In this piece, my @RANDCorporation colleague Joel Predd and I offer strategists and policymakers a common language to communicate about AGI risks and a rubric to evaluate AGI strategies.

It's unclear if AGI will emerge, but its emergence is plausible and should be taken seriously by the U.S. national security community.

If AGI does emerge, the U.S. government should not stumble into such a future analytically bankrupt.