Greg Breon
@gregbreon.bsky.social
Rtd CFA #10025, dual major in Finance & ComSci, prev Merrill&DeanWitter.
HANNIBAL - “WE WILL EITHER FIND A WAY, OR MAKE ONE!”
HANNIBAL - “WE WILL EITHER FIND A WAY, OR MAKE ONE!”
HERE’S WHERE WE ARE…
…ON THE CURRENT DEFICIT ! !
…ON THE CURRENT DEFICIT ! !
January 7, 2025 at 3:33 PM
HERE’S WHERE WE ARE…
…ON THE CURRENT DEFICIT ! !
…ON THE CURRENT DEFICIT ! !
MORE OF THE SAME…
ANOTHER HISTORIC WARNING…
Remains long this market, not making a prediction BUT WARY!!!
ANOTHER HISTORIC WARNING…
Remains long this market, not making a prediction BUT WARY!!!
January 4, 2025 at 6:21 PM
MORE OF THE SAME…
ANOTHER HISTORIC WARNING…
Remains long this market, not making a prediction BUT WARY!!!
ANOTHER HISTORIC WARNING…
Remains long this market, not making a prediction BUT WARY!!!
BOB FERRELL’s TEN RULES for Technical Analysis
PLEASE KEEP THESE ON MIND…
…and HUMAN NATURE REMAINS THE SAME DESPITE ALL THE NEW STUFF!!!
PLEASE KEEP THESE ON MIND…
…and HUMAN NATURE REMAINS THE SAME DESPITE ALL THE NEW STUFF!!!
January 3, 2025 at 8:04 PM
BOB FERRELL’s TEN RULES for Technical Analysis
PLEASE KEEP THESE ON MIND…
…and HUMAN NATURE REMAINS THE SAME DESPITE ALL THE NEW STUFF!!!
PLEASE KEEP THESE ON MIND…
…and HUMAN NATURE REMAINS THE SAME DESPITE ALL THE NEW STUFF!!!
ANOTHER DRUMBEAT OF WARNING SIGNS…
MKT RETURNS HIGHLY CONCENTRATED IN SMALL NUMBER OF STOCKS…
GREATEST SINCE GREAT DEPRESSION…
FYI, I remain LONG yet am thinking BERKSHIRE ($BRK.B) would be good hedge as one third of cap value is in CA$H!!!
MKT RETURNS HIGHLY CONCENTRATED IN SMALL NUMBER OF STOCKS…
GREATEST SINCE GREAT DEPRESSION…
FYI, I remain LONG yet am thinking BERKSHIRE ($BRK.B) would be good hedge as one third of cap value is in CA$H!!!
January 2, 2025 at 11:43 AM
ANOTHER DRUMBEAT OF WARNING SIGNS…
MKT RETURNS HIGHLY CONCENTRATED IN SMALL NUMBER OF STOCKS…
GREATEST SINCE GREAT DEPRESSION…
FYI, I remain LONG yet am thinking BERKSHIRE ($BRK.B) would be good hedge as one third of cap value is in CA$H!!!
MKT RETURNS HIGHLY CONCENTRATED IN SMALL NUMBER OF STOCKS…
GREATEST SINCE GREAT DEPRESSION…
FYI, I remain LONG yet am thinking BERKSHIRE ($BRK.B) would be good hedge as one third of cap value is in CA$H!!!
ANOTHER CONCERNING CHART
ANOTHER ARROW IN THE HEART OF AN OPTIMIST!!!
FYI, am LONG this MKT, but SENSIBLY AWARE…
The stock market takes THE STAIRS UP, and THE ELEVATOR DOWN!
…courtesy of i3-INVEST
POOR returns ahead for equities?
The last instances when the NYSE Available Cash % of Market
ANOTHER ARROW IN THE HEART OF AN OPTIMIST!!!
FYI, am LONG this MKT, but SENSIBLY AWARE…
The stock market takes THE STAIRS UP, and THE ELEVATOR DOWN!
…courtesy of i3-INVEST
POOR returns ahead for equities?
The last instances when the NYSE Available Cash % of Market
December 31, 2024 at 11:06 PM
ANOTHER CONCERNING CHART
ANOTHER ARROW IN THE HEART OF AN OPTIMIST!!!
FYI, am LONG this MKT, but SENSIBLY AWARE…
The stock market takes THE STAIRS UP, and THE ELEVATOR DOWN!
…courtesy of i3-INVEST
POOR returns ahead for equities?
The last instances when the NYSE Available Cash % of Market
ANOTHER ARROW IN THE HEART OF AN OPTIMIST!!!
FYI, am LONG this MKT, but SENSIBLY AWARE…
The stock market takes THE STAIRS UP, and THE ELEVATOR DOWN!
