Geopolitical Futures
@gpfutures.bsky.social
A 100% subscriber-supported geopolitical forecasting publication, providing unbiased analysis of global events. Founded in 2015 by internationally recognized forecaster and best-selling author George Friedman. www.geopoliticalfutures.com
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Even before a massive April 28 blackout, Spain and Portugal were navigating difficult discussions about their place within the EU’s evolving energy strategy. The event will likely lead to debates over the balance between energy autonomy and European integration. ow.ly/VOiB50VJWeP
In Europe, a Blackout Brings Hard Truths to Light - Geopolitical Futures
On April 28, millions across Spain, Portugal and parts of France were plunged into darkness after a massive, unexpected power outage. Metro systems
ow.ly
April 29, 2025 at 5:56 PM
Even before a massive April 28 blackout, Spain and Portugal were navigating difficult discussions about their place within the EU’s evolving energy strategy. The event will likely lead to debates over the balance between energy autonomy and European integration. ow.ly/VOiB50VJWeP
With U.S. airstrikes against the Houthi rebels intensifying, Yemen is at a critical juncture. Indicators suggest that a large-scale ground operation in Houthi-controlled areas is inevitable. Hilal Khashan has this analysis for GPF subscribers: ow.ly/zzME50VHfPM
US Assault on Houthis Brings No Relief for Yemen - Geopolitical Futures
With U.S. airstrikes against the Houthi rebels intensifying, Yemen is at a critical juncture. Last month, U.S. President Donald Trump threatened that
ow.ly
April 24, 2025 at 4:17 PM
With U.S. airstrikes against the Houthi rebels intensifying, Yemen is at a critical juncture. Indicators suggest that a large-scale ground operation in Houthi-controlled areas is inevitable. Hilal Khashan has this analysis for GPF subscribers: ow.ly/zzME50VHfPM
The EU Changes Course in Africa
Since the end of the colonial era, Europe has spent much of its time in Africa on promoting shared values and development. But it can no longer afford to fund nation-building initiatives with no promise of return. ow.ly/ILsN50VFHkP
Since the end of the colonial era, Europe has spent much of its time in Africa on promoting shared values and development. But it can no longer afford to fund nation-building initiatives with no promise of return. ow.ly/ILsN50VFHkP
The EU Changes Course in Africa - Geopolitical Futures
Since the end of the colonial era, Europe has spent much of its time in Africa on promoting shared values and development – often with little regard for a
ow.ly
April 22, 2025 at 5:44 PM
The EU Changes Course in Africa
Since the end of the colonial era, Europe has spent much of its time in Africa on promoting shared values and development. But it can no longer afford to fund nation-building initiatives with no promise of return. ow.ly/ILsN50VFHkP
Since the end of the colonial era, Europe has spent much of its time in Africa on promoting shared values and development. But it can no longer afford to fund nation-building initiatives with no promise of return. ow.ly/ILsN50VFHkP
Adam Smith defined how we think about free markets. His guiding principle was the invisible hand – the idea that the pursuit of individual interests in economic life would inevitably produce an optimized and predictable economy. - George Friedman geopoliticalfutures.com/adam-smith-e...
Adam Smith, Economics, Finance and Geopolitics - Geopolitical Futures
Adam Smith defined how we think about free markets. His guiding principle was, famously, the invisible hand – a mystical force or the hand of God, but the
geopoliticalfutures.com
April 17, 2025 at 6:09 PM
Adam Smith defined how we think about free markets. His guiding principle was the invisible hand – the idea that the pursuit of individual interests in economic life would inevitably produce an optimized and predictable economy. - George Friedman geopoliticalfutures.com/adam-smith-e...
US-Iran Talks Set to Begin
April 8, 2025 at 6:31 PM
US-Iran Talks Set to Begin
America's Tariffs and Today's Global System
The U.S. is measuring its strength - GPF's George Friedman in a new video: www.youtube.com/watch?v=l_Fg...
The U.S. is measuring its strength - GPF's George Friedman in a new video: www.youtube.com/watch?v=l_Fg...
America's Tariffs and Today's Global System | ClubGPF Preview with George Friedman
YouTube video by Geopolitical Futures
www.youtube.com
April 1, 2025 at 3:55 PM
America's Tariffs and Today's Global System
The U.S. is measuring its strength - GPF's George Friedman in a new video: www.youtube.com/watch?v=l_Fg...
