Hunter Douglas
@hunterdouglas.bsky.social
PhD candidate studying climate change emergence. Ex Tonkin+Taylor, SUTD, MIT, Geosyntec, Duke. All views are just, like, my opinion, man.
Incredibly well done! Happy to have contributed a little
August 11, 2025 at 9:51 AM
Incredibly well done! Happy to have contributed a little
Having had a proper read of the paper, it’s good work and is just on the detectability of the warming signal (not the level of warming as I assumed). Choice of year for baseline tends to be either based on availability of observations or when emissions were low, and this prob wouldn’t affect either
June 17, 2025 at 3:47 AM
Having had a proper read of the paper, it’s good work and is just on the detectability of the warming signal (not the level of warming as I assumed). Choice of year for baseline tends to be either based on availability of observations or when emissions were low, and this prob wouldn’t affect either
Fair call, and I mostly agree. I guess I meant in the context of public-facing information, Paris targets, etc. I should probably read the paper fully before guessing what might change as a result.
June 17, 2025 at 3:23 AM
Fair call, and I mostly agree. I guess I meant in the context of public-facing information, Paris targets, etc. I should probably read the paper fully before guessing what might change as a result.
More of a personal opinion than a scientific one, but it seems unlikely to me because a) this is one study, regardless of how good it is, and b) suddenly saying that there’s more warming than we thought and that we need to adjust all our numbers might erode public trust.
June 16, 2025 at 9:34 PM
More of a personal opinion than a scientific one, but it seems unlikely to me because a) this is one study, regardless of how good it is, and b) suddenly saying that there’s more warming than we thought and that we need to adjust all our numbers might erode public trust.
Seconding The Years of Rice and Salt as an excellent alternate history read for this idea!
June 15, 2025 at 4:23 AM
Seconding The Years of Rice and Salt as an excellent alternate history read for this idea!
What a legend. O trilogy was my jam. I always thought Philip Pullman stole the idea of a society of talking polar bears from him.
June 15, 2025 at 1:34 AM
What a legend. O trilogy was my jam. I always thought Philip Pullman stole the idea of a society of talking polar bears from him.
Look up William Nordhaus
May 28, 2025 at 10:10 PM
Look up William Nordhaus
All those people won’t be exposed to extreme heat if they simply go inside. Problem solved.
May 28, 2025 at 10:08 PM
All those people won’t be exposed to extreme heat if they simply go inside. Problem solved.
Most AI marketing is vague promises to fix whatever people care about. If SNL taught me anything, it’s that Californians care a lot about traffic.
April 30, 2025 at 8:10 AM
Most AI marketing is vague promises to fix whatever people care about. If SNL taught me anything, it’s that Californians care a lot about traffic.
I brought my copy to the Christchurch show and got it signed by all the other Fish members and Josh Thomson. Guess that’s rarer, at least.
Loved the book, btw!
Loved the book, btw!
April 30, 2025 at 7:46 AM
I brought my copy to the Christchurch show and got it signed by all the other Fish members and Josh Thomson. Guess that’s rarer, at least.
Loved the book, btw!
Loved the book, btw!
Hey Andrew - fair call on the need to be careful with this. Totally agree the Earth as a whole won't be back in that PI range for several millennia. Keen to understand more where you're coming from on the rates/amount of warming as I'm doing some follow-up work atm. If you have time pls reach out!
April 5, 2025 at 4:22 AM
Hey Andrew - fair call on the need to be careful with this. Totally agree the Earth as a whole won't be back in that PI range for several millennia. Keen to understand more where you're coming from on the rates/amount of warming as I'm doing some follow-up work atm. If you have time pls reach out!
The implication is that overshooting a temperature target before returning to it won't necessarily result in the same climate as before, depending on where you live. 3/3
February 27, 2025 at 2:08 AM
The implication is that overshooting a temperature target before returning to it won't necessarily result in the same climate as before, depending on where you live. 3/3
We found that northern Eurasia does so in the most models (which we link to non-linear changes in the hydrological and carbon cycles) as well as a patch off the Antarctic coast (likely linked to meltwater). Parts of North America and East Asia aren't far behind. 2/3
February 27, 2025 at 2:08 AM
We found that northern Eurasia does so in the most models (which we link to non-linear changes in the hydrological and carbon cycles) as well as a patch off the Antarctic coast (likely linked to meltwater). Parts of North America and East Asia aren't far behind. 2/3
What if Wakefield Street had a ship parked in the middle of it?
