German public TV just published this poll of first-time voters. A massive lead for socialist Left party on 27%.

Left + SPD + Greens on 54% among first-time-voters. Those voters were also slightly less likely to vote AfD than national average.

So much for the “far-right youth”.

ARD polling rather confirms this suspicion. Pistorius much the more appealing chancellor especially among CDU/CSU voters.

This graphic from ARD sums up the difference that FDP and BSW in Bundestag (so at 5.0% or more) would make.

Without FDP and BSW: CDU/CSU-SPD (grand coalition) possible
With FDP and BSW: only tripartite coalition or minority government possible