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European Security & NATO Policy | Geopolitics from Germany & CEE
Pinned
The 2025 Peace Report calls for European military self-reliance.

Großwald translates that premise into a 36-month roadmap—linking missile defense, strike integration, cyber coordination, and procurement reform to fieldable capability by 2027.

Read the full brief: www.grosswald.org/friedensguta...
From Zeitenwende to Capability: Turning the 2025 Peace Report into a European Defense Execution Plan
Großwald translates the Friedensgutachten 2025 into a 36-month roadmap for missile defense, strike doctrine, cyber deterrence, and industrial integration.
www.grosswald.org
Poland’s Homeland Defence Act has shifted from policy to posture.
Abrams, F-35s, Apaches, and the East Shield border system are now operational — consolidating Warsaw as NATO’s eastern anchor.

Full analysis: www.grosswald.org/polands-home...
Poland’s Homeland Defence Act 2025: NATO’s Eastern Anchor Becomes Operational
Poland’s Homeland Defence Act 2025 marks a shift from blueprint to reality. With Abrams, F-35s, East Shield, and U.S. FMF loans, Warsaw has become NATO’s eastern anchor.
www.grosswald.org
September 24, 2025 at 12:29 PM
Poland’s Homeland Defence Act has shifted from policy to posture.
Abrams, F-35s, Apaches, and the East Shield border system are now operational — consolidating Warsaw as NATO’s eastern anchor.

Full analysis: www.grosswald.org/polands-home...
Poland’s Homeland Defence Act 2025: NATO’s Eastern Anchor Becomes Operational
Poland’s Homeland Defence Act 2025 marks a shift from blueprint to reality. With Abrams, F-35s, East Shield, and U.S. FMF loans, Warsaw has become NATO’s eastern anchor.
www.grosswald.org
September 24, 2025 at 12:29 PM
Europe is restructuring NATO from within. EU defense efforts prioritize autonomy: EDIP, ESSI, PESCO mirror NATO but serve EU control. Strategic sovereignty is becoming operational reality.

Will Europe Hijack NATO's Architecture to Build Its Own Strategic Pillar?
www.grosswald.org/europe-hijac...
Will Europe Hijack NATO's Architecture to Build Its Own Strategic Pillar?
As U.S.-EU defense priorities diverge, Europe is reshaping NATO from within—building sovereign capabilities, subsidizing domestic defense industries, and preparing for autonomy inside or beyond the al...
www.grosswald.org
June 22, 2025 at 5:30 PM
Denmark bypasses NATO procurement orthodoxy. €1B for NASAMS, IRIS-T SLM, MICA VL—simultaneously. 3 Air Defense systems, 3 vendors, full coverage. 24-month delivery. Redundancy over optimization. Capability over process. Model for Baltic defense. #IAMD

Full brief: www.grosswald.org/denmark-tri-...
Denmark Breaks the Mold: €1B Tri-System Air Defense Moves NATO Procurement Logic & Hedges NATO Gap
Fast-tracked acquisition of NASAMS, IRIS-T SLM, and MICA VL compresses 60-month cycles into 24, signaling a wider shift in doctrine toward operational delivery over procedural orthodoxy.
www.grosswald.org
June 10, 2025 at 8:19 PM
The 2025 Peace Report calls for European military self-reliance.

Großwald translates that premise into a 36-month roadmap—linking missile defense, strike integration, cyber coordination, and procurement reform to fieldable capability by 2027.

Read the full brief: www.grosswald.org/friedensguta...
From Zeitenwende to Capability: Turning the 2025 Peace Report into a European Defense Execution Plan
Großwald translates the Friedensgutachten 2025 into a 36-month roadmap for missile defense, strike doctrine, cyber deterrence, and industrial integration.
www.grosswald.org
June 4, 2025 at 6:56 PM
The deep rear is dead. Long live the deep rear.

Everyone’s seen what Ukraine hit:
117 drones disabled or destroyed a third of Russia’s strategic bomber fleet—without crossing the border.

But the real story is what broke:
strike doctrine.

www.grosswald.org/pavutyna-ukr...
The Deep Rear Is Dead – Long Live the Deep Rear
Proximity Doctrine & Ukraine’s AI-Guided FPV Swarms Against Russia’s Bomber Fleet — Operatsija “Pavutyna” (Spider’s Web)
www.grosswald.org
June 2, 2025 at 6:51 PM
Russian Strike Kills 3 at German-Run HHLA Terminal in Odessa. First fatal hit on foreign logistics site.

www.grosswald.org/russian-stri...