The U.S. is measuring its strength - GPF's George Friedman in a new video: www.youtube.com/watch?v=l_Fg...
🌐 Russian President Vladimir Putin proposed that Ukraine be placed under temporary U.N.-led management in order to hold elections that could lead to peace talks. He suggested negotiations with the current administration would be fruitless since any outcome could be annulled by a new president.
March 28, 2025 at 4:46 PM
🌐 Russian President Vladimir Putin proposed that Ukraine be placed under temporary U.N.-led management in order to hold elections that could lead to peace talks. He suggested negotiations with the current administration would be fruitless since any outcome could be annulled by a new president.
The Risks of the United States’ Latin America Policy
Washington’s priorities for Latin America – migration, China and tariffs – are meant to support, or are an extension of, the government’s broader America First vision. But the short-term benefits could create long-term problems. ow.ly/VVNJ50VpSmP
Washington’s priorities for Latin America – migration, China and tariffs – are meant to support, or are an extension of, the government’s broader America First vision. But the short-term benefits could create long-term problems. ow.ly/VVNJ50VpSmP
March 27, 2025 at 4:23 PM
The Risks of the United States’ Latin America Policy
Washington’s priorities for Latin America – migration, China and tariffs – are meant to support, or are an extension of, the government’s broader America First vision. But the short-term benefits could create long-term problems. ow.ly/VVNJ50VpSmP
Washington’s priorities for Latin America – migration, China and tariffs – are meant to support, or are an extension of, the government’s broader America First vision. But the short-term benefits could create long-term problems. ow.ly/VVNJ50VpSmP
Depending on which side of the line you're on, it's possible we're seeing the start of America’s terminal decline, or perhaps its regeneration. As GPF's George Friedman explains, we've been here before: geopoliticalfutures.com/weve-been-he...
We've Been Here Before: George Friedman on U.S. Cycles - Geopolitical Futures
Depending on which side of the line you're on, it's possible we're seeing the start of America’s terminal decline, or perhaps its regeneration. While the US has been busily announcing the end of the p...
geopoliticalfutures.com
March 26, 2025 at 5:08 PM
Depending on which side of the line you're on, it's possible we're seeing the start of America’s terminal decline, or perhaps its regeneration. As GPF's George Friedman explains, we've been here before: geopoliticalfutures.com/weve-been-he...
From the archives: GPF's Director of Analysis Allison Fedirka breaks down US-China trade, the fentanyl epidemic and how it all impacts US-Latin America relations (something we see playing out today), via Mauldin Economics www.youtube.com/watch?v=IECU...
Fentanyl & Cartels: China’s Deadly Drug War with the US | Allison Fedirka
YouTube video by Mauldin Economics
www.youtube.com
March 13, 2025 at 5:48 PM
From the archives: GPF's Director of Analysis Allison Fedirka breaks down US-China trade, the fentanyl epidemic and how it all impacts US-Latin America relations (something we see playing out today), via Mauldin Economics www.youtube.com/watch?v=IECU...
In today's Memo: Drone Strikes in Russia
The assault on Russia came ahead of peace talks involving the U.S. and Ukraine.
The assault on Russia came ahead of peace talks involving the U.S. and Ukraine.
March 11, 2025 at 7:58 PM
In today's Memo: Drone Strikes in Russia
The assault on Russia came ahead of peace talks involving the U.S. and Ukraine.
The assault on Russia came ahead of peace talks involving the U.S. and Ukraine.
GPF's George Friedman on Vladimir Putin: "What he needed to do, and what he could do were two different things." www.youtube.com/watch?v=ksfn...
George Friedman: Why Putin Has Lost the War in Ukraine
YouTube video by Geopolitical Futures
www.youtube.com
March 6, 2025 at 7:55 PM
GPF's George Friedman on Vladimir Putin: "What he needed to do, and what he could do were two different things." www.youtube.com/watch?v=ksfn...
After Donald Trump and Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s Oval Office bust up, you might think the war in Ukraine is going rather well for Vladimir Putin. But, according to Geopolitical Futures Chairman George Friedman, the Russian president has already lost the war. #podcast podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/g...
George Friedman: Why Putin Has Lost the War in Ukraine
Podcast Episode · Talking Geopolitics · 03/05/2025 · 35m
podcasts.apple.com
March 5, 2025 at 7:12 PM
After Donald Trump and Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s Oval Office bust up, you might think the war in Ukraine is going rather well for Vladimir Putin. But, according to Geopolitical Futures Chairman George Friedman, the Russian president has already lost the war. #podcast podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/g...
