(5) "Progressive Ideology and Support for Punitive Crime Policy: Evidence from Argentina and Brazil" by Isabel G. Laterzo @isabellatingley.bsky.social

journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....

Also thanks to the team @lawfaremedia.org and @tylermcbrien.com for giving us a space to talk about this paper! Fun to work with another @claremontmckenna.bsky.social alum after almost 10 years out!

You can find our working paper at @apsa-preprints.bsky.social here: cup.org/43y0dBt

These findings suggest a more optimistic view of public responses to institutional accountability: rather than triggering backlash, formal legal action against powerful political figures can reinforce democratic values

Among Bolsonaro voters (first round) we found no discernible changes in support for democracy.

These results are robust across a variety of estimation strategies, and when considering second round Bolsonaro voters instead of first round.

We found that individuals interviewed after the charges were announced were more supportive of democracy. This is particularly true for those who did not vote for Bolsonaro in the past Brazilian presidential election.

These charges were announced 8 days after we began our survey, creating a natural experiment that allowed us to establish the causal effect of institutional accountability measures on democratic attitudes.

On Feb 18 the PGR charged Bolsonaro with orchestrating a coup attempt to remain in power and prevent his successor (Lula) from taking office. The indictment included allegations of a plot to poison Lula and assassinate a Supreme Court Justice (Moraes)

apnews.com/article/bols...

We explore how criminal proceedings against democratically elected executives influence citizen’s support for democracy using the fortuitous timing of Brazilian Prosecutor General’s (PGR) announcement of the indictment against Bolsonaro during our online survey

Thanks so much Gabby! Hope to catch up at APSA.

Thankful for my diss committee at UNC + for the award committee!

thanks for sharing this! I'm curious re your data/time period for some of the stats for homicide and police fatalities. Some of the countries in lat am seem to be in surprising places (e.g., uruguay)