Signal: Hybrid targeting may now include EU-linked infrastructure.
→ 4th axis: econ. presence = soft target
→ Berlin urged to define liability & protection.
Russian Strike on Odessa Kills Three Staff of German Logistics Firm HHLA
Three HHLA staff killed in first fatal strike involving German-operated commercial facility in Ukraine; incident highlights risks to EU-linked logistics amid intensifying hybrid threat landscape
www.grosswald.org
May 31, 2025 at 4:34 PM
📍 Why Taurus May Matter More Than Storm Shadow—But Still Isn’t a Game Changer

Germany’s KEPD 350 Taurus offers Ukraine deeper strike range and more penetrative payload than Storm Shadow—but its operational impact may be overstated.
May 27, 2025 at 5:02 PM
Germany’s resilience re: China is eroding across two axes: material dependency (rare earth) and cognitive atrophy (China expertise). Without immediate, large-scale engagement, DE/EU may find themselves structurally sidelined in favor of US supply chains.
Our brief: www.grosswald.org/rare-earth-d...
Rare Earth Dependency and Cognitive Erosion: Germany’s Dual-Axis Vulnerability to China
Germany faces a Dual-Axis Vulnerability—its resilience depends on securing critical materials and rebuilding China-focused analytical capacity.
www.grosswald.org
April 26, 2025 at 6:02 PM
Großwald Curated | Weekly No.16: Taurus, Drones & Europe’s Quiet Rearmament

📘 Full brief → [ www.grosswald.org/grosswald-cu... ]

Taurus debate escalates | Stark OWE-V Drones fast-tracked | Arrow 3 approved | Bundeswehr back in joint ops | Baltic threats | Arctic buildup | U.S.–EU strain
Großwald Curated | Weekly No.16: Taurus, Drones & Europe’s Quiet Rearmament
April 13–20, 2025 | NATO & European Defense, Tech, and Policy – Europe’s Weekly Briefing. Curated for Policy, Intelligence, and Defense Communities in NATO and the EU.
www.grosswald.org
April 21, 2025 at 2:17 PM
Are German weapons failing in Ukraine—or are these simply limits of advanced systems under real wartime pressure? A Bundeswehr report points to issues w/ the Panzerhaubitze 2000 and Leopard tanks, but both Berlin and Kyiv frame it as 'part of adapting to complex frontline conditions'.
April 17, 2025 at 9:49 AM
🇩🇪🇦🇲 Steinmeier’s visit to Yerevan backs Armenia’s EU path — reforms, peace w/ Azerbaijan, etc.
But it’s also Germany edging deeper into the Caucasus. Part of Zeitenwende — but no security guarantees. Nagorno-Karabakh is where EU soft power runs into hard limits.
www.grosswald.org/germanys-sou...
Germany’s South Caucasus Engagement: EU Support for Armenia in the Shadow of Nagorno-Karabakh
Berlin reaffirms backing for Armenia’s EU ambitions during Steinmeier’s Yerevan visit, while urging reforms and a durable peace with Azerbaijan—amid uncertainty over post-conflict settlement in the So...
www.grosswald.org
April 1, 2025 at 4:02 PM
🇩🇪 Musk, AfD, and the German Press: When Free Speech Becomes Selective 🗳️

German leaders condemn Elon Musk’s ties to the AfD, while the press frames his involvement as a threat to democracy. Is free speech being applied selectively when controversial views emerge?
Musk, AfD, and the German Press: When Free Speech Becomes Selective
German leaders claim to defend free speech but condemn Musk’s AfD ties, silencing dissent while claiming to protect democracy. The principle of open debate seems to vanish if it benefits ideas that th...
www.grosswald.org
January 5, 2025 at 3:22 PM
🇩🇪 The End of Post-Merkel Illusions: Trump’s Second Term, Germany, and Changing Defense Priorities 🇺🇸

Ken Weinstein, advisor to President-elect Trump, signals a major shift in U.S.-Germany relations: pressure for German defense spending, NATO commitments, and a tougher U.S. stance on China/Ukraine.
The End of Post-Merkel Illusions: Trump’s Second Term, Germany, and Changing Defense Priorities
Foreign policy advisor to the incoming U.S. President Donald Trump, Ken Weinstein, stressed that Trump expected Germany to take more responsibility for its own defense, signaling reduced U.S. security...
www.grosswald.org
January 5, 2025 at 2:52 PM
Following suspected sabotage of the Estlink-2 cables connecting Estonia & Finland, NATO ramps up naval defense with Standing NATO Maritime Group 1 (SNMG1).

