Hypermind.com
@hypermind-com.bsky.social
Operator of prediction markets and panels of elite forecasters since 2000 (previously NewsFutures / Lumenogic). Contributor to IARPA's Good Judgment and HFC research programs.
There's a lot of talk in France about the chances that Michel Barnier's government might fall before Christmas. The prediction market remains somewhat skeptical but the suspens is real: 60/40 is borderline coin-toss. It will be decided by the votes of the Socialist party in the National Assembly.
November 28, 2024 at 2:00 PM
There's a lot of talk in France about the chances that Michel Barnier's government might fall before Christmas. The prediction market remains somewhat skeptical but the suspens is real: 60/40 is borderline coin-toss. It will be decided by the votes of the Socialist party in the National Assembly.