Jay DeSart
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jadphd.bsky.social
Jay DeSart
@jadphd.bsky.social
Chair of the Department of History and Political Science at Utah Valley University. Public opinion, voting behavior, and election forecasting.
Reposted by Jay DeSart
A much deserving winner of the very first @apsa.bsky.social Political Forecasting Group best paper award! Congrats @jadphd.bsky.social!
September 10, 2025 at 8:40 AM
Who did Allan Lichtman's Keys to the Vatican say would win the Conclave?

I bet it wasn't someone named Bob.

#Forecast
May 9, 2025 at 12:35 AM
If only someone had pointed out that Hegseth was unqualified to be Secretay of Defense we might have avoided this mess.
March 26, 2025 at 8:45 PM
I had so many viral dance videos ready to upload to TikTok, but I guess I can't now. Oh well.
January 22, 2025 at 4:24 AM
I am 60 years old today.
My great-grandfather died at 61.
My grandfather died at 61.
My father probably would have been dead at 61 had he not lived a mile away from the Mayo Clinic.

I better make the best of this next year.
November 27, 2024 at 9:01 PM
First they came for the Sociologists...

I'm so glad I got out of Florida when I did, but I fear Utah might not be far behind.

www.nytimes.com/2024/11/21/u...
Republicans Target Social Sciences to Curb Ideas They Don’t Like (Gift Article)
Conservatives in Florida have moved from explosive politics to subtler tactics to uproot liberal “indoctrination” in higher education by removing subjects like sociology from core requirements.
www.nytimes.com
November 26, 2024 at 2:40 AM
So is this like Mastodon where we were all going to go when Elon first ruined Twitter, and then we didn't?
November 25, 2024 at 3:50 PM