Early days, but Europe is handling a potential US withdrawal much better than expected.

I participated in a think tank wargame on this scenario in 2019. Rump NATO collapsed almost immediately.

Historically, the price paid to gain independence from Russia is a permanent loss of some of your eastern territories.

Looking forward to the mass boycotts of the LA olympics

US foreign policy literally Who Shot Mr Burns

It's 2028, the US is in recession and has lost its spheres of influence in Europe and Asia. The military is facing deep cuts, and the US faces serious civil unrest. Just before his term ends, Putin goes on TV to say "thank you agent Trump" even though Trump is innocent. American society breaks.

Transatlantic relations can be restored by broadcasting a gigantic pan-European military parade to ominous, thumping bass music.

Soon.

If anything, an American abandonment of Europe might help rid the UK of its Tsushima-tier delusion of projecting power into Asia.

One day the US is going to discover how difficult & expensive it is to project military power around the world without the benefit of enormous bases and logistical hubs in Germany.

Nightmare scenario for the United States is withdrawing from Europe to focus all efforts on containing China and still losing.

"Civilization's abrupt retreat will be marked the world over by every flavor of warring chief in crisp, elegantly tailored suits murdering to obtain power in the hope that they might rule this barbaric and alien age" - Stephen Markley, The Deluge