John Johnson
@jdjmke.bsky.social
Personally, I wouldn't categorize this as a "niche athletic" gear and I don't think anyone sees it as such.
September 2, 2025 at 3:50 PM
Personally, I wouldn't categorize this as a "niche athletic" gear and I don't think anyone sees it as such.
In new cities I often wonder where the people live. How far did the baggage handlers at the airport have to commute? Do the finance workers in the towers downtown live in condos nearby, or do they all come in from the outer 'burbs?
Here are LAX employees vs Warner Bros (pics from LODESmap.com)
Here are LAX employees vs Warner Bros (pics from LODESmap.com)
August 20, 2025 at 2:41 PM
In new cities I often wonder where the people live. How far did the baggage handlers at the airport have to commute? Do the finance workers in the towers downtown live in condos nearby, or do they all come in from the outer 'burbs?
Here are LAX employees vs Warner Bros (pics from LODESmap.com)
Here are LAX employees vs Warner Bros (pics from LODESmap.com)
I'm pleased to share LODESmap.com, a website @mitchellhenke.com and I built that lets you explore an extremely detailed dataset of American worker flows over 21 years in spatially integrated geographies. You can seamlessly move between counties, county subdivisions, census tracts, & block groups.
August 18, 2025 at 4:41 PM
I'm pleased to share LODESmap.com, a website @mitchellhenke.com and I built that lets you explore an extremely detailed dataset of American worker flows over 21 years in spatially integrated geographies. You can seamlessly move between counties, county subdivisions, census tracts, & block groups.
Why this difference between the counties? I suspect topography is a partial answer. McDonough is flat and Vernon is hilly--part of the unglaciated Driftless Area.
In McDonough, the farms have gotten vaster as the labor needed to grow & harvest corn/beans has diminished.
In McDonough, the farms have gotten vaster as the labor needed to grow & harvest corn/beans has diminished.
August 8, 2025 at 6:57 PM
Why this difference between the counties? I suspect topography is a partial answer. McDonough is flat and Vernon is hilly--part of the unglaciated Driftless Area.
In McDonough, the farms have gotten vaster as the labor needed to grow & harvest corn/beans has diminished.
In McDonough, the farms have gotten vaster as the labor needed to grow & harvest corn/beans has diminished.
Consider Vernon, WI & McDonough, IL counties.
TOTAL SALES
- Vernon: 83rd pctile
- McDonough: 82nd pctile
PRODUCT DIVERSITY BY SALES
- Vernon: 80th pctile
- McDonough: 35th
COMMODITIES >$100k sales
- Vernon: 18
- McDonough: 6
TOTAL SALES
- Vernon: 83rd pctile
- McDonough: 82nd pctile
PRODUCT DIVERSITY BY SALES
- Vernon: 80th pctile
- McDonough: 35th
COMMODITIES >$100k sales
- Vernon: 18
- McDonough: 6
August 8, 2025 at 6:57 PM
Consider Vernon, WI & McDonough, IL counties.
TOTAL SALES
- Vernon: 83rd pctile
- McDonough: 82nd pctile
PRODUCT DIVERSITY BY SALES
- Vernon: 80th pctile
- McDonough: 35th
COMMODITIES >$100k sales
- Vernon: 18
- McDonough: 6
TOTAL SALES
- Vernon: 83rd pctile
- McDonough: 82nd pctile
PRODUCT DIVERSITY BY SALES
- Vernon: 80th pctile
- McDonough: 35th
COMMODITIES >$100k sales
- Vernon: 18
- McDonough: 6
The farms are different though. Illinois is mostly corn, beans, & some hog CAFOs. WI farmers produce many different products.
August 8, 2025 at 6:57 PM
The farms are different though. Illinois is mostly corn, beans, & some hog CAFOs. WI farmers produce many different products.
In some ways, rural WI & IL are very similar. Agriculture is huge in both. In between the North Woods of northern WI and the Shawnee Nat'l Forest of southern IL lies some of the most fertile land in the country, maybe the world.
August 8, 2025 at 6:56 PM
In some ways, rural WI & IL are very similar. Agriculture is huge in both. In between the North Woods of northern WI and the Shawnee Nat'l Forest of southern IL lies some of the most fertile land in the country, maybe the world.
The phenomenon I'm describing goes beyond any single metric, but here are a couple that get at it.
- IL counties are shrinking fast while many rural WI counties are growing.
- rural IL housing prices haven't even kept up with inflation in the last decade. In WI, they've doubled
- IL counties are shrinking fast while many rural WI counties are growing.
