Larry Evans
@govwatch.bsky.social
Government professor at William & Mary
If you blow up the middle portion where Harris support at the district level ranged from 45-55 percent, you can see how difficult taking the House back will be for D's in 2026. A lot more D's in majority Trump districts than R's in majority Harris districts.
February 18, 2025 at 11:05 PM
If you blow up the middle portion where Harris support at the district level ranged from 45-55 percent, you can see how difficult taking the House back will be for D's in 2026. A lot more D's in majority Trump districts than R's in majority Harris districts.
Surprising how well Harris support within a House district predicts the percent of the vote for the Democratic House candidate within that district. Much tighter fit around the 45 degree line than was the case a decade or more ago.
February 18, 2025 at 11:03 PM
Surprising how well Harris support within a House district predicts the percent of the vote for the Democratic House candidate within that district. Much tighter fit around the 45 degree line than was the case a decade or more ago.
