Hasim
banner
hasimtekines.bsky.social
Hasim
@hasimtekines.bsky.social
Political analyst @institude
Former Diplomat
MA @Leiden University
@koc Univeristy Law School
I think Turkey can contribute to European defense, but such a partnership will cost to Europe as well as to Turkey. The question is whether they are aware of what they are signing for.

My new article: www.institude.org/opinion/can-...
Can Europe Trust Turkey in Its Defense Plans?
When the idea of a European army resurfaces, Turkey often emerges as a potential partner. Its strategic location and military capabilities make it an attractive ally. Turkey’s democratic shortcomings ...
www.institude.org
March 13, 2025 at 7:12 PM
Finally out! My article, 'Populists and diplomats: Negotiated agency of the Turkish ministry of foreign affairs' is published at @Medit_Politics

I am so grateful to all who read, reviewed, and commented the manuscript patiently. Thank you!

www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Populists and diplomats: Negotiated agency of the Turkish ministry of foreign affairs
The two-decade-long Turkish experience shows that the populism-diplomacy relationship, contrary to the common wisdom, does not have to be hostile. The existing literature characterize often this re...
www.tandfonline.com
January 30, 2025 at 11:04 AM
I wrote The Poverty of Turkish Opposition and Its Obsession with Elections

The future of the opposition—and Turkey’s democracy—depends not on the ballot box, opinion polls, the economy, or natural disasters, but on their willingness to confront Erdoğan. www.institude.org/analysis/the...
The Poverty of Turkish Opposition and Its Obsession with Elections
Opposing authoritarian leaders is a formidable challenge, as they wield state resources to suppress dissent. Over two decades, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has methodically dismantled democratic institutions and consolidated authoritarian power. His power is unrivaled, yet not unchallenged.
www.institude.org
January 29, 2025 at 3:02 PM
Reposted by Hasim
Turkish chargé d'affaires to Damascus:

'We will have a relationship with Syria similar to that of the Ottoman period' t24.com.tr/haber/buyuke...
Büyükelçi Geçici Maslahatgüzarı Burhan Köroğlu açıkladı: Erdoğan Şam’a gidecek mi?
Büyükelçi Geçici Maslahatgüzarı Burhan Köroğlu açıkladı: Erdoğan Şam’a gidecek mi?
t24.com.tr
December 22, 2024 at 11:35 AM
Reposted by Hasim
I wrote the changing geopolitical dynamics between Turkey and Israel

So far, the conflict between Ankara and Tel Aviv was ideological while the geopolitics was pulling both countries to a silent harmony against the 'resistance axis', but now it changes. www.institude.org/opinion/shif...
Shifting Geopolitics of Turkey-Israel Relations After Assad
The fall of the Assad regime marks a critical juncture in regional geopolitics, fundamentally altering the dynamics between Turkey and Israel. Historically, their relationship has oscillated between p...
www.institude.org
December 20, 2024 at 1:50 PM
Turkish chargé d'affaires to Damascus:

'We will have a relationship with Syria similar to that of the Ottoman period' t24.com.tr/haber/buyuke...
Büyükelçi Geçici Maslahatgüzarı Burhan Köroğlu açıkladı: Erdoğan Şam’a gidecek mi?
Büyükelçi Geçici Maslahatgüzarı Burhan Köroğlu açıkladı: Erdoğan Şam’a gidecek mi?
t24.com.tr
December 22, 2024 at 11:35 AM
I wrote the changing geopolitical dynamics between Turkey and Israel

So far, the conflict between Ankara and Tel Aviv was ideological while the geopolitics was pulling both countries to a silent harmony against the 'resistance axis', but now it changes. www.institude.org/opinion/shif...
Shifting Geopolitics of Turkey-Israel Relations After Assad
The fall of the Assad regime marks a critical juncture in regional geopolitics, fundamentally altering the dynamics between Turkey and Israel. Historically, their relationship has oscillated between p...
www.institude.org
December 20, 2024 at 1:50 PM
Reposted by Hasim
1️⃣ Türkiye-Katar ekseni.
2️⃣ Mısır, Suudi Arabistan, Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri ve Bahreyn ekseni.
3️⃣ ABD-İsrail ekseni.
4️⃣ Şimdilik denklemin dışında kalmış gibi görünen Rusya ve İran.

Birinci Dünya Savaşı öncesinde kurulan Sykes-Picot düzeni ciddi şekilde revize ediliyor.
Suriye'den sonra Orta Doğu'da yeni jeopolitik denklem nasıl olacak? Bölgedeki Arap ülkeleri Türkiye'nin Suriye'deki 'zaferinden' tedirgin! Türkiye-İsrail ilişkileri daha radikal bir dönüşümün eşiğinde! 2 ülke arasındaki ideolojik gerilim artık jeopolitik bir çatışmaya dönüşüyor
youtu.be/OVav1p7Ryzw
Suriye'den Sonra Yeni Orta Doğu Jeopolitiği Nasıl Olacak?
YouTube video by instituDE
youtu.be
December 18, 2024 at 8:06 PM
Trump'ın açıklamalarından benim anladıklarım şunlar:

Birincisi genel olarak suriyeye dair çok bir ilgisi planı politikası yok.

İkincisi, Suriyedeki en önemli meselesi oradaki amerikan askerleri. Konuşmasından Trumpın hala askerleri çekme taraftarı olduğunu, +
December 16, 2024 at 11:02 PM
Reposted by Hasim
Turkish foreign policy is at its peak this month:

-Assad's gone and Turkey-backed groups are politically strong,

-Blinken, who previously ignored Turkey at the Israel-Gaza war, is now in Ankara to discuss Syria,

-Ethiopia and Somalia have reached a landmark agreement through Turkish mediation.
December 12, 2024 at 7:27 PM
Reposted by Hasim
This remains a super prescient book on AKP-led Turkey’s continued efforts to position itself as mediator. Despite lots of failures (Iran, Syria, Palestine), Erdoğan continues, pushing Turkey’s geopolitics and multifaceted identity.

Why? Because a mediator role means you get to leverage both sides.
In this book, we explored the successes and shortcomings of Turkey's mediation efforts across various regions. While mediation was once a promising field for Ankara, the government failed to maintain it over time.
scholar.google.com/citations?vi...
‪Turkey as a Mediator: Stories of Success and Failure‬
‪N Beriker, A Das, S Gumuscu, AS Kadayifci-Orellana, H Kok, I Oner, DJD Sandole, AWS John, 2016‬ - ‪Cited by 19‬
scholar.google.com
December 12, 2024 at 3:34 AM
Reposted by Hasim
Turkey’s intelligence chief, İbrahim Kalın, visited the Umayyad Mosque to pray. This symbolically means a lot for the AKP to show their "diplomatic victory" in Syria.

While challenges remain in Syria, it will be used a lot by Erdoğan to divert attention from the country’s economic problems.
December 12, 2024 at 3:09 PM
Let's set the record straight: Turkey may have outlasted Assad and positioned itself on the winning side for now, but this war was neither heroic nor a stroke of genius. It has devastated millions of lives, torn apart families, and inflicted unimaginable suffering.
December 7, 2024 at 6:06 PM
Reposted by Hasim
Erdoğan yine sağa sinyal verip sola döndü.

Suriye'de ABD'nin desteklediği YPG'ye karşı askerî harekattan bahsederken birdenbire Türkiye kontrolündeki güçler Rusya ve İran'ın desteklediği Esad'a karşı saldırıya geçti.

Bunu nasıl anlamak gerekir?

www.youtube.com/live/aDGNqwE...
YouTube
Share your videos with friends, family, and the world
www.youtube.com
November 30, 2024 at 11:05 AM
A new Islamist opposition against Erdogan is loading. Islamists is just a part of his power coalition but it is the core group. They would be the last ones to leave Erdogan. Yet, oil trade with Israel is a dealbreaker www.tr724.com/erdogana-isr...
Erdoğan'a İsrail protestosu: "Azerbaycan petrolü neden İsrail'e gidiyor?" - Tr724
AKP’li Cumhurbaşkanı Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, İstanbul Kongre Merkezi’nde düzenlenen TRT World Forum’da konuştu. Gündemdeki konuları değerlendiren Erdoğan, konuşmasında, İsrail ve Filistin konusuna da ye...
www.tr724.com
November 29, 2024 at 5:46 PM
Reposted by Hasim
1/ 📢 Introducing a new Special Issue in the Journal of Arabian Studies: "Reorienting the Gulf" 🌍. "What shapes Gulf studies? Edited by myself, @charlottelysa.bsky.social
and Fatema Hubail tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Introduction: Reorienting the Gulf
What constitutes the “Gulf” has been a subject of scholarly interest and critical disagreement. What shapes studies about and within the Gulf? Knowledge production concerning the Gulf has long endu...
tandfonline.com
November 29, 2024 at 7:59 AM
Biden era was not that bad for the Turkish-American relations.

My new analysis: www.institude.org/opinion/turk...
Turkish-American Relations in the Biden Era: A Pragmatic Stability
The Biden administration marked in a period of relative stability for Turkish-American relations, despite limited personal engagement between President Biden and Turkish President Erdoğan. While the a...
www.institude.org
November 28, 2024 at 12:07 PM
Reposted by Hasim
Lübnan’da sağlanan ateşkes İsrail’e ne kazandıracak?

youtu.be/vNa6qUdFMNA?...
Lübnan’da Ateşkes: Barış mı, Yeni Bir Savaş mı?
YouTube video by instituDE
youtu.be
November 27, 2024 at 9:56 PM
Sine i millete dönüyorum :)
November 27, 2024 at 5:22 PM
Reposted by Hasim
Türkiye aynı zamanda Rusya’nın hava saldırısıyla 36 askerini şehit ettiği tek NATO ülkesi…

O yetmezmiş gibi, 36 askerimiz şehit edildikten sadece on gün sonra Erdoğan Moskova’ya gitti

+++
November 25, 2024 at 7:56 AM
Reposted by Hasim
Putin Ukrayna'da orta menzilli balistik füze kullanmadan önce ABD'ye haber vermiş.

Bunu niye yapmış? Çünkü Batı'nın nükleer silah kullandığını zannedip hemen karşılık vermesi gibi vahim bir yanlış anlamayı önlemek istemiş. +++
November 23, 2024 at 1:33 PM
Reposted by Hasim
Despite the #Trump administration's cabinet being seen as unfriendly toward Turkey, #Erdogan still remains optimistic about Trump and his policies. He expects Trump to prioritize ending ongoing wars and refrains from dwelling on the individuals in the cabinet.
www.iletisim.gov.tr/turkce/haber...
Cumhurbaşkanı Erdoğan, Brezilya dönüşü uçakta gazetecilerin sorularını yanıtladı
Türkiye Cumhuriyeti Cumhurbaşkanlığı İletişim Başkanlığı Resmî Sitesi
www.iletisim.gov.tr
November 20, 2024 at 5:32 PM
Erdogan sees Ukraine as a potential area of coop with Trump. He wants to show Trump how useful Turkey can be in ending war. The question is whether Trump needs Turkey? Maybe for some logistical matters... www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
Zelenskiy Pressured to Find Ways to Negotiate With Putin
After almost 1,000 days resisting the Russian invasion, Ukraine’s allies are pushing Volodymyr Zelenskiy to consider new ways to lure Vladimir Putin to the negotiating table as they seek an end to the...
www.bloomberg.com
November 19, 2024 at 12:07 PM