Guy Abel
guyabel.bsky.social
Guy Abel
@guyabel.bsky.social
Professor at HKU. Statistical demographer working on estimating #migration and demographic forecasting, mainly using #rstats.
Thank you, Philippe. Much appreciated.
May 6, 2025 at 3:05 AM
Work led by Guanghua Chi, with Eugenia Giraudy, Mike Bailey (Meta) and @drew-johnston.bsky.social
May 2, 2025 at 2:29 PM
The @nytopinion.nytimes.com provides some amazing #dataviz of the estimates (behind their paywall): www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
May 2, 2025 at 2:19 PM
We estimate a 64% decrease in migration during the #COVID19 pandemic, followed by a rebound in 2022 to a rate 24% higher than pre-pandemic levels.

#poptwitter @iiasa.ac.at
May 2, 2025 at 2:19 PM
We estimated 39.1 million international migrants in 2022, representing 0.63% of the population in the sampled countries.

Our figures correlated strongly with migration data from official statistics.

The estimates are #OpenAccess on HDX: data.humdata.org/dataset/inte...
May 2, 2025 at 2:19 PM
Free link to the article: nyti.ms/4lEMIXS
Free link the the data explorer: nyti.ms/3Gd9Uw9

Neither require NYT subscription
Opinion | To Understand Global Migration, You Have to See It First (Gift Article)
These estimates, drawn from the location data of three billion Facebook users, provide a view of human migration in extraordinary detail.
nyti.ms
April 17, 2025 at 1:09 PM
Full #OpenAccess to the estimates will come soon, when the journal paper based on the work is published.
April 17, 2025 at 11:20 AM
An arxiv paper on our method, led by Meta Data for Good researchers, is out now: arxiv.org/abs/2504.11691
Measuring Global Migration Flows using Online Data
Existing estimates of human migration are limited in their scope, reliability, and timeliness, prompting the United Nations and the Global Compact on Migration to call for improved data collection. Us...
arxiv.org
April 17, 2025 at 11:20 AM