…courtesy of i3-INVEST
POOR returns ahead for equities?
The last instances when the NYSE Available Cash % of Market
From Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT
HISTORICALLY, data bodes below average returns…
DIFFERENT THIS TIME???
As for me…
Dunno! I am long this MARKET and yet keeping one eye on the door!!!
Greg
HISTORICALLY, data bodes below average returns…
DIFFERENT THIS TIME???
As for me…
Dunno! I am long this MARKET and yet keeping one eye on the door!!!
Greg
December 28, 2024 at 9:16 PM
From Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT
HISTORICALLY, data bodes below average returns…
DIFFERENT THIS TIME???
As for me…
Dunno! I am long this MARKET and yet keeping one eye on the door!!!
Greg
HISTORICALLY, data bodes below average returns…
DIFFERENT THIS TIME???
As for me…
Dunno! I am long this MARKET and yet keeping one eye on the door!!!
Greg
INSIDER BUYING LOWEST LEVEL SINCE 2010
December 27, 2024 at 10:45 PM
INSIDER BUYING LOWEST LEVEL SINCE 2010
"In the end, trees don't grow to the sky, and few things go to zero."
Howard Marks
Another chart via i3INVEST
Howard Marks
Another chart via i3INVEST
December 24, 2024 at 10:18 PM
"In the end, trees don't grow to the sky, and few things go to zero."
Howard Marks
Another chart via i3INVEST
Howard Marks
Another chart via i3INVEST
Why day trading is hard…
December 23, 2024 at 8:43 PM
Why day trading is hard…
IF “IF’s and BUT’s” WERE “Candy and Nuts”…
Oh, WHAT A MERRY XMAS!
Below is MY FUN XMAS GIFT…
Olde Forecast Chart that HAS BEEN EERILY PRESCIENT…
WISH IT WAS… BUT IT AIN’T THAT EASY…. Sadly, we are like of generals, FIGHTING THE LAST WAR, i.e., judge the future by looking in the rear view mirror!
Oh, WHAT A MERRY XMAS!
Below is MY FUN XMAS GIFT…
Olde Forecast Chart that HAS BEEN EERILY PRESCIENT…
WISH IT WAS… BUT IT AIN’T THAT EASY…. Sadly, we are like of generals, FIGHTING THE LAST WAR, i.e., judge the future by looking in the rear view mirror!
December 23, 2024 at 5:35 PM
IF “IF’s and BUT’s” WERE “Candy and Nuts”…
Oh, WHAT A MERRY XMAS!
Below is MY FUN XMAS GIFT…
Olde Forecast Chart that HAS BEEN EERILY PRESCIENT…
WISH IT WAS… BUT IT AIN’T THAT EASY…. Sadly, we are like of generals, FIGHTING THE LAST WAR, i.e., judge the future by looking in the rear view mirror!
Oh, WHAT A MERRY XMAS!
Below is MY FUN XMAS GIFT…
Olde Forecast Chart that HAS BEEN EERILY PRESCIENT…
WISH IT WAS… BUT IT AIN’T THAT EASY…. Sadly, we are like of generals, FIGHTING THE LAST WAR, i.e., judge the future by looking in the rear view mirror!
FYI, I am personally long this mkt, BUT this shud be concerning as any unexpected hike in 10yr TSY cud hit THE PAUSE BUTTON!!!
Per Jim Bianco of BIANCO RESEARCH…
Per Jim Bianco of BIANCO RESEARCH…
December 21, 2024 at 3:54 AM
FYI, I am personally long this mkt, BUT this shud be concerning as any unexpected hike in 10yr TSY cud hit THE PAUSE BUTTON!!!
Per Jim Bianco of BIANCO RESEARCH…
Per Jim Bianco of BIANCO RESEARCH…
HIGH DEBT (MARGIN) % plus CAPE% summed in following…
Whenever the line drops, thus, SELL signal…
From:i3 INVEST
Whenever the line drops, thus, SELL signal…
From:i3 INVEST
December 20, 2024 at 9:05 PM
HIGH DEBT (MARGIN) % plus CAPE% summed in following…
Whenever the line drops, thus, SELL signal…
From:i3 INVEST
Whenever the line drops, thus, SELL signal…
From:i3 INVEST
Rounding TOP in Progress???
Consider following…
BULL MKT CHECKLIST…
From GRANT HAWKBRIDGE of All Star Charts…
Consider following…
BULL MKT CHECKLIST…
From GRANT HAWKBRIDGE of All Star Charts…
December 20, 2024 at 8:16 PM
Rounding TOP in Progress???
Consider following…
BULL MKT CHECKLIST…
From GRANT HAWKBRIDGE of All Star Charts…
Consider following…
BULL MKT CHECKLIST…
From GRANT HAWKBRIDGE of All Star Charts…
Another CHART OF NOTE…
HISTORIC…
WHAT ME WORRY.
