Just saw this on terrestial carbon sinks (while new study on AMOC is also increasing the chance of positive feedback driven rachet

Soil moisture anomaly foreseen in Europe in the layer 28-100 cm in the coming months
Source: climatestrategies.org/seasonal-cli...

This is my take since early 2023 as well. you sum it up well - scientist communicate with the opposite logic compared to risk assessors and profound physical variables of climate change show acceleration and higher impacts. I have put it together for myself on a slide:

Lets look at agriculture and the good weather in Europe - here is a product from our own Augures! project -showing you how soil moisture changed in the past 6 month and adding to this the coming 6 month forecast.
The forecast ECMWF ensemble.
Analysis: National Observatory of Athens

My Sunday post (no climat, no science, no politics) only chicken… Today it is Silky, a young hen we have.

Another take of the global SOx emissions - in comparison marine shipping emissions peaked in 2008 at 14 mln metric ton.
ourworldindata.org/grapher/so-e...

If that is the case then what we are witnessing are not the impacts of IMO 2020, but the land based de-SOx measures for the power sector, e.g. in the EU after 1996 and more spectacularly after 2004 as the result of the EU Large Combustion Plants Directive.

Arnyek (Shadow) is on guard duty. Today he was also our meteorologist on duty - while preparing the raised beds he was pestering us loudly. We did not know why, until a quick shower arrived - he was wanting us to take shelter in our “coop” as he has known that bad weather is coming.

On Sundays I don’t post about climate change on FB, but about chickins. So here is today’s one - not stages, he is one of our cute roosters.