Joe Chipperfield
joechip90.bsky.social
Joe Chipperfield
@joechip90.bsky.social
A statistical model is supposed to be an expression of your a priori beliefs of the system. If you have hypotheses then that, by definition, means you have a priori beliefs about the system. The way you test your hypotheses is by building a model that contains a mechanism to test those beliefs.
November 29, 2025 at 1:22 PM
It so pervasive that I'm thinking I need to write a paper entitled "Why model selection is (almost) always a complete waste of time". Maybe @bobohara.bsky.social would be up on the soapbox with me here.
November 29, 2025 at 1:22 PM
A statistical model is supposed to be an expression of your a priori beliefs of the system. If you have hypotheses then that, by definition, means you have a priori beliefs about the system. The way you test your hypotheses is by building a model that contains a mechanism to test those beliefs.
November 29, 2025 at 1:22 PM
It so pervasive that I'm thinking I need to write a paper entitled "Why model selection is (almost) always a complete waste of time". Maybe @bobohara.bsky.social would be up on the soapbox with me here.
November 29, 2025 at 1:22 PM