What’s wild is that it has only dropped to about the price point pre-election.

That suggests the market thinks the benefits for Tesla of the connection to the Trump admin are about equal with the harms.

But the harms are likely deeper and longer-lasting, so the stock should have further to fall.

After a wild weekend, the model now believes the Patriots are the weakest team in the NFL, with the Panthers jumping ahead to 4th worst.

#NFL

Here are the model's win probabilities for the Week 13 Sunday and Monday slate.

The model has Eagles-Ravens as a 50-50 game, it looks like it should be a highlight today. It also has my Vikings as 73% favorites to beat Arizona, but I will be nervous regardless.

nfl-forecast.mainspringlab.com

With the Detroit Lions (87/100), Minnesota Vikings (67/100), Green Bay Packers (64/100), and Chicago Bears (36/100), the NFC North is statistically the strongest division this season.

It's a huge gap vs. the rest of the pack as well.

#nfl #nfc-north

Built a new max likelihood strength model and Monte Carlo simulation for the 2024 NFL season.

Here: nfl-forecast.mainspringlab.com

Here's what it thinks of the games today (I haven't yet added Dak's injury, tbf). Let me know what you think!

#nfl #sportsanalytics

This map was a bit weirder than I expected, but it makes sense once you cut out the states you've driven through. I've lived in Florida, Minnesota, Michigan, and New York, and I also like to ski. :)

I guess I should see Delaware though?

SKOL Vikings - wild to get the win despite Darnold’s 70 interceptions, but the defense held strong

#minnesotavikings #vikings