Jochem Vanagt
@jochemvanagt.bsky.social
PhD Candidate in Political Science | KU Leuven & University of Antwerp @m2p-antwerp.bsky.social | affective polarisation, radical-right voting & democratic support | https://jochemvanagt.github.io
Finally: even in places with a strong cordon sanitaire, coalition signals still mattered. Elite-led boundaries against the radical right seem to erode (very) quickly. Indeed, we find evidence that among the mainstream in 🇩🇪🇧🇪 (strong cordon sanitaire), attitudes are not that different from 🇪🇸🇦🇹.
October 1, 2025 at 3:26 PM
Finally: even in places with a strong cordon sanitaire, coalition signals still mattered. Elite-led boundaries against the radical right seem to erode (very) quickly. Indeed, we find evidence that among the mainstream in 🇩🇪🇧🇪 (strong cordon sanitaire), attitudes are not that different from 🇪🇸🇦🇹.
Key findings:
✔️ Center-right supporters become 𝙢𝙤𝙧𝙚 𝙩𝙤𝙡𝙚𝙧𝙖𝙣𝙩 and 𝙡𝙚𝙨𝙨 𝙝𝙤𝙨𝙩𝙞𝙡𝙚 toward the radical right.
✔️ Radical-right supporters become 𝙡𝙚𝙨𝙨 𝙝𝙤𝙨𝙩𝙞𝙡𝙚 toward the center right.
❗ But: center-left supporters also seem to grow 𝙢𝙤𝙧𝙚 𝙝𝙤𝙨𝙩𝙞𝙡𝙚 toward the center right!
✔️ Center-right supporters become 𝙢𝙤𝙧𝙚 𝙩𝙤𝙡𝙚𝙧𝙖𝙣𝙩 and 𝙡𝙚𝙨𝙨 𝙝𝙤𝙨𝙩𝙞𝙡𝙚 toward the radical right.
✔️ Radical-right supporters become 𝙡𝙚𝙨𝙨 𝙝𝙤𝙨𝙩𝙞𝙡𝙚 toward the center right.
❗ But: center-left supporters also seem to grow 𝙢𝙤𝙧𝙚 𝙝𝙤𝙨𝙩𝙞𝙡𝙚 toward the center right!
October 1, 2025 at 3:26 PM
Key findings:
✔️ Center-right supporters become 𝙢𝙤𝙧𝙚 𝙩𝙤𝙡𝙚𝙧𝙖𝙣𝙩 and 𝙡𝙚𝙨𝙨 𝙝𝙤𝙨𝙩𝙞𝙡𝙚 toward the radical right.
✔️ Radical-right supporters become 𝙡𝙚𝙨𝙨 𝙝𝙤𝙨𝙩𝙞𝙡𝙚 toward the center right.
❗ But: center-left supporters also seem to grow 𝙢𝙤𝙧𝙚 𝙝𝙤𝙨𝙩𝙞𝙡𝙚 toward the center right!
✔️ Center-right supporters become 𝙢𝙤𝙧𝙚 𝙩𝙤𝙡𝙚𝙧𝙖𝙣𝙩 and 𝙡𝙚𝙨𝙨 𝙝𝙤𝙨𝙩𝙞𝙡𝙚 toward the radical right.
✔️ Radical-right supporters become 𝙡𝙚𝙨𝙨 𝙝𝙤𝙨𝙩𝙞𝙡𝙚 toward the center right.
❗ But: center-left supporters also seem to grow 𝙢𝙤𝙧𝙚 𝙝𝙤𝙨𝙩𝙞𝙡𝙚 toward the center right!
🚨 New publication out @jeppjournal.bsky.social w/ Katrin Praprotnik @luanarusso.bsky.social @markuswagner.bsky.social
We show that coalition signals from the mainstream right to the radical right shift, rather than reduce, existing political divisions.
Open-access article: doi.org/10.1080/1350...
We show that coalition signals from the mainstream right to the radical right shift, rather than reduce, existing political divisions.
Open-access article: doi.org/10.1080/1350...
October 1, 2025 at 3:26 PM
🚨 New publication out @jeppjournal.bsky.social w/ Katrin Praprotnik @luanarusso.bsky.social @markuswagner.bsky.social
We show that coalition signals from the mainstream right to the radical right shift, rather than reduce, existing political divisions.
Open-access article: doi.org/10.1080/1350...
We show that coalition signals from the mainstream right to the radical right shift, rather than reduce, existing political divisions.
Open-access article: doi.org/10.1080/1350...
4/6 Indeed, we find that coalition membership *only* reduces affective polarization among voters who perceive their government’s performance as "(very) good". When voters believe that the government performed badly, the depolarizing effect is considerably reduced.
April 3, 2025 at 1:12 PM
4/6 Indeed, we find that coalition membership *only* reduces affective polarization among voters who perceive their government’s performance as "(very) good". When voters believe that the government performed badly, the depolarizing effect is considerably reduced.
🚨 New open-access publication out in the European Journal of Political Research!
@markuskollberg.bsky.social and I examine how coalition government performance shapes affective polarization between coalition partners—and find that it matters.
🧵 1/6
ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....
@markuskollberg.bsky.social and I examine how coalition government performance shapes affective polarization between coalition partners—and find that it matters.
🧵 1/6
ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....
April 3, 2025 at 1:12 PM
🚨 New open-access publication out in the European Journal of Political Research!
@markuskollberg.bsky.social and I examine how coalition government performance shapes affective polarization between coalition partners—and find that it matters.
🧵 1/6
ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....
@markuskollberg.bsky.social and I examine how coalition government performance shapes affective polarization between coalition partners—and find that it matters.
🧵 1/6
ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....
Dreigt polarisatie zoals in de VS ook Europa te verlammen? In mijn opinie in De Tijd bespreek ik wat affectieve polarisatie voor onze samenleving betekent en welke lessen we kunnen trekken uit de VS.
Zie 👇
www.tijd.be/opinie/algem...
Zie 👇
www.tijd.be/opinie/algem...
November 13, 2024 at 10:05 AM
Dreigt polarisatie zoals in de VS ook Europa te verlammen? In mijn opinie in De Tijd bespreek ik wat affectieve polarisatie voor onze samenleving betekent en welke lessen we kunnen trekken uit de VS.
Zie 👇
www.tijd.be/opinie/algem...
Zie 👇
www.tijd.be/opinie/algem...