@hythloday1.bsky.social
Managing Editor & Football Film Reviewer of AddictedToQuack.com
Host of It Never Rains on this Podcast
Host of It Never Rains on this Podcast
UW has a strong home-road split in fundamental stats on offense, but practically identical stats on defense. Why?
Opponent effects. F+ rankings of home opponents skewed to strong off/weak def; road vice versa. The performance difference is real, but weaker than it appears ...
Opponent effects. F+ rankings of home opponents skewed to strong off/weak def; road vice versa. The performance difference is real, but weaker than it appears ...
November 23, 2025 at 8:53 PM
UW has a strong home-road split in fundamental stats on offense, but practically identical stats on defense. Why?
Opponent effects. F+ rankings of home opponents skewed to strong off/weak def; road vice versa. The performance difference is real, but weaker than it appears ...
Opponent effects. F+ rankings of home opponents skewed to strong off/weak def; road vice versa. The performance difference is real, but weaker than it appears ...
Charting Iowa's defense is like watching Drunken Master - clumsily invite the opponent into the redzone only to even more stupidly avoid points.
This is the 1st of 3 explosive passes effectively undefended in c-4, then USC doesn't even think to throw to Lemon on the walk-in.
This is the 1st of 3 explosive passes effectively undefended in c-4, then USC doesn't even think to throw to Lemon on the walk-in.
November 18, 2025 at 7:24 AM
Charting Iowa's defense is like watching Drunken Master - clumsily invite the opponent into the redzone only to even more stupidly avoid points.
This is the 1st of 3 explosive passes effectively undefended in c-4, then USC doesn't even think to throw to Lemon on the walk-in.
This is the 1st of 3 explosive passes effectively undefended in c-4, then USC doesn't even think to throw to Lemon on the walk-in.
Oregon's ability to grant an opposing QB perfect vision, razor-sharp instincts, and laser accuracy -- then go right back to being a pumpkin the next week -- is truly magical.
November 17, 2025 at 1:15 AM
Oregon's ability to grant an opposing QB perfect vision, razor-sharp instincts, and laser accuracy -- then go right back to being a pumpkin the next week -- is truly magical.
How four years of watching Oregon basketball up close ages a man
November 13, 2025 at 5:44 AM
How four years of watching Oregon basketball up close ages a man
Iowa's called passing plays by target, with QB scrambles/discards as a side-by-side category - comparing share vs effectiveness over baseline.
It's quite unique to see this graph look like an X, a team has to almost be trying to mismatch this perfectly:
It's quite unique to see this graph look like an X, a team has to almost be trying to mismatch this perfectly:
November 3, 2025 at 6:43 PM
Iowa's called passing plays by target, with QB scrambles/discards as a side-by-side category - comparing share vs effectiveness over baseline.
It's quite unique to see this graph look like an X, a team has to almost be trying to mismatch this perfectly:
It's quite unique to see this graph look like an X, a team has to almost be trying to mismatch this perfectly:
Mark Helfrich describes the coverage succinctly:
"Looking like 3-deep zone, and the backside corner passes it to air.
Air ... can't defend that."
"Looking like 3-deep zone, and the backside corner passes it to air.
Air ... can't defend that."
October 16, 2025 at 8:06 PM
Mark Helfrich describes the coverage succinctly:
"Looking like 3-deep zone, and the backside corner passes it to air.
Air ... can't defend that."
"Looking like 3-deep zone, and the backside corner passes it to air.
Air ... can't defend that."
The QB changing the play from a behind-the-line toss to the TE into a downfield throw to the WR makes it illegal, the delay has the run-blocking OL get over 3 yards downfield. Officials need to catch this, it materially affects the defense.
October 13, 2025 at 8:37 PM
The QB changing the play from a behind-the-line toss to the TE into a downfield throw to the WR makes it illegal, the delay has the run-blocking OL get over 3 yards downfield. Officials need to catch this, it materially affects the defense.
Interesting that Big Ten officials will allow a leg whip if it takes the form of a cool spinning hook kick from their taekwondo class
October 10, 2025 at 11:39 PM
Interesting that Big Ten officials will allow a leg whip if it takes the form of a cool spinning hook kick from their taekwondo class
Man I miss the Pac-12
October 8, 2025 at 4:11 AM
Man I miss the Pac-12
From ATQ's newest analyst: an interesting look at the depth and breadth of Oregon's weapons on critical downs, which is statistically demonstrated to lead the country.
www.addictedtoquack.com/football/536...
www.addictedtoquack.com/football/536...
October 6, 2025 at 10:50 PM
From ATQ's newest analyst: an interesting look at the depth and breadth of Oregon's weapons on critical downs, which is statistically demonstrated to lead the country.
www.addictedtoquack.com/football/536...
www.addictedtoquack.com/football/536...
Big Ten average roster talent, using the 24/7 composite prep/Juco ratings including transfers, 2023 through 2025:
August 26, 2025 at 4:04 PM
Big Ten average roster talent, using the 24/7 composite prep/Juco ratings including transfers, 2023 through 2025:
I'm told that Purdue fans only consume analysis in bar chart form so here's new Boilermakers head coach Barry Odom's roster talent transformation at his last job, UNLV - there he broke it into two stages, the big jump came in year 2, but at Purdue he's doing it in double-time.