🔹 Increased naval patrols
🔹 Protecting critical undersea infrastructure
🔹 Advanced tech & multinational exercises

#NATO #SNMG1 #BalticSea
NATO SNMG1: Ramped Up Baltic Sea Defense After Sabotage of Estlink-2 Undersea Cables
NATO Ramps Up Baltic Sea Defense After Suspected Sabotage of Undersea Cables In response to escalating threats in the Baltic Sea, NATO is intensifying its military presence following a suspected sabo...
www.grosswald.org
January 2, 2025 at 1:14 PM
#Lithuania signed a €950M deal for 44 Leopard #2A8 tanks from #KNDS - equipped with TROPHY APS.
+ 4,800 #German troops / 200 civilian staff will be stationed near Ridninkai, close to #Belarus.
+ DE contingent deployed w/ #NATO multinational battlegroup in LT likely integrating into a new brigade.
December 30, 2024 at 10:53 PM
Ukraine’s missile strikes have damaged Russian logistics and infrastructure but are limited by a shrinking supply of ATACMS and Storm Shadow missiles. Changing global sentiment and harsher Russian responses make it harder for Ukraine to continue their use.

More: www.grosswald.org/ukraines-ata...
Ukraine’s ATACMS and Storm Shadow Missiles: Shrinking Stockpiles
Ukraine’s missile strikes have damaged Russian logistics and infrastructure but are limited by a shrinking supply of ATACMS and Storm Shadow missiles. Changing global politics and stronger Russian res...
www.grosswald.org
December 29, 2024 at 11:13 PM
The German Bundeswehr has initiated the second overhaul of the 20-year-old TAURUS KEPD 350 stand-off missile—funded via special budgets for long-term operational readiness beyond 2028—while political debate intensifies over its potential deployment for Ukraine.

www.grosswald.org/modernizatio...
Modernization of the TAURUS KEPD 350: Top 5 Key Insights
The German Bundeswehr has initiated the second overhaul of the 20-year-old TAURUS KEPD 350 stand-off missile—funded via special budgets for long-term operational readiness beyond 2028—while political ...
www.grosswald.org
December 28, 2024 at 1:41 PM
The Northrop Grumman MQ-4C Triton is an advanced unmanned aircraft (UAS) for MAP, SIGINT, and SAR. After U.S. Navy and RAAF development and Artic-Circle tests, Australia now deploys it in the Indo-Pacific.

Read the story here: www.grosswald.org/high-altitud...
High-Altitude Maritime Surveillance: The MQ-4C Triton in the Indo-Pacific
The Northrop Grumman MQ-4C Triton is an advanced unmanned aircraft (UAS) for MAP, SIGINT, and SAR. After U.S. Navy and RAAF development and Artic-Circle tests, Australia now deploys it in the Indo-Pac...
www.grosswald.org
December 27, 2024 at 1:23 PM
🌍 Sweden’s Defense Overhaul: A Model for European Security 🇸🇪
Sweden’s modernized military and Total Defense model are strengthening Baltic security.
From Gotland’s strategic upgrades to NATO integration, Sweden sets a new standard for resilience.

🔗 Read more: www.grosswald.org/swedens-balt...
Sweden’s Baltic Defense Strategy: NATO, Military Modernization, and Gotland
Sweden has rapidly modernized its military and embraced NATO integration, positioning itself as a key player in Baltic defense. Strategic investments in Gotland, advanced weapon systems, and a unique ...
www.grosswald.org
December 26, 2024 at 3:14 PM
Poland's Homeland Defence Act modernizes NATO's eastern flank with a €20bn investment in ground forces, air defense, and technology - a comprehensive military modernization for enhanced NATO interoperability, domestic defense, and Central Eastern Europe's strategic security role.
December 25, 2024 at 4:22 PM
Rheinmetall / Anduril signed MoU for new counter-drone partnership; combines traditional air defense with cutting-edge AI, integrating Skymaster C2 and Lattice AI for ms response times against multiple simultaneous UAV threats.
December 1, 2024 at 2:11 PM
The Test and Trial Group TTVG A400M of the German Air Force Lufttransportgeschwader 62 has achieved a significant milestone in air transport capabilities with the successful testing of combined personnel and cargo airdrop operations using the Airbus A400M Atlas tactical airlifter.
December 1, 2024 at 12:58 AM
Crisis in Georgia: Tbilisi's streets are erupting as mass protests challenge the government's decision to freeze EU accession talks until 2028.

🔗 Read the full story: www.grosswald.org/georgia-mass...

🗣️ Is this the beginning of a new pro-European movement in Georgia?
Georgia: Mass Protests Over EU Integration Spark Tbilisi’s Worst Political Crisis Since 2003 Rose Revolution
The streets of Tbilisi have become the epicenter of Georgia's most significant political crisis since the 2003 Rose Revolution, as thousands of protesters clash with riot police over the government's ...
www.grosswald.org
November 30, 2024 at 10:31 PM