Note: Comparison to 2000 Tech Bubble
HISTORIC…
WHAT ME WORRY.
Note: Comparison to 2000 Tech Bubble
December 19, 2024 at 8:02 PM
Another CHART OF NOTE…
HISTORIC…
WHAT ME WORRY.
Note: Comparison to 2000 Tech Bubble
HISTORIC…
WHAT ME WORRY.
Note: Comparison to 2000 Tech Bubble
FROM VANGUARD…
EQUITY and CREDIT
Valuation STRETCHED yet OPPORTUNITIES remain.
EQUITY and CREDIT
Valuation STRETCHED yet OPPORTUNITIES remain.
December 18, 2024 at 2:35 AM
FROM VANGUARD…
EQUITY and CREDIT
Valuation STRETCHED yet OPPORTUNITIES remain.
EQUITY and CREDIT
Valuation STRETCHED yet OPPORTUNITIES remain.
ANYBODY RECALL THE NIFTY-FIFTY or perhaps the GO-GO years culminating in mid-1970’s collapse???
CAP VALUE CONCENTRATION IN FEWER STOCKS IS HISTORIC
WHAT ME WORRY???
CAP VALUE CONCENTRATION IN FEWER STOCKS IS HISTORIC
WHAT ME WORRY???
December 17, 2024 at 6:47 PM
ANYBODY RECALL THE NIFTY-FIFTY or perhaps the GO-GO years culminating in mid-1970’s collapse???
CAP VALUE CONCENTRATION IN FEWER STOCKS IS HISTORIC
WHAT ME WORRY???
CAP VALUE CONCENTRATION IN FEWER STOCKS IS HISTORIC
WHAT ME WORRY???
NOTHING TO SEE HERE???
SPX CUMULATIVE ADV-DEC BREADTH for December is virtual ZERO…
SPX CUMULATIVE ADV-DEC BREADTH for December is virtual ZERO…
December 16, 2024 at 11:44 PM
NOTHING TO SEE HERE???
SPX CUMULATIVE ADV-DEC BREADTH for December is virtual ZERO…
SPX CUMULATIVE ADV-DEC BREADTH for December is virtual ZERO…
WARNING SIGN???
HEAT MAP of SPX P/E RATIOS!!!
LOOK FOR BRK.B safe (=GREEN) at <10 P.E. Ratio
HEAT MAP of SPX P/E RATIOS!!!
LOOK FOR BRK.B safe (=GREEN) at <10 P.E. Ratio
December 16, 2024 at 7:42 PM
WARNING SIGN???
HEAT MAP of SPX P/E RATIOS!!!
LOOK FOR BRK.B safe (=GREEN) at <10 P.E. Ratio
HEAT MAP of SPX P/E RATIOS!!!
LOOK FOR BRK.B safe (=GREEN) at <10 P.E. Ratio
Yet another warning…
…and to quote Downtown Josh Brown
“It will matter when it does…”
From i3_INVEST
Today vs 2020: Price and YC analogy.
What could be the catalyst this time?
…and to quote Downtown Josh Brown
“It will matter when it does…”
From i3_INVEST
Today vs 2020: Price and YC analogy.
What could be the catalyst this time?
December 14, 2024 at 4:21 AM
Yet another warning…
…and to quote Downtown Josh Brown
“It will matter when it does…”
From i3_INVEST
Today vs 2020: Price and YC analogy.
What could be the catalyst this time?
…and to quote Downtown Josh Brown
“It will matter when it does…”
From i3_INVEST
Today vs 2020: Price and YC analogy.
What could be the catalyst this time?
Yet another valuation warning!!!
CASH YIELDS higher than SPX dividend…
8x since 1954
Source: Bloomberg
CASH YIELDS higher than SPX dividend…
8x since 1954
Source: Bloomberg
December 13, 2024 at 6:38 AM
Yet another valuation warning!!!
CASH YIELDS higher than SPX dividend…
8x since 1954
Source: Bloomberg
CASH YIELDS higher than SPX dividend…
8x since 1954
Source: Bloomberg
Yet another warning sign…
…HISTORIC overvaluation.
Yes, and I am long this market BUT have BIG cash in PLAN B.
From Financial Times UK
…HISTORIC overvaluation.
Yes, and I am long this market BUT have BIG cash in PLAN B.
From Financial Times UK
December 12, 2024 at 7:50 PM
Yet another warning sign…
…HISTORIC overvaluation.
Yes, and I am long this market BUT have BIG cash in PLAN B.
From Financial Times UK
…HISTORIC overvaluation.
Yes, and I am long this market BUT have BIG cash in PLAN B.
From Financial Times UK