James Mills
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jamesmills.bsky.social
James Mills
@jamesmills.bsky.social
Husband, father, Arsenal & Hibs supporter - a former Labour political adviser... and current advocate for the North.
Reposted by James Mills
Updating Labour’s 2017 approach on income tax would ensure that only the top 5% of earners pay more - a fair and reasonable dividing line argues former advisor to John McDonnell @jamesmills.bsky.social
‘To win back trust, Labour needs a clear dividing line on tax’ – LabourList
There are few things as a political adviser, outside of elections, that makes one's heart sink more than a new poll when your party is…
labourlist.org
November 10, 2025 at 9:47 AM
Spoke to @skynewsrss.bsky.social earlier today about Labour’s future. I voted for Lucy Powell as she ran the most positive campaign, about hope, unity and bringing people together to win.🌹
October 25, 2025 at 2:23 PM
Clear policies from @andyburnham.bsky.social that'd drive real change... If adopted they’d revive our Party's poll numbers and our country's prospects:
-Scrap 2-child cap
-Reband council tax
-Restore 50p rate
-Cut taxes for low earners
-Borrow for council homes
-Public control of utilities
Burnham believes the Government has afforded the market too much power
Andy Burnham versus the bond market
www.newstatesman.com
September 25, 2025 at 5:17 PM
Reposted by James Mills
I was on Sky News yesterday, I discussed the Labour reshuffle and deputy leadership race, and why this moment matters for Labour’s direction.
September 7, 2025 at 10:17 PM
I was on Sky News yesterday, I discussed the Labour reshuffle and deputy leadership race, and why this moment matters for Labour’s direction.
September 7, 2025 at 10:17 PM
𝗖𝗼𝗿𝗿𝗶𝗱𝗼𝗿𝘀 𝗼𝗳 𝗨𝗻𝗰𝗲𝗿𝘁𝗮𝗶𝗻𝘁𝘆 𝘂𝗽𝗱𝗮𝘁𝗲:
10Y gilt at around 4.8% and 30Y near 5.7%... both now exiting the OBR’s corridor of uncertainty (between yellow and red lines).

The OBR’s forecasted £9.9bn headroom may already be down to around £4bn (0.1% of GDP), if it exists at all.😬
Corridors of Uncertainty:

To preserve the OBR’s forecasted £9.9bn fiscal headroom:

- 10Y gilts must average at or below 4.8% (yellow line).
- 30Y gilts at or below 5.2% (yellow line).

Above that - but below 5.4% / 5.8% (red line)... lies the corridor of uncertainty!
September 2, 2025 at 3:07 PM
Great place to celebrate another year... #ENGvIND
July 25, 2025 at 3:01 PM
To show the real-world significance of PMQs today:

UK 10Y gilt yields spiked 12bps (a very sharp move) and the FTSE 100 dropped 0.6% in under an hour...

Both during Reeves’ moment in the chamber.👀

Markets are always watching. And #PMQs still offers big moments or flashpoints!
July 2, 2025 at 3:36 PM
The difference a Labour government makes...

This IFS chart shows it plainly: higher public investment under Labour (outside of major crises like Covid). #SpendingReview
June 12, 2025 at 1:52 PM
Combined, this means £7.5bn in welfare cuts by 29/30. I can't see them happening...

Esp' as it won’t take long for a canny Labour backbencher to notice that if you’re willing to accept a lower fiscal headroom, you could avoid these cuts and still meet your fiscal rules...👀 #SpendingReview
I suspect IFS and ResFo analysis will pick this up tomorrow anyway... but from 26/27, changes to Universal Credit for new disabled claimants are expected to save HMT £3bn a year by 29/30...🧐 #SpendingReview
June 11, 2025 at 2:17 PM
I suspect IFS and ResFo analysis will pick this up tomorrow anyway... but from 26/27, changes to Universal Credit for new disabled claimants are expected to save HMT £3bn a year by 29/30...🧐 #SpendingReview
June 11, 2025 at 1:08 PM
This is probably the most significant line in the entire #SpendingReview as it pretty much confirms what the IFS and ResFo suggested in their pre-analysis...
that as Health, Education & Defence are protected it means real-terms cuts for the rest of up to 3.4% a year... if correct
June 11, 2025 at 1:06 PM
Well, Ramaphosa won that...
May 21, 2025 at 5:27 PM
Corridors of Uncertainty:

To preserve the OBR’s forecasted £9.9bn fiscal headroom:

- 10Y gilts must average at or below 4.8% (yellow line).
- 30Y gilts at or below 5.2% (yellow line).

Above that - but below 5.4% / 5.8% (red line)... lies the corridor of uncertainty!
April 10, 2025 at 6:00 PM
Ginger Baker and Rick Buckler, the best drummers to come from these isles... RIP.

This song is one of my favourite by The Jam to show his talent. 🥁Any guitar and any bass drum...
www.youtube.com/watch?v=GO-3...
The Jam - When You're Young
YouTube video by TheJamVEVO
www.youtube.com
February 18, 2025 at 10:50 PM
Great finish and great result! C'mon #Hibs #GGTTH
December 26, 2024 at 2:38 PM
Reposted by James Mills
Low-to-middle income families today are older and have fewer children than three decades ago.

Single people with no children now make up almost half (48 per cent) of low-middle income households, compared to 40 per cent in 1994-94.
November 15, 2024 at 4:53 PM
This is a huge change that could be influencing wider voting patterns...
20 is the new 50 for low-to-middle income Britain.

Adults in low-to-middle income families are now almost as likely to be in their 50s (20%) as their 20s, (21%).

This is a big shift from 1994-95, when low-to-middle income adults were around 60% more likely to be in their 20s.
November 14, 2024 at 7:38 PM
Reposted by James Mills
Low-to-middle income families across Britain have got older and sicker over the past three decades.

Demographic and social changes over the last three decades mean that low-to-middle income families in Britain today have also changed.

Here's four things you need to know about 'Unsung Britain' ⤵️
November 14, 2024 at 3:04 PM