January 13, 2025 at 6:52 AM
What if Wakefield Street had a ship parked in the middle of it?
Not yet. The target in the Paris Agreement is for long-term average temperatures, like 20-30 years. Of course we don’t know what the next 10 years will be like yet, so if it’s a centred rolling average then we have to estimate, and our best guess is that 2025 will be cooler (thanks to La Nina).
January 11, 2025 at 7:10 AM
Not yet. The target in the Paris Agreement is for long-term average temperatures, like 20-30 years. Of course we don’t know what the next 10 years will be like yet, so if it’s a centred rolling average then we have to estimate, and our best guess is that 2025 will be cooler (thanks to La Nina).
Plus it’s intended for long-term averages, not individual years. We’ve got like another decade of bad news coverage about crossing 1.5… for real this time. I really fear this will lower trust in climate science for much of the public
January 11, 2025 at 7:07 AM
Plus it’s intended for long-term averages, not individual years. We’ve got like another decade of bad news coverage about crossing 1.5… for real this time. I really fear this will lower trust in climate science for much of the public
I read this as Pepcorn, the snack invented by Brian David Gilbert. www.youtube.com/watch?v=3fG8...
PEPCORN: a cooking video
YouTube video by brian david gilbert
www.youtube.com
January 9, 2025 at 12:51 AM
I read this as Pepcorn, the snack invented by Brian David Gilbert. www.youtube.com/watch?v=3fG8...
My personal take is that the legalisation of gambling goes too far in the UK towards enabling harm by being too accessible and I prefer a more tightly regulated market. (I'm in New Zealand, where we've been more tightly regulated but are becoming slightly less so.)
January 1, 2025 at 9:21 PM
My personal take is that the legalisation of gambling goes too far in the UK towards enabling harm by being too accessible and I prefer a more tightly regulated market. (I'm in New Zealand, where we've been more tightly regulated but are becoming slightly less so.)
"should be... willing" is bold phrasing. I think there's an implied omission there about "and making public statements to that effect"
This more or less is already the case in the UK, just what you can actually bet on is at the discretion of the (licensed) bookie - they get to make the odds.
This more or less is already the case in the UK, just what you can actually bet on is at the discretion of the (licensed) bookie - they get to make the odds.
January 1, 2025 at 9:21 PM
"should be... willing" is bold phrasing. I think there's an implied omission there about "and making public statements to that effect"
This more or less is already the case in the UK, just what you can actually bet on is at the discretion of the (licensed) bookie - they get to make the odds.
This more or less is already the case in the UK, just what you can actually bet on is at the discretion of the (licensed) bookie - they get to make the odds.
That'd be an instant rejection in my books.
December 31, 2024 at 8:49 PM
That'd be an instant rejection in my books.
Rutherford himself famously thought the idea of making viable nuclear power reactors was "moonshine"
December 6, 2024 at 9:34 AM
Rutherford himself famously thought the idea of making viable nuclear power reactors was "moonshine"
Putting aside climate for a moment, I would back this policy being implemented here in New Zealand for the noise reduction alone!
December 6, 2024 at 8:38 AM
Putting aside climate for a moment, I would back this policy being implemented here in New Zealand for the noise reduction alone!
historians, indigenous culture experts, and so many more professionals besides just us physical scientists. That’s why today’s Marsden Fund announcement is so disappointing. To not see the value of the humanities in solving our biggest problems is wilful ignorance at best and malice at worst. 3/3
December 5, 2024 at 8:31 AM
historians, indigenous culture experts, and so many more professionals besides just us physical scientists. That’s why today’s Marsden Fund announcement is so disappointing. To not see the value of the humanities in solving our biggest problems is wilful ignorance at best and malice at worst. 3/3