anticristo da silva jr.
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jellen.bsky.social
anticristo da silva jr.
@jellen.bsky.social
240 followers 210 following 2K posts
política, ciência, música, outras coisas. vivendo entre o Rio e Buenos Aires. falo muito de futebol e Fluminense.
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jellen.bsky.social
por gentileza, cidadãos, será que vocês podem diminuir as suas demandas e as expectativas sobre o funcionamento das instituições e da própria democracia? obrigada.
Trecho do livro: DALTON, Russell J. Citizen Politics: Public Opinion and Political Parties in Advanced Industrial Democracies. 6. ed. Washington, DC: CQ Press, 2014. The Democratic Elitist Perspective One group of scholars cites widespread political dissatisfaction as evidence of a crisis of democracy (Zakaria 2003; Macedo et al. 2005; Wolfe 2006). Some researchers claim that excessive public demands are overtaxing governments’ ability to satisfy them. Thus, these analysts use the elitist theory of democracy (see chapter 2) to offer a solution to this crisis. In a crude exaggeration of democratic theory, they maintain that if a supportive and quiescent public ensures a smoothly functioning political system, then we must redevelop these traits in contemporary publics. The centrifugal tendencies of democratic politics (and the demands of the public) must be controlled, and political authority must be reestablished. Samuel Huntington assumed the ermine robes as spokesperson for this position when political trust first started to decline: The problem of governance in the United States today stems from an “excess of democracy.” . . . [T]he effective operation of a democratic political system usually requires some measure of apathy and noninvolvement on the part of some individuals and groups. The vulnerability of democratic government in the United States comes . . . from the internal dynamics of democracy itself in a highly educated, mobilized, and participatory society. (1975, 37–38)
October 22, 2025 at 3:28 PM
jellen.bsky.social
não me convence nem um pouco a ideia de indulgência, de abrir mão do prazer, do sacrifício de Deus pelo próprio Deus para perdoar os pecados -- conceito que também não acredito, da superação dos problemas da humanidade por um agente divino externo, de hierarquias rígidas, de monoteísmo no geral.
Resultado de um teste intitulado "Qual Religião Você Deveria Seguir?", em ordem: 0% Cristianismo; 30% Judaísmo; 0% Islamismo; 20% Siquismo; 50% Budismo; 50% Hinduísmo; 80% Taoísmo; 45% Xintoísmo.
August 27, 2025 at 7:52 PM
jellen.bsky.social
essa é pra quem diz que todo nerd de métodos é ateu
Zeus is a patient waiting for a heart transplant. On January 1, he receives a new heart. Five days later, he dies. Imagine that we can somehow know—perhaps by divine revelation—that had Zeus not received a heart transplant on January 1, he would have been alive five days later. Equipped with this information most would agree that the transplant caused Zeus’s death. The heart transplant intervention had a causal effect on Zeus’s five-day survival. Another patient, Hera, also received a heart transplant on January 1. Five days later she was alive. Imagine we can somehow know that, had Hera not received the heart on January 1, she would still have been alive five days later. Hence the transplant did not have a causal effect on Hera’s five-day survival. These two vignettes illustrate how humans reason about causal effects: We compare (usually only mentally) the outcome when an action A is taken versus the outcome when the action A is withheld. If the two outcomes differ, we say that the action A has a causal effect, causative or preventive, on the outcome. Otherwise, we say that the action A has no causal effect on the outcome. Epidemiologists, statisticians, economists, and other social scientists refer to the action A as an intervention, an exposure, a policy, or a treatment.
July 12, 2025 at 3:48 AM
jellen.bsky.social
eu y meu namorado 💖
June 13, 2025 at 1:46 AM
jellen.bsky.social
não confirmo nem desfirmo que:
February 28, 2025 at 5:48 PM
jellen.bsky.social
February 19, 2025 at 12:44 AM
jellen.bsky.social
bicho feio online
January 23, 2025 at 2:58 AM
jellen.bsky.social
January 15, 2025 at 9:38 PM
jellen.bsky.social
feliz ânus novo, amigles.
January 1, 2025 at 4:12 AM
jellen.bsky.social
sei...
December 20, 2024 at 7:14 PM
jellen.bsky.social
duas coisas que eu amo nesta foto!
December 13, 2024 at 7:36 PM
jellen.bsky.social
perguntas pro Deepinho?
December 8, 2024 at 2:33 AM
jellen.bsky.social
eu quando abro os aplicativos futebolcard e zé delivery
November 30, 2024 at 2:50 AM
jellen.bsky.social
a flowa?
November 28, 2024 at 3:54 PM
jellen.bsky.social
November 22, 2024 at 12:42 AM
jellen.bsky.social
Nense, eu te amo demais.
VOCÊ NÃO SE COMPARA A NADA!
October 23, 2024 at 12:51 AM
jellen.bsky.social
enquanto isso, no meu cérebro:
October 20, 2024 at 8:10 PM
jellen.bsky.social
às vezes tudo o que você precisa fazer é sair de Uruguaiana e gravar um álbum cuja capa será você posando na esquina da Rua Uruguaiana com a Rua da Alfândega... pqp isso é tão nós... te amo Bebeto saudades eternas
September 28, 2024 at 12:48 AM
jellen.bsky.social
duas piranhas passivas patéticas
September 22, 2024 at 3:45 AM
jellen.bsky.social
O Bluesky agora tem mais de 10 milhões de usuários, e eu tinha #528.189!
September 17, 2024 at 9:56 AM
jellen.bsky.social
não é alcoolismo beber segunda quando o local da bebedeira é o IESP. me siga para mais dicas.
September 16, 2024 at 11:36 PM
jellen.bsky.social
NENSE
EU TE AMO DEMAIS
VOCÊ
NÃO SE COMPARA
A NADA!
September 1, 2024 at 11:31 PM