We’re not heading back to 3% mortgages anytime soon...
#MortgageRates
We’re not heading back to 3% mortgages anytime soon...
#MortgageRates
Nestlé will raise prices on US chocolate products starting June 23, citing stubbornly high cocoa costs.
› Cocoa prices spiked near $13K/ton last year — still elevated
› Nestlé aims to cut $843M in costs this year
Nestlé will raise prices on US chocolate products starting June 23, citing stubbornly high cocoa costs.
› Cocoa prices spiked near $13K/ton last year — still elevated
› Nestlé aims to cut $843M in costs this year
› Amazon acquires 522 Fifth Ave office tower (near Grand Central)
› Seller: RFR Holding → Price undisclosed
› Adds to real estate stack: owns Lord & Taylor HQ (424 Fifth), leases 452 Fifth (10 Bryant Park)
› Signals long-term bet on NYC office market
› Amazon acquires 522 Fifth Ave office tower (near Grand Central)
› Seller: RFR Holding → Price undisclosed
› Adds to real estate stack: owns Lord & Taylor HQ (424 Fifth), leases 452 Fifth (10 Bryant Park)
› Signals long-term bet on NYC office market
› April nonfarm payrolls: ▲ +177K vs +138K est.
› Unemployment rate: 4.2%
› Wages: +0.2% MoM, +3.8% YoY
› Transportation jobs: ▲ +29K
Translation: Resilient jobs report just bought Powell more bench time.
› April nonfarm payrolls: ▲ +177K vs +138K est.
› Unemployment rate: 4.2%
› Wages: +0.2% MoM, +3.8% YoY
› Transportation jobs: ▲ +29K
Translation: Resilient jobs report just bought Powell more bench time.
➤ China sales slightly missed
➤ AI launch delayed
➤ Stock: ▼ 2.6% AH
Translation: Solid print, but not enough to shake off macro worries, China softness, and AI delays.
#AAPL #Earnings #Apple #iPhone #InvestorBuzz #TechStocks
➤ China sales slightly missed
➤ AI launch delayed
➤ Stock: ▼ 2.6% AH
Translation: Solid print, but not enough to shake off macro worries, China softness, and AI delays.
#AAPL #Earnings #Apple #iPhone #InvestorBuzz #TechStocks
› Initial claims: 241K — highest since Feb, way above estimates
› Continuing claims: 1.92M — most since Nov 2021
› NY school break played a role, but the trend’s not great
› Follows yesterday’s -0.3% GDP print
#JoblessClaims #GDP
› Initial claims: 241K — highest since Feb, way above estimates
› Continuing claims: 1.92M — most since Nov 2021
› NY school break played a role, but the trend’s not great
› Follows yesterday’s -0.3% GDP print
#JoblessClaims #GDP
› 2Y yield: ~3.75%
› Fed funds: 4.25%–4.5%
› Inversion alert: Short-term bonds are pricing in cuts.
Treasury Sec. Bessent says the market’s sending a message — and it’s not subtle.
Add tariff tension? The pressure on Powell is heating up.
#Powell #Rates #RecessionRisk
› 2Y yield: ~3.75%
› Fed funds: 4.25%–4.5%
› Inversion alert: Short-term bonds are pricing in cuts.
Treasury Sec. Bessent says the market’s sending a message — and it’s not subtle.
Add tariff tension? The pressure on Powell is heating up.
#Powell #Rates #RecessionRisk
MSFT popped +6% AH after crushing Q3 estimates across the board.
› EPS: $3.46 vs $3.21 est.
› Revenue: $70B vs $68.4B est.
› Cloud rev: $42.4B vs $42.2B est. (+20% YoY)
› Azure AI boost: +16pts growth — above est.
› Devices & OEM: +3% YoY despite tariff fog
MSFT popped +6% AH after crushing Q3 estimates across the board.
› EPS: $3.46 vs $3.21 est.
› Revenue: $70B vs $68.4B est.
› Cloud rev: $42.4B vs $42.2B est. (+20% YoY)
› Azure AI boost: +16pts growth — above est.
› Devices & OEM: +3% YoY despite tariff fog
› Q1 GDP: −0.3% — first contraction in 3 years
› Core PCE: +3.5% vs +3.2% est. — inflation heating up
› March core PCE cooled to +2.6% YoY — but tariffs just hit
› Fed stuck: cut to save growth, or hike to fight inflation?
#SNAP tanked −15% after skipping Q2 guidance — citing macro jitters and ad spending risk.
› Revenue: $1.36B (+14% YoY)
› Net loss: $140M (narrowed from $305M)
› DAUs: 460M vs 453M prior
› CFO flags tariff-driven ad slowdown as $800 de minimis rule ends
#SNAP tanked −15% after skipping Q2 guidance — citing macro jitters and ad spending risk.
› Revenue: $1.36B (+14% YoY)
› Net loss: $140M (narrowed from $305M)
› DAUs: 460M vs 453M prior
› CFO flags tariff-driven ad slowdown as $800 de minimis rule ends
We’re contracting before the tariffs even kick in.
#Tariffs #Inflation #recession
We’re contracting before the tariffs even kick in.
#Tariffs #Inflation #recession
› April: 86 vs 92.9 prior — worst since early pandemic
› Expectations Index sinks to 54.4 — recession signal
› Inflation expectations rise to 7%, highest since Nov 2022
› 32.1% of consumers expect fewer jobs — worst since April 2009
#ConsumerConfidence
› April: 86 vs 92.9 prior — worst since early pandemic
› Expectations Index sinks to 54.4 — recession signal
› Inflation expectations rise to 7%, highest since Nov 2022
› 32.1% of consumers expect fewer jobs — worst since April 2009
#ConsumerConfidence
› Layoffs follow sharp pullback in Amazon shipments & China e-commerce volumes
› Q1 EPS: $1.49 vs $1.38 est.
› Revenue: $21.5B vs $21.05B est.
› No 2025 guidance — too much macro fog
#UPS #Amazon #Tariffs #TradeWar
› Incoming shipments at the Port of LA are projected to drop 36% YoY mid-May.
› Economists say it's an early red flag for slower US-China trade and cooling US growth.
› Less goods = higher prices = less spending.
› Real GDP could stall or even turn negative by late 2025.
› Incoming shipments at the Port of LA are projected to drop 36% YoY mid-May.
› Economists say it's an early red flag for slower US-China trade and cooling US growth.
› Less goods = higher prices = less spending.
› Real GDP could stall or even turn negative by late 2025.
Below is the formula:
#tariffs #TrumpTariffs #Markets #liberationday2025
Below is the formula:
#tariffs #TrumpTariffs #Markets #liberationday2025
› $NKE down 11% today.
› Now off 30% in the last 6 months.
From swoosh to slump — rough stretch for the brand that used to outrun the market.
#Nike #NKE #Stocks #Earnings #RetailWatch #InvestorBuzz
› $NKE down 11% today.
› Now off 30% in the last 6 months.
From swoosh to slump — rough stretch for the brand that used to outrun the market.
#Nike #NKE #Stocks #Earnings #RetailWatch #InvestorBuzz