Donald Trump plans to revive the Keystone XL Pipeline, reversing the Biden administration’s efforts to cancel it. The project, which would transport oil from Alberta’s oil sands to Texas at an estimated cost of $8B, has faced fierce opposition for many years. geopoliticalfutures.com/resurrection...
Resurrection of the Keystone XL Pipeline - Geopolitical Futures
(click to enlarge) U.S. President Donald Trump has announced plans to revive the Keystone XL Pipeline, reversing the Biden administration’s efforts to
geopoliticalfutures.com
March 3, 2025 at 8:27 PM
Donald Trump plans to revive the Keystone XL Pipeline, reversing the Biden administration’s efforts to cancel it. The project, which would transport oil from Alberta’s oil sands to Texas at an estimated cost of $8B, has faced fierce opposition for many years. geopoliticalfutures.com/resurrection...
"When Russia invaded Ukraine and failed, the world changed." - GPF Chairman George Friedman on Trump, Putin and Changing Global Realities www.youtube.com/watch?v=-knL...
George Friedman: Trump, Putin and Changing Global Realities
YouTube video by Geopolitical Futures
www.youtube.com
March 1, 2025 at 4:25 PM
"When Russia invaded Ukraine and failed, the world changed." - GPF Chairman George Friedman on Trump, Putin and Changing Global Realities www.youtube.com/watch?v=-knL...
Japan's current rice crisis has become a politically urgent issue for Tokyo. Not since the Fukushima nuclear disaster nearly 14 years ago have rice prices been this high. And there is evidence to suggest they will be harder to bring down this time around. - Victoria Herczegh ow.ly/8xRu50V7RLM
Japan’s Rice Crisis - Geopolitical Futures
Japan’s Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries recently announced it would release 210,000 tons of rice from its stockpile of 1.1 million tons to
ow.ly
February 27, 2025 at 6:51 PM
Japan's current rice crisis has become a politically urgent issue for Tokyo. Not since the Fukushima nuclear disaster nearly 14 years ago have rice prices been this high. And there is evidence to suggest they will be harder to bring down this time around. - Victoria Herczegh ow.ly/8xRu50V7RLM
George Friedman: Trump is Just Reacting to Changing Global Realities
What is the US trying to achieve in its negotiations with Russia? And is this all just the new norm for a world without an anchor? Listen to GPF Chairman George Friedman on our new podcast episode: ow.ly/6aYI50V7Ggn
What is the US trying to achieve in its negotiations with Russia? And is this all just the new norm for a world without an anchor? Listen to GPF Chairman George Friedman on our new podcast episode: ow.ly/6aYI50V7Ggn
George Friedman: Trump is Just Reacting to Changing Global Realities - Geopolitical Futures
One month into Donald Trump’s second term, even those who closely followed his first time in office have struggled to keep up. Foreign policy shifts alone include tariffs, attacks on allies, and a pro...
ow.ly
February 27, 2025 at 3:25 PM
George Friedman: Trump is Just Reacting to Changing Global Realities
What is the US trying to achieve in its negotiations with Russia? And is this all just the new norm for a world without an anchor? Listen to GPF Chairman George Friedman on our new podcast episode: ow.ly/6aYI50V7Ggn
What is the US trying to achieve in its negotiations with Russia? And is this all just the new norm for a world without an anchor? Listen to GPF Chairman George Friedman on our new podcast episode: ow.ly/6aYI50V7Ggn
Donald Trump is trying to disrupt America because it’s unsustainable. He’s now trying to disrupt the world, because it’s unsustainable. - GPF Chairman George Friedman via Mauldin Economics Global Macro Update with Ed D'Agostino www.youtube.com/watch?v=s-ok...
Trump's Master Plan: How Russia Lost Control | George Friedman
YouTube video by Mauldin Economics
www.youtube.com
February 25, 2025 at 3:21 PM
Donald Trump is trying to disrupt America because it’s unsustainable. He’s now trying to disrupt the world, because it’s unsustainable. - GPF Chairman George Friedman via Mauldin Economics Global Macro Update with Ed D'Agostino www.youtube.com/watch?v=s-ok...
To maintain its position as a world power should Europe double down on its continental experiment & form a united European army, or do the scars of history still prevent Europe from standing defensively on its own? George Friedman's 2022 interview w/ @theredline.bsky.social youtu.be/YBWAmpZY8Fk?...
