Jan Brøgger 🇳🇴🇺🇦🇵🇱🇪🇺
@jan.brogger.no
member Høyre/🇳🇴 Conservatives. 🇪🇺 unity, clinical neurophysiology, family, informed choices. Za naszą i waszą wolność. #NAFO
6/ The bottom line: History suggests dramatic diplomatic revolutions create as many problems as they solve. Trading reliable democratic allies for an authoritarian regime that invaded its neighbor?
That’s not realism - it’s a gamble with America’s future. 🇺🇸
That’s not realism - it’s a gamble with America’s future. 🇺🇸
August 28, 2025 at 4:43 PM
6/ The bottom line: History suggests dramatic diplomatic revolutions create as many problems as they solve. Trading reliable democratic allies for an authoritarian regime that invaded its neighbor?
That’s not realism - it’s a gamble with America’s future. 🇺🇸
That’s not realism - it’s a gamble with America’s future. 🇺🇸
5/ Today’s version faces even bigger problems:
• Russia-China partnership is MUCH stronger than expected
• Congress is pushing back with 500% tariffs on Russian oil buyers
• European allies represent $1.3 trillion in annual trade
• Putin has a track record of betraying partners
• Russia-China partnership is MUCH stronger than expected
• Congress is pushing back with 500% tariffs on Russian oil buyers
• European allies represent $1.3 trillion in annual trade
• Putin has a track record of betraying partners
August 28, 2025 at 4:43 PM
5/ Today’s version faces even bigger problems:
• Russia-China partnership is MUCH stronger than expected
• Congress is pushing back with 500% tariffs on Russian oil buyers
• European allies represent $1.3 trillion in annual trade
• Putin has a track record of betraying partners
• Russia-China partnership is MUCH stronger than expected
• Congress is pushing back with 500% tariffs on Russian oil buyers
• European allies represent $1.3 trillion in annual trade
• Putin has a track record of betraying partners
4/ But here’s the catch: The 1756 revolution worked short-term but collapsed quickly. Britain dumped Prussia after just 6 years. Why? Allies of convenience aren’t reliable when interests change.
August 28, 2025 at 4:43 PM
4/ But here’s the catch: The 1756 revolution worked short-term but collapsed quickly. Britain dumped Prussia after just 6 years. Why? Allies of convenience aren’t reliable when interests change.
3/ The parallels are striking:
• Abandoning traditional allies ✓
• Pursuing “pragmatic” partnerships ✓
• Betting on a rival’s rival ✓
• Shocking the international system ✓
• Abandoning traditional allies ✓
• Pursuing “pragmatic” partnerships ✓
• Betting on a rival’s rival ✓
• Shocking the international system ✓
August 28, 2025 at 4:43 PM
3/ The parallels are striking:
• Abandoning traditional allies ✓
• Pursuing “pragmatic” partnerships ✓
• Betting on a rival’s rival ✓
• Shocking the international system ✓
• Abandoning traditional allies ✓
• Pursuing “pragmatic” partnerships ✓
• Betting on a rival’s rival ✓
• Shocking the international system ✓
2/ Fast forward to 2025: Trump’s doing something similar. After 75 years of NATO partnership, he’s cozying up to Putin while alienating European allies. The goal? Split Russia from China by offering Moscow a “grand bargain.”
August 28, 2025 at 4:43 PM
2/ Fast forward to 2025: Trump’s doing something similar. After 75 years of NATO partnership, he’s cozying up to Putin while alienating European allies. The goal? Split Russia from China by offering Moscow a “grand bargain.”
1/ In 1756, Britain ditched Austria (its longtime ally) to team up with Prussia, while France flipped from supporting Prussia to backing Austria. It was called the “Diplomatic Revolution” - a complete alliance reversal that shocked Europe.
August 28, 2025 at 4:43 PM
1/ In 1756, Britain ditched Austria (its longtime ally) to team up with Prussia, while France flipped from supporting Prussia to backing Austria. It was called the “Diplomatic Revolution” - a complete alliance reversal that shocked Europe.
A shiny rebuilt Ukraine will be democracy’s and Europe’s showroom.
June 7, 2025 at 7:27 AM
A shiny rebuilt Ukraine will be democracy’s and Europe’s showroom.
Ukraine’s victory will be the best thing that happened to American democracy. The orange one who licks Putin’s boot will not survive it, metaphorically.
June 7, 2025 at 7:17 AM
Ukraine’s victory will be the best thing that happened to American democracy. The orange one who licks Putin’s boot will not survive it, metaphorically.
They are a stopgap. Autonomy is the future. Compute is cheap, and range extensive.
June 7, 2025 at 7:15 AM
They are a stopgap. Autonomy is the future. Compute is cheap, and range extensive.
Careful with your tone. European NATO can clearly see that Ukraine is winning. Russia is boxed in. Any Russian full mobilization and conscription activates NATOs Russian bordering countries to respond.
June 7, 2025 at 5:33 AM
Careful with your tone. European NATO can clearly see that Ukraine is winning. Russia is boxed in. Any Russian full mobilization and conscription activates NATOs Russian bordering countries to respond.
Reposted by Jan Brøgger 🇳🇴🇺🇦🇵🇱🇪🇺
I honestly struggle to come up with a historical comparison. Destroying strategic assets that difficult to impossible to replace has been done, daring special forces raids have been done, and striking airbases to great effect has been done, all of which are hard to do, but to combine all three?
June 1, 2025 at 12:04 PM
I honestly struggle to come up with a historical comparison. Destroying strategic assets that difficult to impossible to replace has been done, daring special forces raids have been done, and striking airbases to great effect has been done, all of which are hard to do, but to combine all three?