Connor T. Jerzak
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jerzakconnor.bsky.social
Connor T. Jerzak
@jerzakconnor.bsky.social
@UTAustin
"Nullius in verba"
Book → planetarycausalinference.org/book-launch
Jobs → aidevlab.org/jobs
"Counterfactuals. At planetary scale."
The Planetary Causal Inference (PCI) book launches soon:
planetarycausalinference.org/book-launch/
November 17, 2025 at 2:57 PM
Excited to see our PhD student Andrés Cruz (@arcruz0) presenting his work "Sensitivity Bounds for Uncertainty Propagation" at LAPolMeth IX in Viña del Mar, Chile.

Catch it during the poster session on Nov 22 (12:45-14:00, Building C). Don't miss this work on uncertainty in quant social science!
November 14, 2025 at 5:23 PM
When on-the-ground data are scarce or outdated, satellites can keep the evidence flowing. Our guide shows how to turn data from satellites into useful causal claims, improving targeting + evaluation, avoiding common issues related to resolution mismatch / leakage / spatial dependence.
October 10, 2025 at 11:03 AM
Fall schedule for the Political Methodology Seminar Series at the UT Austin Department of Government, AY25-26 is out! Event calendar links here: connorjerzak.com/methods-seri...
August 18, 2025 at 7:13 PM
August 12, 2025 at 2:33 PM
Excited to teach two grad courses @UTAustin Spring '26!

📊 Gov 385La: Making Big Data – Learn web scraping, crowd-sourcing, & data curation to build high-quality datasets for social sci impact.

🌍 Gov 385Lb: Causal ML & EO for Social Sci – Deploy satellite data & ML for causal inf at planetary scale
August 2, 2025 at 7:01 PM
April 4, 2025 at 3:38 PM
On scaling laws for muli-scale dynamics in effect heterogeneity estimation.

Paper: arxiv.org/abs/2411.02134

More: planetarycausalinference.org
March 19, 2025 at 5:14 PM
Rankings of neighborhoods/provinces in Africa with the greatest improvement in poverty between 1990 and 2019. Estimation methodology is EO-ML-based.

Rankings: aidevlab.org/rankings/

Raw data now on Hugging Face: huggingface.co/datasets/cje...
March 17, 2025 at 11:07 PM
March 2, 2025 at 10:58 PM
January 31, 2025 at 5:20 PM
Course intro vid:
January 20, 2025 at 10:12 PM
A new method helps us combine satellite data at different zoom levels (from house to village) to better understand how different people will respond to anti-poverty aid: arxiv.org/abs/2411.02134
November 25, 2024 at 7:42 PM