- rural IL housing prices haven't even kept up with inflation in the last decade. In WI, they've doubled
August 8, 2025 at 6:56 PM
The phenomenon I'm describing goes beyond any single metric, but here are a couple that get at it.
- IL counties are shrinking fast while many rural WI counties are growing.
- rural IL housing prices haven't even kept up with inflation in the last decade. In WI, they've doubled
- IL counties are shrinking fast while many rural WI counties are growing.
- rural IL housing prices haven't even kept up with inflation in the last decade. In WI, they've doubled
This map shows how diverse the agricultural economy of each county is.
Purple = 1 commodity makes up the lion's share of sales
Green = ag sales are spread across many products
I think this helps explain why Wisconsin's small towns are doing so much better than those in Illinois
Purple = 1 commodity makes up the lion's share of sales
Green = ag sales are spread across many products
I think this helps explain why Wisconsin's small towns are doing so much better than those in Illinois
August 8, 2025 at 6:55 PM
This map shows how diverse the agricultural economy of each county is.
Purple = 1 commodity makes up the lion's share of sales
Green = ag sales are spread across many products
I think this helps explain why Wisconsin's small towns are doing so much better than those in Illinois
Purple = 1 commodity makes up the lion's share of sales
Green = ag sales are spread across many products
I think this helps explain why Wisconsin's small towns are doing so much better than those in Illinois
We asked a thousand people to tell us, in their own words, what is their biggest concern for the country. You can read their responses using this web tool. lubarcenter.shinyapps.io/trump-open-e... Here are some of my impressions from reading them all.
July 25, 2025 at 3:06 PM
We asked a thousand people to tell us, in their own words, what is their biggest concern for the country. You can read their responses using this web tool. lubarcenter.shinyapps.io/trump-open-e... Here are some of my impressions from reading them all.
Support for deportations is waning. It peaked in our polling in the spring of this year and has dropped off since then, possibly because a majority believes the administration is mostly deporting people without a criminal record.
July 25, 2025 at 3:05 PM
Support for deportations is waning. It peaked in our polling in the spring of this year and has dropped off since then, possibly because a majority believes the administration is mostly deporting people without a criminal record.
Trump's overall job approval isn't moving much, but there's actually huge variation in how people assess him on individual issues. Net approval ranges from +8 on border security to -30 on tariffs, inflation, & the cost of living.
July 25, 2025 at 3:05 PM
Trump's overall job approval isn't moving much, but there's actually huge variation in how people assess him on individual issues. Net approval ranges from +8 on border security to -30 on tariffs, inflation, & the cost of living.
Less surprising: the partisan split in views of the Court is enormous. There was practically no different in partisan views of the court 4 years ago.
July 25, 2025 at 3:04 PM
Less surprising: the partisan split in views of the Court is enormous. There was practically no different in partisan views of the court 4 years ago.
Something that surprised me a bit in our latest national poll is that all 7 of the Supreme Court decisions we asked about from this term had majority support.
July 25, 2025 at 3:04 PM
Something that surprised me a bit in our latest national poll is that all 7 of the Supreme Court decisions we asked about from this term had majority support.
I finally resurrected my tufte-inspired weather graphs, updating daily w/the latest from NOAA. Jan/Feb were extraordinarily dry, but recent rainfall has actually pushed us above average for the year.
Latest graphs: johndjohnson.info/weather-grap...
Code/Docs: github.com/jdjohn215/mi...
Latest graphs: johndjohnson.info/weather-grap...
Code/Docs: github.com/jdjohn215/mi...
April 22, 2025 at 7:40 PM
I finally resurrected my tufte-inspired weather graphs, updating daily w/the latest from NOAA. Jan/Feb were extraordinarily dry, but recent rainfall has actually pushed us above average for the year.
Latest graphs: johndjohnson.info/weather-grap...
Code/Docs: github.com/jdjohn215/mi...
Latest graphs: johndjohnson.info/weather-grap...
Code/Docs: github.com/jdjohn215/mi...
These 4 houses were built in Milwaukee last year at a cost of ~$400k. The goal was to prove that market-rate housing could be built in Midtown--a place w/lots of empty lots. Instead, the first 1 sold this month (324 days after listing) for $281k. 1/2
April 16, 2025 at 3:12 PM
These 4 houses were built in Milwaukee last year at a cost of ~$400k. The goal was to prove that market-rate housing could be built in Midtown--a place w/lots of empty lots. Instead, the first 1 sold this month (324 days after listing) for $281k. 1/2
Me watching the results come in last night.
April 2, 2025 at 9:20 PM
Me watching the results come in last night.
Here's the latest for the places I'm scraping data. Collectively, these municipalities shifted 9 points since November.
April 2, 2025 at 5:07 AM
Here's the latest for the places I'm scraping data. Collectively, these municipalities shifted 9 points since November.
More bad news for Schimel in these quickly-reporting towns, in very different parts of the state. Crawford is running 11 points ahead of Harris even in the two tiny, ruby-red Wood County towns of Cameron and Hiles. Wipeout stuff.
April 2, 2025 at 1:58 AM
More bad news for Schimel in these quickly-reporting towns, in very different parts of the state. Crawford is running 11 points ahead of Harris even in the two tiny, ruby-red Wood County towns of Cameron and Hiles. Wipeout stuff.
Great results for Crawford in the first Dane Co reports
April 2, 2025 at 1:42 AM
Great results for Crawford in the first Dane Co reports
So who are those people without IDs? I built a tract-level regression model.
Correlated w/FEWER IDs:
- college students (many have student IDs)
- recent arrivals to WI
- 18-19
- poverty
Correlated w/MORE IDs:
- older
- more movers out of WI
- Black or Asian pop share
Correlated w/FEWER IDs:
- college students (many have student IDs)
- recent arrivals to WI
- 18-19
- poverty
Correlated w/MORE IDs:
- older
- more movers out of WI
- Black or Asian pop share
March 21, 2025 at 1:03 AM
So who are those people without IDs? I built a tract-level regression model.
Correlated w/FEWER IDs:
- college students (many have student IDs)
- recent arrivals to WI
- 18-19
- poverty
Correlated w/MORE IDs:
- older
- more movers out of WI
- Black or Asian pop share
Correlated w/FEWER IDs:
- college students (many have student IDs)
- recent arrivals to WI
- 18-19
- poverty
Correlated w/MORE IDs:
- older
- more movers out of WI
- Black or Asian pop share
Because that's right after the years of peak mobility!
People move out of WI and their IDs don't immediately get cancelled. Nobody stops your UHaul at the state line.
So how long does those IDs from out-movers stay on the books?
People move out of WI and their IDs don't immediately get cancelled. Nobody stops your UHaul at the state line.
So how long does those IDs from out-movers stay on the books?
March 21, 2025 at 1:01 AM
Because that's right after the years of peak mobility!
People move out of WI and their IDs don't immediately get cancelled. Nobody stops your UHaul at the state line.
So how long does those IDs from out-movers stay on the books?
People move out of WI and their IDs don't immediately get cancelled. Nobody stops your UHaul at the state line.
So how long does those IDs from out-movers stay on the books?
Here's how the DMV ID count compares with the population for each age group.
The ID count is from early 2025. The latest single-year-of-age pop. estimates are from July 2023, so I moved them forward by 1.5 years and adjusted by 1.5x the 2023 age-specific Wisc mortality rates.
The ID count is from early 2025. The latest single-year-of-age pop. estimates are from July 2023, so I moved them forward by 1.5 years and adjusted by 1.5x the 2023 age-specific Wisc mortality rates.
March 21, 2025 at 1:01 AM
Here's how the DMV ID count compares with the population for each age group.
The ID count is from early 2025. The latest single-year-of-age pop. estimates are from July 2023, so I moved them forward by 1.5 years and adjusted by 1.5x the 2023 age-specific Wisc mortality rates.
The ID count is from early 2025. The latest single-year-of-age pop. estimates are from July 2023, so I moved them forward by 1.5 years and adjusted by 1.5x the 2023 age-specific Wisc mortality rates.
In an effort to be the change I want to see in the world, I've resuscitated my personal website to be a central home for stuff I've also published elsewhere.
It's about as simple as they come: static HTML, made with Quarto.
Check it out: johndjohnson.info
It's about as simple as they come: static HTML, made with Quarto.
Check it out: johndjohnson.info
March 12, 2025 at 3:49 PM
In an effort to be the change I want to see in the world, I've resuscitated my personal website to be a central home for stuff I've also published elsewhere.
It's about as simple as they come: static HTML, made with Quarto.
Check it out: johndjohnson.info
It's about as simple as they come: static HTML, made with Quarto.
Check it out: johndjohnson.info
What did birders do to this journalist??
March 9, 2025 at 6:50 PM
What did birders do to this journalist??