August 11, 2025 at 11:25 PM
I'm told that Purdue fans only consume analysis in bar chart form so here's new Boilermakers head coach Barry Odom's roster talent transformation at his last job, UNLV - there he broke it into two stages, the big jump came in year 2, but at Purdue he's doing it in double-time.
2024 Washington rushing effectiveness in four quadrants, 50+ meaningful carries in each -
* opponent origin axis (Old Big Ten vs Pac-12/ACC/Other)
* QB axis (Rogers vs Williams, i.e. straight handoff vs read-option threat)
* opponent origin axis (Old Big Ten vs Pac-12/ACC/Other)
* QB axis (Rogers vs Williams, i.e. straight handoff vs read-option threat)
August 5, 2025 at 11:29 PM
2024 Washington rushing effectiveness in four quadrants, 50+ meaningful carries in each -
* opponent origin axis (Old Big Ten vs Pac-12/ACC/Other)
* QB axis (Rogers vs Williams, i.e. straight handoff vs read-option threat)
* opponent origin axis (Old Big Ten vs Pac-12/ACC/Other)
* QB axis (Rogers vs Williams, i.e. straight handoff vs read-option threat)
2024 Washington QB passing depth distribution comparison vs FBS averages, prior to garbage time:
August 5, 2025 at 6:38 PM
2024 Washington QB passing depth distribution comparison vs FBS averages, prior to garbage time:
1/4 USC's defensive performance in the Grinch era vs the first year under Lynn is fascinating to break out in the down & distance situational analysis.
Overall, the major progress is escaping the massive rush efficiency deficit - opponents winning 60% of 1st downs is lethal ...
Overall, the major progress is escaping the massive rush efficiency deficit - opponents winning 60% of 1st downs is lethal ...
July 9, 2025 at 7:27 PM
1/4 USC's defensive performance in the Grinch era vs the first year under Lynn is fascinating to break out in the down & distance situational analysis.
Overall, the major progress is escaping the massive rush efficiency deficit - opponents winning 60% of 1st downs is lethal ...
Overall, the major progress is escaping the massive rush efficiency deficit - opponents winning 60% of 1st downs is lethal ...
I sometimes think that Big Ten officials are secretly doomsday preppers and they've been readying us for the lawless wasteland they feel we may soon be wandering in
May 4, 2025 at 10:23 PM
I sometimes think that Big Ten officials are secretly doomsday preppers and they've been readying us for the lawless wasteland they feel we may soon be wandering in
It is a tribute to the resilience of the human spirit that Northwestern's defense returned to play the second half after this, as opposed to what I would have done which is go east to toil in a deep sunless cave for many years.
April 12, 2025 at 5:44 PM
It is a tribute to the resilience of the human spirit that Northwestern's defense returned to play the second half after this, as opposed to what I would have done which is go east to toil in a deep sunless cave for many years.
The more things change
March 4, 2025 at 1:25 AM
The more things change
I suspect @yogiroth.bsky.social has some thoughts on what good canceling a Spring game will do for a program.
February 25, 2025 at 4:33 PM
I suspect @yogiroth.bsky.social has some thoughts on what good canceling a Spring game will do for a program.
This is not quite how the play was drawn up, but Oregon transfer #70 LT Isaiah World gets an A for improvisation during Nevada's comeback win over Oregon State. From Addicted to Quack's upcoming film study series on each of the Ducks' 2025 transfers:
February 12, 2025 at 12:46 AM
This is not quite how the play was drawn up, but Oregon transfer #70 LT Isaiah World gets an A for improvisation during Nevada's comeback win over Oregon State. From Addicted to Quack's upcoming film study series on each of the Ducks' 2025 transfers:
My film study update on Ohio State will be published on Addicted to Quack Tuesday morning. Here's the previous article for the Week 7 game, and the metrics I track from charting for Ohio State's subsequent games: www.addictedtoquack.com/football/202...
December 29, 2024 at 9:34 PM
My film study update on Ohio State will be published on Addicted to Quack Tuesday morning. Here's the previous article for the Week 7 game, and the metrics I track from charting for Ohio State's subsequent games: www.addictedtoquack.com/football/202...
The Game really delivered with the most Big Ten-style blocking of the year:
December 26, 2024 at 2:47 AM
The Game really delivered with the most Big Ten-style blocking of the year:
What the "Ryan Day toughness / Chip Kelly stubbornness" narratives gloss over is just incredible: Ohio State has no blocking-based run game, they're only winning through occasional misdirection plays.
Here they go zero for eight on blocks in the redzone, and it's not an anomaly:
Here they go zero for eight on blocks in the redzone, and it's not an anomaly:
December 26, 2024 at 1:57 AM
What the "Ryan Day toughness / Chip Kelly stubbornness" narratives gloss over is just incredible: Ohio State has no blocking-based run game, they're only winning through occasional misdirection plays.
Here they go zero for eight on blocks in the redzone, and it's not an anomaly:
Here they go zero for eight on blocks in the redzone, and it's not an anomaly:
Ball don't lie
December 26, 2024 at 1:30 AM
Ball don't lie
A lot of Big Ten-style blocking on this play:
December 26, 2024 at 12:40 AM
A lot of Big Ten-style blocking on this play: