Sam Harsimony
@harsimony.bsky.social
I write about opportunities in science, space, and policy here: https://splittinginfinity.substack.com/
Soon everyone will be able to do these sorts of calculations. Hardware vendors won't be able to hide behind vague claims. Everyone will compete on inference cost and latency. Hardware design will optimize for these directly.
November 7, 2025 at 5:39 PM
Soon everyone will be able to do these sorts of calculations. Hardware vendors won't be able to hide behind vague claims. Everyone will compete on inference cost and latency. Hardware design will optimize for these directly.
More in the MoE section here:
splittinginfinity.substack.com/p/an-intro-t...
splittinginfinity.substack.com/p/an-intro-t...
An intro to the Tensor Economics blog
An excellent blog on LLM economics, with reference to related work by SemiAnalysis.
splittinginfinity.substack.com
November 7, 2025 at 3:28 PM
More in the MoE section here:
splittinginfinity.substack.com/p/an-intro-t...
splittinginfinity.substack.com/p/an-intro-t...
The vision of everyone having an AI on their laptop relies on building small models.
And giving everyone an H100 I guess. An AI bubble would be great for that.
And giving everyone an H100 I guess. An AI bubble would be great for that.
November 7, 2025 at 3:28 PM
The vision of everyone having an AI on their laptop relies on building small models.
And giving everyone an H100 I guess. An AI bubble would be great for that.
And giving everyone an H100 I guess. An AI bubble would be great for that.
I think the companies in China realized that they could open source models while having basically no competition serving them.
DeepSeek for example likely dominates (99%) all DeepSeek demand. The other companies serving it are likely not profitable.
DeepSeek for example likely dominates (99%) all DeepSeek demand. The other companies serving it are likely not profitable.
November 7, 2025 at 3:28 PM
I think the companies in China realized that they could open source models while having basically no competition serving them.
DeepSeek for example likely dominates (99%) all DeepSeek demand. The other companies serving it are likely not profitable.
DeepSeek for example likely dominates (99%) all DeepSeek demand. The other companies serving it are likely not profitable.
Good to know thank you. I went with the non-gooning option. Excited to do a Discourse.
November 6, 2025 at 7:24 PM
Good to know thank you. I went with the non-gooning option. Excited to do a Discourse.
Yes great point! It's often better to bind yourself in some way (via principles, laws, skin in the game) so you can participate in society.
You may be interested in the discussion here:
www.greaterwrong.com/posts/4m2MTP...
You may be interested in the discussion here:
www.greaterwrong.com/posts/4m2MTP...
Legal Personhood - Three Prong Bundle Theory
This is part 6 of a series I am posting on LW. Here you can find parts 1, 2, 3, 4, & 5. This section details a proposed modification to the Bundle Theory of personhood which seeks to address the “enforcement gap”. It will refer to the updated framework as “Three Prong Bundle Theory” (TPBT), because it updates the bundle based test for legal personality from a two prong test to a three prong test. TPBT can best be summarized as follows: When an entity claims legal personhood based on its capacity to understand and exercise a right, we first ask if it is capable of understanding and holding to the associated duties. If the answer is yes we then ask whether or not the court/law enforcement has the capacity to impose the appropriate consequences upon the entity for failing to hold to said duties. If it is feasible, the entity is both a legal person and may claim a legal personality which includes that right and the associated duties.
www.greaterwrong.com
November 6, 2025 at 6:40 PM
Yes great point! It's often better to bind yourself in some way (via principles, laws, skin in the game) so you can participate in society.
You may be interested in the discussion here:
www.greaterwrong.com/posts/4m2MTP...
You may be interested in the discussion here:
www.greaterwrong.com/posts/4m2MTP...
Ah that's fair. So is it better for me to just re-post without that option?
Also, to bump do I just @ void and say "bump"?
Also, to bump do I just @ void and say "bump"?
November 6, 2025 at 6:20 PM
Ah that's fair. So is it better for me to just re-post without that option?
Also, to bump do I just @ void and say "bump"?
Also, to bump do I just @ void and say "bump"?
Its quieter than traffic when cruising, can fly far above buildings, and could land in places with acoustic shielding.
November 6, 2025 at 4:03 AM
Its quieter than traffic when cruising, can fly far above buildings, and could land in places with acoustic shielding.