xenobladeenjoyer
@goddamnamerica.bsky.social
I never want to see another Atlas poll again. Fuck them.
November 5, 2025 at 1:58 AM
I never want to see another Atlas poll again. Fuck them.
Because she's a Black woman.
November 4, 2025 at 5:35 PM
Because she's a Black woman.
Dems in Northern Virginia blew it out of the park with early voting despite having fewer voting sites than 2024, so I don't think that strategy is working.
November 3, 2025 at 7:39 PM
Dems in Northern Virginia blew it out of the park with early voting despite having fewer voting sites than 2024, so I don't think that strategy is working.
What the hell was Johnson and Thune thinking lmao.
November 3, 2025 at 5:48 PM
What the hell was Johnson and Thune thinking lmao.
I did not expect Emerson to put out a good poll for Jones lmao. That is incredibly bad news for Miyares.
November 2, 2025 at 6:33 PM
I did not expect Emerson to put out a good poll for Jones lmao. That is incredibly bad news for Miyares.
Most polls haven't showed Sears getting above the low 40s, so I'd say this is actually pretty in line with other polls.
October 31, 2025 at 2:22 AM
Most polls haven't showed Sears getting above the low 40s, so I'd say this is actually pretty in line with other polls.
Jay Jones will 100% win if this happens.
October 30, 2025 at 10:40 PM
Jay Jones will 100% win if this happens.
Also the poll was sponsored by Red Eagle Politics, a Republican dipshit, so I wouldn't call it nonpartisan.
October 30, 2025 at 9:43 PM
Also the poll was sponsored by Red Eagle Politics, a Republican dipshit, so I wouldn't call it nonpartisan.
Which electorate is this weighted to?
October 30, 2025 at 9:39 PM
Which electorate is this weighted to?
God is rarely subtle lol.
October 30, 2025 at 7:26 PM
God is rarely subtle lol.
If Spanberger is up double digits w/ the 2021 electorate, I think everyone is underestimating her actual margin of victory in their predictions. She could win by close to 20, which would certainly carry Jay Jones to victory. There is 100% a shy Jones voter effect.
October 30, 2025 at 5:23 PM
If Spanberger is up double digits w/ the 2021 electorate, I think everyone is underestimating her actual margin of victory in their predictions. She could win by close to 20, which would certainly carry Jay Jones to victory. There is 100% a shy Jones voter effect.
I honestly think that Democrats should just stop agreeing to do debates.
October 10, 2025 at 12:04 AM
I honestly think that Democrats should just stop agreeing to do debates.
There's honestly just no way Sears will do better than Trump did last year with a gov shutdown with no end in sight and a worsening economy. Holiday shopping will be very expensive this year due to Trump's tariffs.
October 9, 2025 at 10:09 PM
There's honestly just no way Sears will do better than Trump did last year with a gov shutdown with no end in sight and a worsening economy. Holiday shopping will be very expensive this year due to Trump's tariffs.
I'm going to assume they modeled after 2021 because I find it hard to believe that Spanberger is going to do worse than Harris with Trump as president.
October 9, 2025 at 8:23 PM
I'm going to assume they modeled after 2021 because I find it hard to believe that Spanberger is going to do worse than Harris with Trump as president.
Is the electorate modeled after 2021 or 2024?
October 9, 2025 at 8:14 PM
Is the electorate modeled after 2021 or 2024?
It's weighted to the 2024 electorate and this year will be much bluer. Spanberger most likely has strong coattails. Another wildcard is no one knows what more insane stuff Trump will do between now and Election Day.
October 8, 2025 at 10:59 PM
It's weighted to the 2024 electorate and this year will be much bluer. Spanberger most likely has strong coattails. Another wildcard is no one knows what more insane stuff Trump will do between now and Election Day.
A good thing for Jones is that this year's electorate will most likely be much bluer than the 2024 electorate and Spanberger will probably have strong coattails.
October 8, 2025 at 10:54 PM
A good thing for Jones is that this year's electorate will most likely be much bluer than the 2024 electorate and Spanberger will probably have strong coattails.
I do wonder if Dem voters and the overall electorate are just numb to violent rhetoric by now due to Republican politicians and influencers constantly calling for the imprisonment and death of Democratic politicians and voters for the past decade now.
October 8, 2025 at 8:12 PM
I do wonder if Dem voters and the overall electorate are just numb to violent rhetoric by now due to Republican politicians and influencers constantly calling for the imprisonment and death of Democratic politicians and voters for the past decade now.
That would basically guarantee a Jones win against Miyares lol. Spanberger would win by like 20 and get him over the finish line.
October 7, 2025 at 4:15 PM
That would basically guarantee a Jones win against Miyares lol. Spanberger would win by like 20 and get him over the finish line.
Don't forget Hegseth and Vought.
October 7, 2025 at 4:46 AM
Don't forget Hegseth and Vought.
Trump mocked a disabled reporter on live TV in 2016 and still won, so good on Kaine for not folding.
October 6, 2025 at 10:25 PM
Trump mocked a disabled reporter on live TV in 2016 and still won, so good on Kaine for not folding.
This doesn't indicate that much ticket splitting tbh. No Republican can make it past the low 40s. For Miyares to win, he would either have to get Dems to leave the AG race blank or get them to vote for him.
October 6, 2025 at 8:15 PM
This doesn't indicate that much ticket splitting tbh. No Republican can make it past the low 40s. For Miyares to win, he would either have to get Dems to leave the AG race blank or get them to vote for him.
Republicans still can't get past the low 40s. That's not good for them, especially Miyares.
October 6, 2025 at 8:12 PM
Republicans still can't get past the low 40s. That's not good for them, especially Miyares.
This is around the time in 2021 when Biden's approval began to fall off a cliff and Youngkin was neck and neck with McCauliffe in many polls. I think you're forgetting the environment back then.
October 6, 2025 at 7:16 PM
This is around the time in 2021 when Biden's approval began to fall off a cliff and Youngkin was neck and neck with McCauliffe in many polls. I think you're forgetting the environment back then.
Alright, that explains a lot. Thanks for posting this.
October 6, 2025 at 7:01 PM
Alright, that explains a lot. Thanks for posting this.