024 at 1:35 PM
Reposted by Joel Copling
‪The Gotham award for Best Screenplay goes to HIS THREE DAUGHTERS‬
December 3, 2024 at 12:14 AM
👋
November 21, 2024 at 5:29 PM
If I were asked what the single most intense movie ever made is, I would answer with this one. It drenches you in sweat. Hitchcock's greatest magic trick.
a man is sitting in a chair holding a camera .
ALT: a man is sitting in a chair holding a camera .
media.tenor.com
November 16, 2024 at 4:56 AM