Gabriele Mari
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gmari.bsky.social
Gabriele Mari
@gmari.bsky.social
2K followers 2.8K following 42 posts
Sociologist @Erasmus University Rotterdam

Social security, families, inequalities


https://sites.google.com/view/marigabriele/home
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Reposted by Gabriele Mari
dingdingpeng.the100.ci
It's like an association, but more causal.

This reasoning is very prevalent in psych as well (in particular when it comes to "lagged effects", aka lagged associations, and "within-person associations") which is why we wrote a paper about it:

journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
These Are Not the Effects You Are Looking for: Causality and the Within-/Between-Persons Distinction in Longitudinal Data Analysis In psychological science, researchers often pay particular attention to the distinction between within- and between-persons relationships in longitudinal data analysis. Here, we aim to clarify the relationship between the within- and between-persons distinction and causal inference and show that the distinction is informative but does not play a decisive role in causal inference. Our main points are threefold. First, within-persons data are not necessary for causal inference; for example, between-persons experiments can inform about (average) causal effects. Second, within-persons data are not sufficient for causal inference; for example, time-varying confounders can lead to spurious within-persons associations. Finally, despite not being sufficient, within-persons data can be tremendously helpful for causal inference. We provide pointers to help readers navigate the more technical literature on longitudinal models and conclude with a call for more conceptual clarity: Instead of letting statistical models dictate which substantive questions researchers ask, researchers should start with well-defined theoretical estimands, which in turn determine both study design and data analysis.
August 21, 2025 at 6:35 AM
Reposted by Gabriele Mari
irisvanrooij.bsky.social
If you agree with our 5 requests to our universities, please sign 🖊️ the open letter and don’t forget to confirm your email! ☺️🙏

openletter.earth/open-letter-...
• Resist the introduction of AI in our own software systems, from Microsoft to OpenAI to Apple. It is not in our interests to let our processes be corrupted and give away our data to be used to train models that are not only useless to us, but also harmful. • Ban AI use in the classroom for student assignments, in the same way we ban essay mills and other forms of plagiarism. Students must be protected from de-skilling and allowed space and time to perform their assignments themselves. • Cease normalising the AI hype and the lies which are prevalent in the technology industry's framing of these technologies. The technologies do not have the advertised capacities and their adoption puts students and academics at risk of violating ethical, legal, scholarly, and scientific standards of reliability, sustainability, and safety. • Fortify our academic freedom as university staff to enforce these principles and standards in our classrooms and our research as well as on the computer systems we are obliged to use as part of our work. We as academics have the right to our own spaces. • Sustain critical thinking on AI and promote critical engagement with technology on a firm academic footing. Scholarly discussion must be free from the conflicts of interest caused by industry funding, and reasoned resistance must always be an option.
June 28, 2025 at 7:52 PM
Reposted by Gabriele Mari
marome1.bsky.social
Don’t forget to check @dmckenzie.bsky.social (blogs.worldbank.org/en/impacteva...) and @berkozler12.bsky.social coverage of our paper (blogs.worldbank.org/en/impacteva...)
Be careful with inference from 2x2 experiments and other cross-cutting designs
Be careful with inference from 2x2 experiments and other cross-cutting designs
blogs.worldbank.org
May 28, 2025 at 1:12 PM
gmari.bsky.social
And here's the link to two of the papers being discussed:

doi.org/10.1093/sf/s...
doi.org/10.1215/0070...
Families of austerity: benefit cutbacks and family stress in the UK
Abstract. Benefit cutbacks have been prominent after the Great Recession. The Family Economic Stress Model (FESM) theorizes how financial losses such as th
doi.org
May 23, 2025 at 11:58 AM