James Prentice
@jamespren.bsky.social
Researcher, likes data, graphs, infographics and telling stories with data. PhD in political analysis from Sussex uni - like all social science subjects. Mainly post about political analysis and my research within the Hastings & Rye area. Fabian member.
The most recent voting intention of 2024 Labour voters, according to the British Election Study. It shows Labour has lost 20% to "undecided" people, 18.5% to Left-Liberal parties & 10.5% to Right-Authoritarian parties. Full report here: lnkd.in/eabH8EUC
October 2, 2025 at 3:14 PM
The most recent voting intention of 2024 Labour voters, according to the British Election Study. It shows Labour has lost 20% to "undecided" people, 18.5% to Left-Liberal parties & 10.5% to Right-Authoritarian parties. Full report here: lnkd.in/eabH8EUC
Out of all 2024 Labour voters, only those lost to Reform mostly perceive migration as a negative. Those lost to the Greens and Lib-Dems more often view it as a positive or are indifferent. Labour conference could be used to change tone on migration debate as many of its base would support this.
September 30, 2025 at 3:19 PM
Out of all 2024 Labour voters, only those lost to Reform mostly perceive migration as a negative. Those lost to the Greens and Lib-Dems more often view it as a positive or are indifferent. Labour conference could be used to change tone on migration debate as many of its base would support this.
The most recent voting intention of 2024 Labour voters according to the British Election Study - Wave 30 (2025). It shows Labour has lost 20% to "undecided" people, 18.5% to Left-Liberal parties & 10.5% to Right-Authoritarian parties. It highlights the fragmentation of British politics nicely.
September 12, 2025 at 2:49 PM
The most recent voting intention of 2024 Labour voters according to the British Election Study - Wave 30 (2025). It shows Labour has lost 20% to "undecided" people, 18.5% to Left-Liberal parties & 10.5% to Right-Authoritarian parties. It highlights the fragmentation of British politics nicely.
The Conservative vote splintered across multiple parties in the last election, with it mostly going to Reform. Labour's vote this parliament is fragmenting but mostly in the other direction (with the Lib-Dems and the Greens being the main beneficiaries).
June 25, 2025 at 7:50 AM
The Conservative vote splintered across multiple parties in the last election, with it mostly going to Reform. Labour's vote this parliament is fragmenting but mostly in the other direction (with the Lib-Dems and the Greens being the main beneficiaries).
The Leave vs Remain divide in the UK continued to divide the voters perceptions of the political parties across the last parliament. In this case, how well Labour would run the NHS if in government.
June 13, 2025 at 9:05 AM
The Leave vs Remain divide in the UK continued to divide the voters perceptions of the political parties across the last parliament. In this case, how well Labour would run the NHS if in government.
The Conservatives lost their pro-Brexit coalition partly due to not being trusted to manage migration flows. Their decline sped up after the rise in small boat crossings and the decline in inflation. Labour doing poorly on the immigration issue could lose them leave voters they gained in 2024.
June 3, 2025 at 1:33 PM
The Conservatives lost their pro-Brexit coalition partly due to not being trusted to manage migration flows. Their decline sped up after the rise in small boat crossings and the decline in inflation. Labour doing poorly on the immigration issue could lose them leave voters they gained in 2024.
The pro-Brexit base the Conservatives secured in 2019 disintegrated across the last parliament. This shows just how difficult parties are finding to keep their support bases in tact in the UK. Therefore, Labour not retaining its 2024 base is a continuation of a longer term trend.
June 1, 2025 at 7:51 AM
The pro-Brexit base the Conservatives secured in 2019 disintegrated across the last parliament. This shows just how difficult parties are finding to keep their support bases in tact in the UK. Therefore, Labour not retaining its 2024 base is a continuation of a longer term trend.
People who voted in the the 2019 general election but chose not to participate in 2024 more often disapproved of all the party leaders. This displays a deep sense of apathy within the entire political system amongst those not voting. #voting #trust #politics #rating #party #Labour #Conservative
May 25, 2025 at 7:33 PM
People who voted in the 2019 UK general election but did not vote in 2024 more often felt No Party performed on the issues they most cared about (the economy and immigration). A lack of faith in government being able to deliver could be decreasing turnout. #Trust #Vote #politics #tunrout #graph
May 22, 2025 at 8:23 PM
British politics might partly be becoming more polarised (Fragmented) because the parties have internally decided to vacate the centre ground (with the exception of Labour). #Britishpolitics #politics #Labour #Conservative #Reform #Green #analysis
May 18, 2025 at 11:51 AM
British politics might partly be becoming more polarised (Fragmented) because the parties have internally decided to vacate the centre ground (with the exception of Labour). #Britishpolitics #politics #Labour #Conservative #Reform #Green #analysis
People who voted in the 2019 general election and did not participate in 2024 disproportionately rented their accommodation. They also were more often in low-income households. Read the full report here: www.capturepolitics.co.uk/tuning-out
#apathy #vote #voting #politics #Reform #Labour
#apathy #vote #voting #politics #Reform #Labour
May 15, 2025 at 7:18 PM
Interesting that you found a large move from Non-voters to Reform, the research I did on non voters in the last general election does suggest these voters mostly come from the demographics Reform will be targeting.
May 14, 2025 at 7:07 AM
Interesting that you found a large move from Non-voters to Reform, the research I did on non voters in the last general election does suggest these voters mostly come from the demographics Reform will be targeting.
Just a reminder that the people who didn't vote in the last UK general election (but did vote in 2019) tend to fit in the exact demographics Reform will be targeting. Those who voted leave, on lower incomes, working class and not university educated. Turnout increasing could favour #Reform #election
May 12, 2025 at 9:10 PM
Just a reminder that the people who didn't vote in the last UK general election (but did vote in 2019) tend to fit in the exact demographics Reform will be targeting. Those who voted leave, on lower incomes, working class and not university educated. Turnout increasing could favour #Reform #election
People who voted in the 2019 UK general election who believed their personal finances would worsen in the near future more frequently decided to stop participating in 2024. #election #voting #economy #finances #costofliving #apathy #particiapte
May 11, 2025 at 6:37 PM
People who voted in the 2019 UK general election who believed their personal finances would worsen in the near future more frequently decided to stop participating in 2024. #election #voting #economy #finances #costofliving #apathy #particiapte
Those who were more dissatisfied with UK democratic outcomes more often stopped voting in the 2024 UK general election. To read the full report into decreasing turnout click the link www.capturepolitics.co.uk/tuning-out #turnout #politics #election #voting #UK #England #BES #Labour #Conservative
May 8, 2025 at 7:55 PM
Those who were more dissatisfied with UK democratic outcomes more often stopped voting in the 2024 UK general election. To read the full report into decreasing turnout click the link www.capturepolitics.co.uk/tuning-out #turnout #politics #election #voting #UK #England #BES #Labour #Conservative
A key reason why turnout declined nearly 8% in the last UK general election was a feeling that no party had the vision and policy programme needed to fix the county's many problems.
May 7, 2025 at 5:27 PM
A key reason why turnout declined nearly 8% in the last UK general election was a feeling that no party had the vision and policy programme needed to fix the county's many problems.
Out of those who voted in the UK 2019 general election but did not vote in 2024, there were higher levels of political distrust. There was also higher levels of dissatisfaction with democracy. #election #voting #turnout #politics . The full report located here: www.capturepolitics.co.uk/tuning-out
May 6, 2025 at 6:03 PM
Out of those who voted in the UK 2019 general election but did not vote in 2024, there were higher levels of political distrust. There was also higher levels of dissatisfaction with democracy. #election #voting #turnout #politics . The full report located here: www.capturepolitics.co.uk/tuning-out
Out of those who voted in the UK 2019 general election but did not vote in 2024, there were higher levels of distrust. There was also higher levels of dissatisfaction with democratic outcomes. #election #voting #turnout #politics . The full report located here: www.capturepolitics.co.uk/tuning-out
May 5, 2025 at 8:14 AM
Out of those who voted in the UK 2019 general election but did not vote in 2024, there were higher levels of distrust. There was also higher levels of dissatisfaction with democratic outcomes. #election #voting #turnout #politics . The full report located here: www.capturepolitics.co.uk/tuning-out
It would be interesting to test this idea. It would be interesting to see what the turnout figure and change in turnout figure was for the wards they won. My research into why people didn't turn out in 2024 (out of those who voted in 2019) indicates Reform would struggle to turn their vote out.
May 4, 2025 at 9:09 PM
It would be interesting to test this idea. It would be interesting to see what the turnout figure and change in turnout figure was for the wards they won. My research into why people didn't turn out in 2024 (out of those who voted in 2019) indicates Reform would struggle to turn their vote out.
An infographic summarising why people who voted in the UK 2019 election didn't vote in 2024. As turnout declining is helping reform & damaging Labour's prospects, understanding why people are stopping voting can help explain UK election results, e.g. #Runcorn. www.capturepolitics.co.uk/tuning-out
May 4, 2025 at 8:56 AM
An infographic summarising why people who voted in the UK 2019 election didn't vote in 2024. As turnout declining is helping reform & damaging Labour's prospects, understanding why people are stopping voting can help explain UK election results, e.g. #Runcorn. www.capturepolitics.co.uk/tuning-out
The result of the West of England Mayor election. The winning candidate wins with 25% of a 30% turnout, winning whilst only securing 7.5% of all eligible voters. This is peak Fragmentation and pure electoral craziness and I am enjoying watching it unfold. #Fragmentation #politics #election #le2025
May 2, 2025 at 8:21 AM
The result of the West of England Mayor election. The winning candidate wins with 25% of a 30% turnout, winning whilst only securing 7.5% of all eligible voters. This is peak Fragmentation and pure electoral craziness and I am enjoying watching it unfold. #Fragmentation #politics #election #le2025
An infographic summarising the results of my research into the causes of political fragmentation (where the electorate has become spread across more parties). See the link for the full report www.capturepolitics.co.uk/fragmenting
April 29, 2025 at 7:57 AM
An infographic summarising the results of my research into the causes of political fragmentation (where the electorate has become spread across more parties). See the link for the full report www.capturepolitics.co.uk/fragmenting
An infographic summarising the results of my research into the causes of political fragmentation (where the electorate has become spread across more parties). See the link for the full report www.capturepolitics.co.uk/articles
March 13, 2025 at 10:38 AM
An infographic summarising the results of my research into the causes of political fragmentation (where the electorate has become spread across more parties). See the link for the full report www.capturepolitics.co.uk/articles