The Feasibility of an EU Army - The Red Line Podcast
YouTube video by The Red Line
youtu.be
February 16, 2025 at 8:33 PM
To maintain its position as a world power should Europe double down on its continental experiment & form a united European army, or do the scars of history still prevent Europe from standing defensively on its own? George Friedman's 2022 interview w/ @theredline.bsky.social youtu.be/YBWAmpZY8Fk?...
U.S. President Donald Trump’s second term has begun with a clear intent to reshape U.S. foreign policy. Newer projects, such as the annexation of Greenland and reclamation of the Panama Canal, may reveal a broader strategic vision, one that could reshape trans-Atlantic relations. ow.ly/xz4i50UXTqp
An Attempt at Explaining Trump’s Foreign Policy - Geopolitical Futures
U.S. President Donald Trump’s second term has begun with a clear intent to reshape U.S. foreign policy. His aggressive use of tariffs against China – and
ow.ly
February 11, 2025 at 5:00 PM
U.S. President Donald Trump’s second term has begun with a clear intent to reshape U.S. foreign policy. Newer projects, such as the annexation of Greenland and reclamation of the Panama Canal, may reveal a broader strategic vision, one that could reshape trans-Atlantic relations. ow.ly/xz4i50UXTqp
Subscribe to Geopolitical Futures today and you'll gain access to our full 2025 Forecast, available now: ow.ly/xM5m50UXcKK
February 10, 2025 at 10:28 PM
Subscribe to Geopolitical Futures today and you'll gain access to our full 2025 Forecast, available now: ow.ly/xM5m50UXcKK
#Aluminum prices track global economic trends, given the metal’s critical role in automotive, aerospace, construction and packaging industries. Any #trade policy adjustment that tightens supply chains could drive up costs for businesses and consumers. #tariffs ow.ly/zznX50UWXgw
Aluminum Prices and US Tariffs - Geopolitical Futures
(click to enlarge) U.S. tariffs on Canada and Mexico, if implemented, will likely disrupt the global aluminum market. A similar pattern emerged during
ow.ly
February 10, 2025 at 5:10 PM
#Aluminum prices track global economic trends, given the metal’s critical role in automotive, aerospace, construction and packaging industries. Any #trade policy adjustment that tightens supply chains could drive up costs for businesses and consumers. #tariffs ow.ly/zznX50UWXgw
🌐 French President Emmanuel Macron invited Syrian President Ahmad al-Sharaa to visit France in the coming weeks. During a call on Tuesday, they also discussed Syria’s transition process, which Macron stressed should include integration of the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces.
February 6, 2025 at 5:30 PM
🌐 French President Emmanuel Macron invited Syrian President Ahmad al-Sharaa to visit France in the coming weeks. During a call on Tuesday, they also discussed Syria’s transition process, which Macron stressed should include integration of the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces.
"It's an unsettling event that's taken place." - GPF Chairman George Friedman from our most recent ClubGPF live discussion. Watch the full clip: www.youtube.com/watch?v=a4Kv...
George Friedman: World Without an Anchor
YouTube video by Geopolitical Futures
www.youtube.com
February 4, 2025 at 5:59 PM
"It's an unsettling event that's taken place." - GPF Chairman George Friedman from our most recent ClubGPF live discussion. Watch the full clip: www.youtube.com/watch?v=a4Kv...
The conflict in eastern DRC escalated when the M23 rebel group seized the regional capital, Goma. Rwanda, long accused of covertly backing M23, deployed thousands of troops to support the offensive.
Rwanda’s involvement stems from two motivations: economic gain & border security. ow.ly/boOY50USnY4
Rwanda’s involvement stems from two motivations: economic gain & border security. ow.ly/boOY50USnY4
Rwanda's Role in DRC Conflict - Geopolitical Futures
(click to enlarge) The conflict in eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo escalated last weekend when the M23 rebel group advanced into North Kivu,
ow.ly
February 3, 2025 at 2:50 PM
The conflict in eastern DRC escalated when the M23 rebel group seized the regional capital, Goma. Rwanda, long accused of covertly backing M23, deployed thousands of troops to support the offensive.
Rwanda’s involvement stems from two motivations: economic gain & border security. ow.ly/boOY50USnY4
Rwanda’s involvement stems from two motivations: economic gain & border security. ow.ly/boOY50USnY4