Hayley Mariutto
@haymariutto.bsky.social
“There were no surprises,” and yet, “plans to run ads against Sen. Jon Ossoff in Georgia and Roy Cooper in North Carolina are still on.” 🤡 www.notus.org/2025-electio...
November 8, 2025 at 12:34 AM
“There were no surprises,” and yet, “plans to run ads against Sen. Jon Ossoff in Georgia and Roy Cooper in North Carolina are still on.” 🤡 www.notus.org/2025-electio...
True, but it's only an 80-20 issue in the imaginations of writers for The Atlantic. Voters tell a very different story!
November 5, 2025 at 4:55 PM
True, but it's only an 80-20 issue in the imaginations of writers for The Atlantic. Voters tell a very different story!
Victim: Society
November 1, 2025 at 3:36 PM
Victim: Society
what dressing up as a girl for halloween does to a mf
October 31, 2025 at 3:25 PM
what dressing up as a girl for halloween does to a mf
Stu, it’s 2:30 in the morning! Why on Earth are you watching baseball?
October 28, 2025 at 6:32 AM
Stu, it’s 2:30 in the morning! Why on Earth are you watching baseball?
Giving me Brooklyn BBQ vibes
October 22, 2025 at 1:35 PM
Giving me Brooklyn BBQ vibes
And that's before we even get to many other problems, including that when you take a 60,000 sample survey and isolate a few dozen people, the data becomes less reliable due to respondent error.
The poll sponsors call this out in their documentation and explicitly say not to do what Dr. Twenge did!
The poll sponsors call this out in their documentation and explicitly say not to do what Dr. Twenge did!
October 21, 2025 at 4:46 PM
And that's before we even get to many other problems, including that when you take a 60,000 sample survey and isolate a few dozen people, the data becomes less reliable due to respondent error.
The poll sponsors call this out in their documentation and explicitly say not to do what Dr. Twenge did!
The poll sponsors call this out in their documentation and explicitly say not to do what Dr. Twenge did!
So, I looked at the data myself. Her analysis relies on weighted subsamples of trans people in 2024 as small as n=17 (The then 18 year olds born in 2006).
Here's a screenshot showing the percent of each birth year identifying as trans in the 2024 wave of the survey, and sample size for each year.
Here's a screenshot showing the percent of each birth year identifying as trans in the 2024 wave of the survey, and sample size for each year.
October 21, 2025 at 4:46 PM
So, I looked at the data myself. Her analysis relies on weighted subsamples of trans people in 2024 as small as n=17 (The then 18 year olds born in 2006).
Here's a screenshot showing the percent of each birth year identifying as trans in the 2024 wave of the survey, and sample size for each year.
Here's a screenshot showing the percent of each birth year identifying as trans in the 2024 wave of the survey, and sample size for each year.
Last week, @erininthemorning.com did a fatal factcheck of a viral viz spread by Elon and pals alleging a steep drop in the number of trans young people. So now they're cosplaying as pollsters again with new data.
Too bad for them, I'm an actual, furloughed pollster with a lot of time on my hands.
Too bad for them, I'm an actual, furloughed pollster with a lot of time on my hands.
October 21, 2025 at 4:46 PM
Last week, @erininthemorning.com did a fatal factcheck of a viral viz spread by Elon and pals alleging a steep drop in the number of trans young people. So now they're cosplaying as pollsters again with new data.
Too bad for them, I'm an actual, furloughed pollster with a lot of time on my hands.
Too bad for them, I'm an actual, furloughed pollster with a lot of time on my hands.
Okay, this is just sad
October 15, 2025 at 6:40 PM
Okay, this is just sad
As a general rule I always assume the other side in a campaign is smart and they do what they do for a good strategic reason. But making the signature issue of your campaign something that only 4% of voters say is their top issue has to have limited returns.
October 4, 2025 at 3:15 PM
As a general rule I always assume the other side in a campaign is smart and they do what they do for a good strategic reason. But making the signature issue of your campaign something that only 4% of voters say is their top issue has to have limited returns.
As a 6’1” trans woman who had thinning hair and started transitioning at 33:
September 23, 2025 at 1:45 PM
As a 6’1” trans woman who had thinning hair and started transitioning at 33:
May this quote continue to live in infamy.
September 17, 2025 at 11:53 PM
May this quote continue to live in infamy.
The Daily Wire: Leftists need to turn down the temperature and treat their political opponents with respect, like Charlie Kirk did.
Also the Daily Wire:
Also the Daily Wire:
September 16, 2025 at 10:04 PM
The Daily Wire: Leftists need to turn down the temperature and treat their political opponents with respect, like Charlie Kirk did.
Also the Daily Wire:
Also the Daily Wire:
There is no other way to interpret this.
September 14, 2025 at 11:18 PM
There is no other way to interpret this.
You can transition in your 30s. It’s pretty awesome.
September 2, 2025 at 10:26 PM
You can transition in your 30s. It’s pretty awesome.
“When everyone has lounge access, no one does”
August 25, 2025 at 12:27 AM
“When everyone has lounge access, no one does”
Riley Gaines’ right-wing influencer career has reached the “hawking ivermectin online” stage of development.
August 17, 2025 at 2:25 PM
Riley Gaines’ right-wing influencer career has reached the “hawking ivermectin online” stage of development.