A projection for the next NI Assembly based on the latest LucidTalk - @belfasttelegraph.co.uk poll
☘️ SF — 23
🦁 DUP — 17
🤝 AP — 12
🔷 UUP — 10
🌹 SDLP — 11
Ⓣ TUV — 12
✊ PBP — 2
🌱 GP — 2
⚫ Ind — 1

From devolvedelections.co.uk/northern-ireland/

An IrishElections projection based on the latest IrelandThinks poll for @independent.ie

🟩 Fianna Fáil — 46 Seats
☘️ Sinn Féin — 44
⭐ Fine Gael — 39
🟪 Social Democrats — 18
🌹 Labour — 9
💬 Independent — 8
🟢 Independent Ireland — 5
🌳 Aontú — 3
✊ PBP-S — 2

irishelections.ie/general/

A projection based on the latest Red C/Business Post poll:

☘️ Sinn Féin — 42 Seats
🟩 Fianna Fáil — 40
⭐ Fine Gael — 38
🟪 Social Democrats — 20
💬 Independent — 11
🌹 Labour — 9
🟢 Independent Ireland — 8
✊ PBP-S — 4
🌱 Green — 1
🌳 Aontú — 1

From @irishelection.bsky.social

If you leave the Transfer Friendliness on 1x it uses the numbers from 2024 for that party (or similar independents).

Dialling them up or down has a huge effect

Here's Humphreys on the same first preferences but double the Transfer Friendliness:

We've introduced an Irish Presidential Election projection!

Enter your first preferences and play with their transfer freindliness to project a winner.

irishelections.ie/presidential/